Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ BND: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $81.7700 (0.28%) ($81.5900 - $81.7800) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.24% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $81.7700(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VCIT(70%)    LQD(69%)    TLT(62%)    TIP(56%)    VCSH(55%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-64%)    UUP(-23%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-5%)    XOP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.12% (StdDev 0.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.4(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.43(0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.51(0.32%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.29% (three month std-dev: 0.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2015	81.57		81.43	81.4	81.32	81.49	81.77(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	63	10	77	21	1.64	54%	-0.01	-34.5	0.24%	0	1.1	54	0
2	Sep_17_2015	81.58	81.51	81.4	81.33	81.28	81.18	81.54(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10	4	-21	1.83	53%	-0.02	-32.3	0.24%	0	0.1	50	0
3	Sep_16_2015	81.6	81.53	81.38	81.28	81.32	81.16	81.08(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-65	-10	-66	-60	1.58	50%	-0.02	-35.5	0.23%	0	-1.8	42	0
4	Sep_15_2015	81.62	81.55	81.42	81.36	81.39	81.38	81.13(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	0	-34	-42	1.7	50%	-0.02	-35.7	0.23%	0	-1.8	34	0
5	Sep_14_2015	81.64	81.58	81.42	81.42	81.39	81.49	81.47(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	10	13	-29	0.91	54%	-0.02	-26.9	0.23%	0	-0.5	34	0

6	Sep_11_2015	81.66	81.59	81.46	81.46	81.42	81.41	81.45(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-5	-0	6	-39	1.41	57%	-0.02	-23.1	0.23%	0	-0.7	33	0
7	Sep_10_2015	81.68	81.6	81.47	81.47	81.45	81.36	81.28(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10	-20	-60	1.89	57%	-0.02	-19.2	0.23%	0	-1.5	33	0
8	Sep_9_2015	81.7	81.62	81.48	81.49	81.49	81.42	81.45(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10	-30	-75	4.27	54%	-0.02	-13	0.23%	0	-0.9	39	0
9	Sep_8_2015	81.72	81.62	81.51	81.5	81.5	81.42	81.47(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	0	2	-54	1.19	54%	-0.05	-4.3	0.24%	0	-0.9	50	0
10	Sep_4_2015	81.76	81.62	81.56	81.49	81.49	81.55	81.67(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	10	25	-38	1.21	55%	-0.02	-13	0.24%	0	0.2	50	0

11	Sep_3_2015	81.78	81.62	81.59	81.47	81.47	81.45	81.47(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-0	0	-40	2.5	50%	-0.02	-21.7	0.24%	0	-0.9	50	0
12	Sep_2_2015	81.8	81.62	81.64	81.48	81.51	81.42	81.41(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10	-17	-37	1.93	49%	-0.02	-21.7	0.24%	0	-1.2	47	0
13	Sep_1_2015	81.82	81.64	81.68	81.47	81.52	81.5	81.47(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	0	-26	-39	2.58	46%	-0.01	-26.1	0.25%	0	-0.9	44	0
14	Aug_31_2015	81.83	81.65	81.69	81.53	81.54	81.59	81.44(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	0	-9	-30	3.1	46%	-0.02	-17.4	0.25%	0	-1.1	42	0
15	Aug_28_2015	81.85	81.67	81.72	81.65	81.6	81.54	81.55(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10	-14	-6	2.72	46%	-0.02	0	0.25%	0	-0.6	54	0

16	Aug_27_2015	81.87	81.67	81.73	81.74	81.73	81.49	81.51(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-20	-57	-8	2.67	46%	-0.02	21.7	0.25%	0	-0.9	48	0
17	Aug_26_2015	81.89	81.68	81.74	81.82	81.87	81.65	81.4(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-66	-20	-86	-6	2.74	47%	-0.02	34.8	0.25%	0	-1.5	51	0
18	Aug_25_2015	81.91	81.69	81.74	81.91	81.96	81.98	81.75(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	0	-12	48	5.33	50%	-0.02	54.5	0.25%	0	0.3	59	0
19	Aug_24_2015	81.93	81.68	81.78	81.87	81.93	82.08	82.02(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	20	50	75	4.75	52%	0	59.1	0.25%	0	1.9	62	0
20	Aug_21_2015	81.93	81.66	81.72	81.81	81.78	81.95	82.04(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	55	10	54	58	3.46	53%	-0.01	70	0.25%	0	2.4	53	0

21	Aug_20_2015	81.94	81.64	81.68	81.71	81.71	81.77	81.91(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	44	10	47	33	1.54	53%	-0.02	70.6	0.25%	0	1.9	51	0
22	Aug_19_2015	81.96	81.62	81.64	81.64	81.71	81.62	81.84(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	-4	-0	-5	0	1.36	53%	-0.01	70.6	0.25%	0	1.6	56	0
23	Aug_18_2015	81.97	81.59	81.64	81.63	81.63	81.62	81.55(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	0	-12	-7	1.08	49%	-0.02	66.7	0.25%	0	-0.3	52	0
24	Aug_17_2015	81.99	81.58	81.59	81.67	81.7	81.65	81.7(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-0	13	10	0.82	49%	-0.02	71.4	0.25%	0	0.7	53	0
25	Aug_14_2015	82.01	81.55	81.6	81.63	81.71	81.6	81.55(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10	-30	-12	2.28	51%		68.2	0.25%	0	0	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.