Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $81.8400 (-0.05%) ($81.8000 - $82.1600) on Wed. May. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.24% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $81.8400(-0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(69%)    TLT(63%)    TIP(57%)    BNDX(52%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-64%)    UUP(-23%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-5%)    XOP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.12% (StdDev 0.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $82.73
5 Day Moving Average   $82.06(-0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.22(-0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.73(-1.08%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.73% (three month std-dev: 0.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.07%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.45%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.97%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.52%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2015	83.05	82.73	82.22	82.06	82.11	81.93	81.84(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-62	-10	-24	-175	2.37	30%	0	-54.8	0.24%	0	-1.5	23	INF
2	May_12_2015	83.05	82.82	82.32	82.1	82.15	82	81.88(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-104	-10	-72	-201	2.14	30%	-0.01	-55.7	0.24%	0	-1.6	29	INF
3	May_11_2015	83.06	82.9	82.43	82.17	82.2	82.28	81.98(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-59	10	-19	-180	0.93	30%	-0.01	-58.5	0.24%	0	-1.7	26	INF
4	May_8_2015	83.07	82.96	82.57	82.25	82.25	82.3	82.41(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	0	36	-160	1.74	32%	0	-61	0.23%	0	-1.1	28	INF
5	May_7_2015	83.07	83.01	82.66	82.27	82.26	82.12	82.19(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-83	-10	-44	-198	3.6	29%	-0.01	-63.8	0.23%	0	-1.7	22	INF

6	May_6_2015	83.08	83.07	82.77	82.41	82.35	82.2	82.02(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-109	-10	-80	-196	3.94	26%	-0.01	-63	0.23%	0	-2.3	23	INF
7	May_5_2015	83.09	83.14	82.88	82.57	82.52	82.39	82.25(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-85	-10	-57	-168	4.18	27%	0	-60.9	0.24%	0	-2.3	24	INF
8	May_4_2015	83.09	83.21	83	82.74	82.65	82.5	82.38(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-91	-20	-72	-146	1.19	27%	-0.01	-55	0.24%	0	-2.5	29	INF
9	May_1_2015	83.1	83.27	83.12	82.93	82.82	82.65	82.5(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-86	-20	-77	-113	7.17	25%	0	-43.8	0.24%	0	-2.9	36	INF
10	Apr_30_2015	83.1	83.32	83.23	83.11	83.04	82.8	82.91(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-68	-20	-67	-69	4.23	33%	0	-25	0.24%	0	-2	43	INF

11	Apr_29_2015	83.1	83.35	83.29	83.18	83.19	83	82.82(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-70	-20	-75	-56	1.91	33%	0	-13.6	0.25%	0	-2.9	40	INF
12	Apr_28_2015	83.1	83.38	83.36	83.24	83.3	83.28	83.08(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-32	0	-32	-30	1.22	37%	0.01	-11.8	0.24%	0	-2.1	40	INF
13	Apr_27_2015	83.09	83.39	83.4	83.31	83.32	83.39	83.34(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	10	10	-6	1.59	39%	0.01	0	0.25%	0	-0.4	44	INF
14	Apr_24_2015	83.08	83.38	83.39	83.34	83.33	83.32	83.4(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-0	5	-6	1.6	39%	0.01	0	0.24%	0	0.2	47	INF
15	Apr_23_2015	83.07	83.37	83.39	83.39	83.37	83.25	83.27(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-10	-32	-18	5.52	42%	0.01	11.8	0.25%	0	-0.7	46	INF

16	Apr_22_2015	83.06	83.38	83.38	83.43	83.44	83.35	83.11(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-34	-10	-38	-20	1.5	42%	0.01	17.6	0.25%	0	-1.9	37	INF
17	Apr_21_2015	83.05	83.4	83.42	83.43	83.49	83.48	83.42(-0.12%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-9	-0	-13	5	1.79	44%	0.01	56.3	0.24%	0	0.2	52	INF
18	Apr_20_2015	83.04	83.39	83.43	83.5	83.51	83.53	83.52(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	0	10	19	2.46	44%	0	75	0.24%	0	1	60	INF
19	Apr_17_2015	83.04	83.38	83.42	83.45	83.5	83.51	83.61(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	0	18	22	1.69	44%	0.01	93.8	0.24%	0	1.8	67	INF
20	Apr_16_2015	83.03	83.36	83.42	83.37	83.44	83.51	83.47(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	10	9	13	1.29	42%	0.01	87.5	0.25%	0	0.8	67	INF

21	Apr_15_2015	83.02	83.35	83.4	83.34	83.39	83.5	83.49(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	28	10	30	22	1.02	46%	0.01	106.3	0.25%	0	1.1	53	INF
22	Apr_14_2015	83.01	83.32	83.39	83.33	83.39	83.38	83.41(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	0	16	11	1.4	46%	0.01	100	0.25%	0	0.6	46	INF
23	Apr_13_2015	83	83.29	83.38	83.35	83.35	83.29	83.26(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10	-16	-2	6.05	46%	0	95.8	0.26%	0	-0.2	47	INF
24	Apr_10_2015	83	83.26	83.37	83.39	83.39	83.33	83.24(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10	-27	-1	4.29	46%	0	90	0.25%	0	-0.1	49	INF
25	Apr_9_2015	83	83.24	83.36	83.43	83.45	83.41	83.28(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-0	-16	7	1.03	46%		85.3	0.26%	0	0.1	57	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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