Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $81.2800 (-0.21%) ($81.2800 - $81.4300) on Thu. Sep. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.23% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $81.2800(-0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   BND declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VCIT(70%)    LQD(69%)    TLT(62%)    TIP(56%)    VCSH(55%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-64%)    UUP(-23%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-5%)    XOP(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.115% (StdDev 0.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $81.6
5 Day Moving Average   $81.47(-0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.47(-0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.6(-0.39%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.26% (three month std-dev: 0.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2015	81.68	81.6	81.47	81.47	81.45	81.36	81.28(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10	-20	-60	1.89	57%	-0.02	-19.2	0.23%	0	-1.5	33	INF
2	Sep_9_2015	81.7	81.62	81.48	81.49	81.49	81.42	81.45(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10	-30	-75	4.27	54%	-0.02	-13	0.23%	0	-0.9	39	INF
3	Sep_8_2015	81.72	81.62	81.51	81.5	81.5	81.42	81.47(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	0	2	-54	1.19	54%	-0.05	-4.3	0.24%	0	-0.9	50	INF
4	Sep_4_2015	81.76	81.62	81.56	81.49	81.49	81.55	81.67(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	10	25	-38	1.21	55%	-0.02	-13	0.24%	0	0.2	50	INF
5	Sep_3_2015	81.78	81.62	81.59	81.47	81.47	81.45	81.47(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-0	0	-40	2.5	50%	-0.02	-21.7	0.24%	0	-0.9	50	INF

6	Sep_2_2015	81.8	81.62	81.64	81.48	81.51	81.42	81.41(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10	-17	-37	1.93	49%	-0.02	-21.7	0.24%	0	-1.2	47	INF
7	Sep_1_2015	81.82	81.64	81.68	81.47	81.52	81.5	81.47(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	0	-26	-39	2.58	46%	-0.01	-26.1	0.25%	0	-0.9	44	INF
8	Aug_31_2015	81.83	81.65	81.69	81.53	81.54	81.59	81.44(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	0	-9	-30	3.1	46%	-0.02	-17.4	0.25%	0	-1.1	42	INF
9	Aug_28_2015	81.85	81.67	81.72	81.65	81.6	81.54	81.55(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10	-14	-6	2.72	46%	-0.02	0	0.25%	0	-0.6	54	INF
10	Aug_27_2015	81.87	81.67	81.73	81.74	81.73	81.49	81.51(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-20	-57	-8	2.67	46%	-0.02	21.7	0.25%	0	-0.9	48	INF

11	Aug_26_2015	81.89	81.68	81.74	81.82	81.87	81.65	81.4(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-66	-20	-86	-6	2.74	47%	-0.02	34.8	0.25%	0	-1.5	51	INF
12	Aug_25_2015	81.91	81.69	81.74	81.91	81.96	81.98	81.75(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	0	-12	48	5.33	50%	-0.02	54.5	0.25%	0	0.3	59	INF
13	Aug_24_2015	81.93	81.68	81.78	81.87	81.93	82.08	82.02(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	20	50	75	4.75	52%	0	59.1	0.25%	0	1.9	62	INF
14	Aug_21_2015	81.93	81.66	81.72	81.81	81.78	81.95	82.04(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	55	10	54	58	3.46	53%	-0.01	70	0.25%	0	2.4	53	INF
15	Aug_20_2015	81.94	81.64	81.68	81.71	81.71	81.77	81.91(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	44	10	47	33	1.54	53%	-0.02	70.6	0.25%	0	1.9	51	INF

16	Aug_19_2015	81.96	81.62	81.64	81.64	81.71	81.62	81.84(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	-4	-0	-5	0	1.36	53%	-0.01	70.6	0.25%	0	1.6	56	INF
17	Aug_18_2015	81.97	81.59	81.64	81.63	81.63	81.62	81.55(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	0	-12	-7	1.08	49%	-0.02	66.7	0.25%	0	-0.3	52	INF
18	Aug_17_2015	81.99	81.58	81.59	81.67	81.7	81.65	81.7(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-0	13	10	0.82	49%	-0.02	71.4	0.25%	0	0.7	53	INF
19	Aug_14_2015	82.01	81.55	81.6	81.63	81.71	81.6	81.55(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10	-30	-12	2.28	51%	-0.01	68.2	0.25%	0	0	45	INF
20	Aug_13_2015	82.02	81.54	81.6	81.64	81.71	81.75	81.58(-0.21%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-8	10	-12	4	0.85	51%	-0.02	73.9	0.26%	0	0.2	51	INF

21	Aug_12_2015	82.04	81.52	81.63	81.62	81.7	81.82	81.75(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	10	52	28	1.03	51%	-0.02	60	0.25%	0	1.2	56	INF
22	Aug_11_2015	82.06	81.5	81.6	81.56	81.6	81.65	81.78(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	10	32	15	1.42	49%	-0.01	40.7	0.25%	0	1.3	62	INF
23	Aug_10_2015	82.07	81.46	81.58	81.51	81.51	81.57	81.47(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	10	-7	-0	1.17	46%	-0.02	22.6	0.26%	0	0	57	INF
24	Aug_7_2015	82.09	81.43	81.6	81.58	81.54	81.55	81.64(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-0	14	36	1.77	48%	-0.02	18.8	0.26%	0	0.8	66	INF
25	Aug_6_2015	82.11	81.4	81.59	81.62	81.57	81.44	81.47(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-12	-10	-27	33	1.17	47%		22.6	0.26%	0	0.3	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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