Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ BND: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $82.7700 (0.19%) ($82.6700 - $82.8700) on Mon. Mar. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.27% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $82.7700(0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(70%)    TLT(63%)    TIP(57%)    BNDX(52%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-65%)    UUP(-23%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-5%)    XOP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.135% (StdDev 0.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.65(0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.53(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.68(0.11%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.33% (three month std-dev: 0.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2015	82.93		82.53	82.65	82.7		82.77(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	0	17	-38	1.2	48%	0	-27.3	0.27%	0	0.3	39	0
2	Mar_13_2015	82.93	82.68	82.52	82.54	82.63	82.71	82.61(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	10	26	-54	2.11	48%	0	-42.4	0.27%	0	-0.3	46	0
3	Mar_12_2015	82.93	82.7	82.56	82.44	82.53	82.68	82.69(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	20	20	44	-54	8.42	50%	-0.01	-61.8	0.27%	0	-0	51	0
4	Mar_11_2015	82.94	82.71	82.58	82.42	82.53	82.54	82.63(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	10	31	-52	4.83	50%	0	-79.4	0.28%	0	-0.3	50	0
5	Mar_10_2015	82.94	82.72	82.64	82.42	82.38	82.37	82.54(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	-0	25	-46	3.77	51%	-0.01	-94.3	0.28%	0	-0.6	47	0

6	Mar_9_2015	82.95	82.75	82.7	82.41	82.4	82.22	82.22(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-20	-49	-62	1.98	49%	-0.01	-105.6	0.27%	0	-1.8	47	0
7	Mar_6_2015	82.96	82.8	82.76	82.49	82.49	82.39	82.12(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-68	-10	-71	-57	1.58	50%	-0.01	-123.5	0.27%	0	-2.4	39	0
8	Mar_5_2015	82.97	82.88	82.82	82.69	82.65	82.58	82.6(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10	-21	-17	1.34	52%	0	-108.6	0.27%	0	-1	42	0
9	Mar_4_2015	82.97	82.93	82.83	82.77	82.76	82.59	82.55(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-43	-10	-49	-24	1.43	52%	-0.01	-85.7	0.27%	0	-1.1	42	0
10	Mar_3_2015	82.98	83	82.83	82.91	82.89	82.71	82.55(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-53	-20	-65	-15	2.65	52%	-0.01	-66	0.27%	0	-1.2	42	0

11	Mar_2_2015	82.99	83.07	82.85	83.03	83.03	82.92	82.65(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-10	-35	-1	2.48	52%	0	-47.2	0.27%	0	-1	40	0
12	Feb_27_2015	82.99	83.15	82.87	83.06	83.07	83.07	83.08(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	3	0	0	12	4.09	54%	0	-35	0.26%	0	-0.1	47	0
13	Feb_26_2015	82.99	83.19	82.87	82.98	83.02	83.14	83.01(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	22	10	31	-6	2.19	55%	0	-32.8	0.26%	0	-0.3	34	0
14	Feb_25_2015	82.99	83.23	82.85	82.9	82.92	83.08	83.24(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	38	10	60	-29	4.93	57%	0	-31.8	0.26%	0	0	33	0
15	Feb_24_2015	82.99	83.25	82.81	82.79	82.8	82.89	83.16(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	17	10	47	-74	2.54	57%	0.01	-37.3	0.26%	0	-0.2	33	0

16	Feb_23_2015	82.98	83.28	82.8	82.79	82.72	82.76	82.82(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	10	17	-134	3.95	55%	-0.01	-44.8	0.26%	0	-0.8	20	0
17	Feb_20_2015	82.99	83.32	82.83	82.65	82.67	82.7	82.65(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-49	0	-6	-178	3.15	55%	0	-46.3	0.26%	0	-1.2	12	0
18	Feb_19_2015	82.99	83.37	82.92	82.72	82.72	82.67	82.63(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-0	-9	-177	1.32	55%	-0.01	-46.9	0.26%	0	-1.4	28	0
19	Feb_18_2015	83	83.41	83.04	82.78	82.8	82.64	82.7(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-76	-10	-39	-186	3.81	55%	0	-46.7	0.26%	0	-1.4	28	0
20	Feb_17_2015	83	83.46	83.15	82.83	82.88	82.77	82.47(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-91	-10	-59	-187	5.28	54%	-0.01	-43.1	0.26%	0	-2.1	32	0

21	Feb_13_2015	83.01	83.52	83.31	82.96	82.97	82.96	82.8(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-0	-18	-143	1.88	57%	-0.01	-36	0.26%	0	-1.7	37	0
22	Feb_12_2015	83.02	83.58	83.46	83.02	83.03	82.99	82.99(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-0	-17	-120	4.66	57%	0	-23.4	0.26%	0	-1.5	37	0
23	Feb_11_2015	83.02	83.62	83.55	83.16	83.1	82.97	82.95(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-70	-10	-58	-106	1.9	57%	0	-11.6	0.26%	0	-1.9	43	0
24	Feb_10_2015	83.02	83.64	83.66	83.34	83.27	83.08	82.95(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-63	-20	-62	-67	1.45	57%	0	5.1	0.27%	0	-2.1	44	0
25	Feb_9_2015	83.02	83.67	83.74	83.51	83.46	83.22	83.1(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-75	-20	-84	-49	1.38	57%		30.6	0.27%	0	-1.9	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.