Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $82.0000 (-0.33%) ($81.8900 - $82.2000) on Fri. Feb. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.22% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $82.0000(-0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(69%)    VCIT(69%)    TLT(61%)    TIP(56%)    VCSH(55%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-63%)    UUP(-24%)    DIA(-5%)    XHB(-4%)    XOP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.11% (StdDev 0.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.12(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.9(0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.67(0.4%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.38% (three month std-dev: 0.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160312

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_12_2016	81.42	81.67	81.9	82.12	82.17	82.23	82(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	29	10	2	110	1.47	51%	0	76.3	0.22%	0	1.1	67	INF
2	Feb_11_2016	81.42	81.63	81.88	82.06	82.15	82.26	82.27(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	88	10	68	147	1.89	54%	0.01	73.7	0.21%	0	2.1	76	INF
3	Feb_10_2016	81.41	81.58	81.8	81.97	81.98	82.12	82.22(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	62	10	41	125	2.55	54%	0	76.5	0.21%	0	2.3	73	INF
4	Feb_9_2016	81.41	81.53	81.72	81.87	81.89	82.05	82.05(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	82	10	70	119	2.35	52%	0.01	77.4	0.21%	0	2.1	68	INF
5	Feb_8_2016	81.4	81.47	81.65	81.79	81.8	81.85	82.06(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	67	0	54	104	2.52	52%	0	74.2	0.21%	0	2.4	71	INF

6	Feb_5_2016	81.4	81.43	81.58	81.79	81.71	81.74	81.71(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	0	6	57	2.36	45%	0	84.6	0.21%	0	1.3	59	INF
7	Feb_4_2016	81.4	81.41	81.54	81.66	81.71	81.75	81.79(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	10	21	68	1.18	45%	0.01	104	0.21%	0	1.9	66	INF
8	Feb_3_2016	81.39	81.38	81.49	81.6	81.65	81.69	81.73(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	53	10	48	68	3.24	45%	0.01	117.4	0.21%	0	1.8	60	INF
9	Feb_2_2016	81.38	81.33	81.46	81.54	81.58	81.56	81.67(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-0	6	48	2.55	42%	0	104	0.21%	0	1.7	65	INF
10	Feb_1_2016	81.38	81.28	81.46	81.49	81.51	81.6	81.39(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	17	10	6	48	2.26	38%	0	88.9	0.21%	0	0.5	65	INF

11	Jan_29_2016	81.38	81.25	81.42	81.48	81.49	81.59	81.73(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	67	10	64	74	3.63	41%	0	85.7	0.21%	0	2.1	61	INF
12	Jan_28_2016	81.38	81.2	81.37	81.39	81.4	81.42	81.49(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	0	14	40	1.49	36%	0	67.9	0.21%	0	1.3	59	INF
13	Jan_27_2016	81.38	81.15	81.35	81.39	81.36	81.4	81.43(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	12	0	3	38	1.73	36%	0	46.9	0.21%	0	1.1	58	INF
14	Jan_26_2016	81.38	81.12	81.33	81.36	81.37	81.38	81.43(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	0	13	51	2.66	36%	0	37.1	0.21%	0	1.1	67	INF
15	Jan_25_2016	81.38	81.09	81.33	81.33	81.39	81.33	81.31(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-0	-10	45	2.16	36%	0	34.3	0.21%	0	0.8	67	INF

16	Jan_22_2016	81.38	81.06	81.28	81.35	81.38	81.37	81.31(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	0	-23	59	3	35%	0	34.3	0.22%	0	0.9	66	INF
17	Jan_21_2016	81.38	81.04	81.27	81.35	81.42	81.45	81.34(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	10	15	91	3.06	35%	0	33.3	0.22%	0	1	70	INF
18	Jan_20_2016	81.38	81.03	81.25	81.34	81.39	81.4	81.39(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	0	12	111	7.8	35%	0	37.1	0.22%	0	1.3	72	INF
19	Jan_19_2016	81.38	81.01	81.2	81.3	81.35	81.39	81.3(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	10	17	108	3.86	35%	-0.01	30.3	0.22%	0	1.1	61	INF
20	Jan_15_2016	81.39	81	81.14	81.23	81.3	81.38	81.4(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	10	33	100	1.77	35%	0	21.9	0.22%	0	1.5	64	INF

21	Jan_14_2016	81.39	80.96	81.08	81.2	81.2	81.31	81.26(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	10	25	97	4.55	38%	0	13.3	0.22%	0	1.3	63	INF
22	Jan_13_2016	81.39	80.95	81.02	81.19	81.17	81.22	81.36(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	53	0	40	90	2.89	38%	0	7.1	0.22%	0	1.8	58	INF
23	Jan_12_2016	81.39	80.92	80.94	81.15	81.13	81.09	81.16(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-0	-1	54	1.65	36%	-0.01	0	0.22%	0	1.1	50	INF
24	Jan_11_2016	81.4	80.93	80.9	81.09	81.12	81.13	80.95(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	12	0	5	32	2.15	33%	-0.01	0	0.22%	0	0.1	43	INF
25	Jan_8_2016	81.41	80.94	80.88	81.04	81.06	81.17	81.29(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	41	10	43	34	1.41	36%		0	0.21%	0	1.6	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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