Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $80.9600 (-0.14%) ($80.9400 - $81.0400) on Tue. Dec. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.21% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $80.9600(-0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   BND declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(69%)    VCIT(69%)    TLT(61%)    TIP(56%)    VCSH(55%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-63%)    UUP(-24%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-4%)    XOP(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.105% (StdDev 0.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $81.13
5 Day Moving Average   $81(-0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.05(-0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.13(-0.21%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.23% (three month std-dev: 0.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2015	81.5	81.13	81.05	81	81.05	81.06	80.96(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	0	-7	-20	2.35	39%	-0.01	-30.4	0.21%	0	-0.9	42	0
2	Dec_21_2015	81.51	81.14	81.07	80.98	81.01	81.12	81.07(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	19	10	31	-16	3.16	37%	-0.01	-30.4	0.21%	0	-0.4	42	0
3	Dec_18_2015	81.52	81.14	81.08	80.97	81.01	81.03	81.16(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	13	10	25	-25	3.21	39%	0	-26.1	0.22%	0	0.1	46	0
4	Dec_17_2015	81.52	81.15	81.07	81.01	80.95	80.9	80.98(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10	-10	-39	2.29	43%	-0.01	-13	0.22%	0	-0.9	42	0
5	Dec_16_2015	81.53	81.16	81.05	81.04	81.05	80.87	80.81(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-52	-20	-47	-66	2.33	43%	-0.01	-4.3	0.23%	0	-1.8	40	0

6	Dec_15_2015	81.54	81.18	81.1	81.11	81.13	81	80.9(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-63	-10	-64	-60	1.81	40%	-0.01	14.3	0.23%	0	-1.6	42	0
7	Dec_14_2015	81.55	81.18	81.15	81.17	81.19	81.23	80.99(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	0	-17	-25	2.97	40%	0	30	0.23%	0	-1.3	44	0
8	Dec_11_2015	81.55	81.2	81.19	81.21	81.22	81.27	81.37(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	0	42	6	1.99	43%	0	50	0.23%	0	1.1	53	0
9	Dec_10_2015	81.55	81.18	81.18	81.14	81.16	81.15	81.15(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	-0	14	-16	2	41%	0	25	0.22%	0	-0.2	47	0
10	Dec_9_2015	81.55	81.17	81.19	81.05	81.1	81.15	81.16(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	10	2	-31	2.08	41%	-0.01	-4.8	0.23%	0	-0.1	52	0

11	Dec_8_2015	81.56	81.16	81.19	81.09	81.05	81.17	81.19(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	10	10	18	-16	1.69	39%	0.01	-4.8	0.23%	0	0.2	51	0
12	Dec_7_2015	81.55	81.14	81.21	81.14	81.09	81.04	81.17(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	12	-10	17	-4	1.54	39%	-0.01	-13	0.23%	0	0.2	54	0
13	Dec_4_2015	81.56	81.13	81.22	81.16	81.13	80.93	81.03(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-20	-65	-26	3.82	41%	0	-28	0.23%	0	-0.5	50	0
14	Dec_3_2015	81.56	81.14	81.24	81.23	81.22	81.14	80.71(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-53	-10	-68	-9	2.51	38%	0	-28	0.23%	0	-2.2	47	0
15	Dec_2_2015	81.56	81.18	81.29	81.34	81.33	81.33	81.34(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-0	8	57	1.41	43%	0	-27.3	0.2%	0	0.9	78	0

16	Dec_1_2015	81.56	81.18	81.28	81.33	81.33	81.31	81.44(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	12	-0	-4	61	1.78	43%	0.01	-52.4	0.2%	0	1.6	87	0
17	Nov_30_2015	81.55	81.17	81.24	81.3	81.32	81.34	81.3(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	0	8	66	6.29	43%	0	-72.7	0.2%	0	0.7	87	0
18	Nov_27_2015	81.55	81.19	81.22	81.28	81.3	81.33	81.34(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	25	0	9	73	0.52	43%	0	-66.7	0.2%	0	0.7	81	0
19	Nov_25_2015	81.55	81.2	81.18	81.27	81.28	81.31	81.3(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	0	18	61	0.9	38%	0	-66.7	0.21%	0	0.4	52	0
20	Nov_24_2015	81.55	81.23	81.15	81.23	81.27	81.26	81.29(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	0	11	42	1.36	38%	-0.01	-61	0.21%	0	0.2	44	0

21	Nov_23_2015	81.56	81.26	81.11	81.21	81.22	81.25	81.26(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	0	3	21	1.65	38%	0	-53.2	0.21%	0	0	45	0
22	Nov_20_2015	81.56	81.3	81.07	81.18	81.19	81.27	81.23(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	10	26	5	1.27	38%	0	-52	0.21%	0	-0.2	38	0
23	Nov_19_2015	81.56	81.34	81.04	81.15	81.15	81.2	81.25(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	18	0	33	-27	1.09	41%	0.01	-50.9	0.21%	0	-0.2	30	0
24	Nov_18_2015	81.55	81.38	81.03	81.09	81.1	81.12	81.14(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	0	11	-58	0.94	41%	0	-50	0.22%	0	-0.5	34	0
25	Nov_17_2015	81.55	81.43	81.05	81.05	81.07	81.11	81.18(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	0	18	-83	1.16	41%		-55.2	0.22%	0	-0.5	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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