Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $81.9100 (0.09%) ($81.8400 - $81.9700) on Thu. Aug. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.25% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $81.9100(0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(69%)    TLT(62%)    TIP(57%)    BNDX(52%)    PCY(44%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-64%)    UUP(-23%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-5%)    XOP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.125% (StdDev 0.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.71(0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.68(0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.64(0.33%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.17% (three month std-dev: 0.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20150920

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_20_2015	81.94	81.64	81.68	81.71	81.71	81.77	81.91(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	44	10	47	33	1.54	53%	-0.02	70.6	0.25%	0	1.9	51	INF
2	Aug_19_2015	81.96	81.62	81.64	81.64	81.71	81.62	81.84(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	-4	-0	-5	0	1.36	53%	-0.01	70.6	0.25%	0	1.6	56	INF
3	Aug_18_2015	81.97	81.59	81.64	81.63	81.63	81.62	81.55(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	0	-12	-7	1.08	49%	-0.02	66.7	0.25%	0	-0.3	52	INF
4	Aug_17_2015	81.99	81.58	81.59	81.67	81.7	81.65	81.7(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-0	13	10	0.82	49%	-0.02	71.4	0.25%	0	0.7	53	INF
5	Aug_14_2015	82.01	81.55	81.6	81.63	81.71	81.6	81.55(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10	-30	-12	2.28	51%	-0.01	68.2	0.25%	0	0	45	INF

6	Aug_13_2015	82.02	81.54	81.6	81.64	81.71	81.75	81.58(-0.21%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-8	10	-12	4	0.85	51%	-0.02	73.9	0.26%	0	0.2	51	INF
7	Aug_12_2015	82.04	81.52	81.63	81.62	81.7	81.82	81.75(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	10	52	28	1.03	51%	-0.02	60	0.25%	0	1.2	56	INF
8	Aug_11_2015	82.06	81.5	81.6	81.56	81.6	81.65	81.78(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	10	32	15	1.42	49%	-0.01	40.7	0.25%	0	1.3	62	INF
9	Aug_10_2015	82.07	81.46	81.58	81.51	81.51	81.57	81.47(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	10	-7	-0	1.17	46%	-0.02	22.6	0.26%	0	0	57	INF
10	Aug_7_2015	82.09	81.43	81.6	81.58	81.54	81.55	81.64(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-0	14	36	1.77	48%	-0.02	18.8	0.26%	0	0.8	66	INF

11	Aug_6_2015	82.11	81.43	81.59	81.62	81.57	81.44	81.47(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-12	-10	-27	33	1.17	47%	-0.02	22.6	0.26%	0	0.3	58	INF
12	Aug_5_2015	82.13	81.4	81.6	81.63	81.65	81.53	81.42(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-20	-10	-39	37	2.1	47%	-0.01	34.4	0.26%	0	0.1	57	INF
13	Aug_4_2015	82.14	81.41	81.59	81.64	81.68	81.71	81.55(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	0	-8	54	1.01	47%	-0.01	43.8	0.26%	0	0.5	61	INF
14	Aug_3_2015	82.15	81.4	81.57	81.65	81.64	81.77	81.83(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	43	10	31	79	2.09	48%	-0.01	46.9	0.26%	0	1.7	78	INF
15	Jul_31_2015	82.16	81.38	81.5	81.62	81.6	81.65	81.81(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	45	0	32	84	1.59	46%	-0.01	55.2	0.26%	0	1.8	80	INF

16	Jul_30_2015	82.17	81.34	81.44	81.62	81.58	81.52	81.53(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-0	-9	68	0.79	44%	-0.01	53.6	0.26%	0	0.8	66	INF
17	Jul_29_2015	82.18	81.31	81.41	81.57	81.59	81.56	81.5(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-0	-9	63	1.02	43%	-0.01	43.3	0.26%	0	0.8	50	INF
18	Jul_28_2015	82.19	81.3	81.39	81.53	81.57	81.64	81.57(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	10	17	56	1.43	41%	-0.01	43.3	0.27%	0	1.1	44	INF
19	Jul_27_2015	82.2	81.29	81.33	81.47	81.5	81.62	81.71(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	10	49	48	2.02	41%	0	42.9	0.27%	0	1.8	53	INF
20	Jul_24_2015	82.2	81.25	81.24	81.35	81.38	81.49	81.55(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	10	37	15	0.8	41%	-0.01	14.8	0.27%	0	1.4	52	INF

21	Jul_23_2015	82.21	81.22	81.19	81.29	81.28	81.38	81.5(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	22	10	29	0	1.18	41%	-0.02	3.8	0.27%	0	1.3	58	INF
22	Jul_22_2015	82.23	81.2	81.18	81.24	81.24	81.27	81.31(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	0	24	1	1.62	40%	-0.01	-12	0.27%	0	0.5	60	INF
23	Jul_21_2015	82.24	81.2	81.21	81.22	81.19	81.18	81.28(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-0	3	1	1.42	40%	-0.01	-20	0.27%	0	0.5	50	INF
24	Jul_20_2015	82.25	81.19	81.22	81.17	81.17	81.2	81.13(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	5	0	8	-3	1.03	40%	-0.02	-28	0.27%	0	-0.3	46	INF
25	Jul_17_2015	82.27	81.21	81.25	81.11	81.13	81.21	81.24(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	10	27	9	0.81	40%		-25.9	0.27%	0	0.1	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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