Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $80.9900 (-0.47%) ($80.9800 - $81.2600) on Mon. Dec. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.23% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $80.9900(-0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(69%)    VCIT(69%)    TLT(61%)    TIP(56%)    VCSH(55%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-63%)    UUP(-24%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-4%)    XOP(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.115% (StdDev 0.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $81.2
5 Day Moving Average   $81.17(-0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.15(-0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.2(-0.26%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.2% (three month std-dev: 0.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2015	81.55		81.15	81.17	81.19	81.23	80.99(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	0	-17	-25	2.97	40%	0	30	0.23%	0	-1.3	44	0
2	Dec_11_2015	81.55	81.2	81.19	81.21	81.22	81.27	81.37(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	0	42	6	1.99	43%	0	50	0.23%	0	1.1	53	0
3	Dec_10_2015	81.55	81.18	81.18	81.14	81.16	81.15	81.15(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	-0	14	-16	2	41%	0	25	0.22%	0	-0.2	47	0
4	Dec_9_2015	81.55	81.17	81.19	81.05	81.1	81.15	81.16(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	10	2	-31	2.08	41%	-0.01	-4.8	0.23%	0	-0.1	52	0
5	Dec_8_2015	81.56	81.16	81.19	81.09	81.05	81.17	81.19(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	10	10	18	-16	1.69	39%	0.01	-4.8	0.23%	0	0.2	51	0

6	Dec_7_2015	81.55	81.14	81.21	81.14	81.09	81.04	81.17(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	12	-10	17	-4	1.54	39%	-0.01	-13	0.23%	0	0.2	54	0
7	Dec_4_2015	81.56	81.13	81.22	81.16	81.13	80.93	81.03(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-20	-65	-26	3.82	41%	0	-28	0.23%	0	-0.5	50	0
8	Dec_3_2015	81.56	81.14	81.24	81.23	81.22	81.14	80.71(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-53	-10	-68	-9	2.51	38%	0	-28	0.23%	0	-2.2	47	0
9	Dec_2_2015	81.56	81.18	81.29	81.34	81.33	81.33	81.34(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-0	8	57	1.41	43%	0	-27.3	0.2%	0	0.9	78	0
10	Dec_1_2015	81.56	81.18	81.28	81.33	81.33	81.31	81.44(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	12	-0	-4	61	1.78	43%	0.01	-52.4	0.2%	0	1.6	87	0

11	Nov_30_2015	81.55	81.17	81.24	81.3	81.32	81.34	81.3(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	0	8	66	6.29	43%	0	-72.7	0.2%	0	0.7	87	0
12	Nov_27_2015	81.55	81.19	81.22	81.28	81.3	81.33	81.34(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	25	0	9	73	0.52	43%	0	-66.7	0.2%	0	0.7	81	0
13	Nov_25_2015	81.55	81.2	81.18	81.27	81.28	81.31	81.3(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	0	18	61	0.9	38%	0	-66.7	0.21%	0	0.4	52	0
14	Nov_24_2015	81.55	81.23	81.15	81.23	81.27	81.26	81.29(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	0	11	42	1.36	38%	-0.01	-61	0.21%	0	0.2	44	0
15	Nov_23_2015	81.56	81.26	81.11	81.21	81.22	81.25	81.26(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	0	3	21	1.65	38%	0	-53.2	0.21%	0	0	45	0

16	Nov_20_2015	81.56	81.3	81.07	81.18	81.19	81.27	81.23(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	10	26	5	1.27	38%	0	-52	0.21%	0	-0.2	38	0
17	Nov_19_2015	81.56	81.34	81.04	81.15	81.15	81.2	81.25(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	18	0	33	-27	1.09	41%	0.01	-50.9	0.21%	0	-0.2	30	0
18	Nov_18_2015	81.55	81.38	81.03	81.09	81.1	81.12	81.14(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	0	11	-58	0.94	41%	0	-50	0.22%	0	-0.5	34	0
19	Nov_17_2015	81.55	81.43	81.05	81.05	81.07	81.11	81.18(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	0	18	-83	1.16	41%	-0.01	-55.2	0.22%	0	-0.5	29	0
20	Nov_16_2015	81.56	81.47	81.06	80.99	81.02	81.09	81.09(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	10	25	-115	0.95	41%	0.01	-57.6	0.22%	0	-0.8	23	0

21	Nov_13_2015	81.55	81.51	81.09	80.94	80.98	81.03	81.09(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	10	29	-147	1.58	41%	0	-58.3	0.22%	0	-0.9	24	0
22	Nov_12_2015	81.55	81.56	81.15	80.9	80.92	80.96	80.94(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-41	0	3	-173	1.26	41%	-0.01	-58.3	0.22%	0	-1.3	23	0
23	Nov_11_2015	81.56	81.62	81.22	80.96	80.9	80.93	80.93(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-56	0	-11	-190	1.3	44%	0	-54.2	0.22%	0	-1.4	20	0
24	Nov_10_2015	81.56	81.69	81.31	81.05	80.99	80.93	80.92(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-10	-23	-189	1.42	44%	0	-50.9	0.22%	0	-1.7	25	0
25	Nov_9_2015	81.56	81.75	81.43	81.13	81.09	80.88	80.83(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-112	-20	-83	-197	2.36	44%		-49	0.22%	0	-2.2	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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