Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $81.2800 (0.18%) ($81.1000 - $81.3300) on Tue. Jul. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.27% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $81.2800(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(69%)    TLT(62%)    TIP(57%)    BNDX(52%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-64%)    UUP(-23%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-5%)    XOP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.135% (StdDev 0.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.22(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.21(0.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.19(0.11%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.25% (three month std-dev: 0.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2015	82.24		81.21	81.22	81.19	81.18	81.28(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-0	3	1	1.42	40%	-0.01	-20	0.27%	0	0.5	50	0
2	Jul_20_2015	82.25	81.19	81.22	81.17	81.17	81.2	81.13(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	5	0	8	-3	1.03	40%	-0.02	-28	0.27%	0	-0.3	46	0
3	Jul_17_2015	82.27	81.21	81.25	81.11	81.13	81.21	81.24(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	10	27	9	0.81	40%	-0.02	-25.9	0.27%	0	0.1	56	0
4	Jul_16_2015	82.29	81.22	81.23	81.07	81.04	81.14	81.23(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	10	13	-4	1.06	40%	-0.02	-28.6	0.27%	0	0	53	0
5	Jul_15_2015	82.31	81.23	81.2	81.11	81.02	81.06	81.23(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	0	2	-10	2.63	40%	-0.02	-10.7	0.27%	0	0	51	0

6	Jul_14_2015	82.33	81.24	81.21	81.2	81.11	80.95	81(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-20	-30	-3	1.57	38%	-0.02	6.7	0.27%	0	-1	51	0
7	Jul_13_2015	82.35	81.25	81.24	81.29	81.27	80.97	80.85(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-65	-30	-84	-7	2.85	38%	-0.02	17.9	0.27%	0	-1.7	45	0
8	Jul_10_2015	82.37	81.27	81.26	81.4	81.45	81.26	81.04(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-50	-10	-67	-0	2.04	38%	-0.01	30.8	0.27%	0	-1.1	41	0
9	Jul_9_2015	82.38	81.28	81.27	81.41	81.53	81.57	81.42(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	10	9	24	1.67	40%	-0.02	28	0.26%	0	0.7	50	0
10	Jul_8_2015	82.4	81.25	81.24	81.31	81.43	81.63	81.69(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	50	20	59	21	1.97	41%	0	7.4	0.26%	0	2	52	0

11	Jul_7_2015	82.4	81.22	81.17	81.22	81.24	81.48	81.46(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	41	20	56	-3	4.18	40%	-0.01	-20	0.26%	0	1.2	50	0
12	Jul_6_2015	82.41	81.21	81.15	81.2	81.17	81.24	81.38(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	43	0	58	-4	2.21	40%	-0.02	-39.1	0.26%	0	0.9	53	0
13	Jul_2_2015	82.43	81.2	81.16	81.11	81.14	81	81.1(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10	-16	-40	1.06	37%	-0.02	-82.6	0.25%	0	-0.5	49	0
14	Jul_1_2015	82.45	81.22	81.19	81.1	81.1	81.11	80.9(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-47	0	-46	-50	5.4	35%	-0.02	-100	0.25%	0	-1.7	44	0
15	Jun_30_2015	82.47	81.24	81.25	81.16	81.15	81.28	81.26(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	10	48	12	1.55	37%	-0.02	-108	0.24%	0	0.1	59	0

16	Jun_29_2015	82.49	81.26	81.26	81.12	81.12	81.09	81.34(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-0	24	5	2.17	37%	-0.02	-106.7	0.24%	0	0.3	56	0
17	Jun_26_2015	82.51	81.28	81.25	81.09	81.07	81.02	80.93(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-10	-52	-33	0.96	32%	-0.04	-82.9	0.24%	0	-1.1	43	0
18	Jun_25_2015	82.54	81.35	81.28	81.23	81.17	81.14	81.08(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-11	-0	-17	6	2.89	32%	-0.04	-59.6	0.24%	0	-0.7	48	0
19	Jun_24_2015	82.57	81.41	81.3	81.29	81.29	81.12	81.19(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-23	-10	-31	3	6.84	32%	-0.02	-48	0.24%	0	-0.5	43	0
20	Jun_23_2015	82.59	81.46	81.27	81.35	81.34	81.21	81.04(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55	-10	-68	-15	1.1	32%	-0.05	-37	0.24%	0	-1	46	0

21	Jun_22_2015	82.63	81.52	81.28	81.35	81.34	81.46	81.23(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	0	-2	9	1.02	32%	-0.04	-29.6	0.24%	0	-0.7	41	0
22	Jun_19_2015	82.66	81.56	81.29	81.42	81.41	81.47	81.62(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	0	45	10	1.18	32%	-0.02	-32.7	0.23%	0	0.1	42	0
23	Jun_18_2015	82.68	81.58	81.24	81.33	81.34	81.47	81.39(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	0	6	-55	1.21	35%	-0.04	-37.5	0.23%	0	-0.4	31	0
24	Jun_17_2015	82.71	81.61	81.25	81.31	81.31	81.35	81.45(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	0	23	-70	0.87	35%	-0.02	-39.3	0.25%	0	-0.3	33	0
25	Jun_16_2015	82.73	81.63	81.23	81.19	81.25	81.33	81.42(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	10	32	-112	2.25	35%		-46.4	0.25%	0	-0.5	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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