Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $82.6300 (0.11%) ($82.5100 - $82.6900) on Wed. Mar. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.28% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $82.6300(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   BND declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(70%)    TLT(63%)    TIP(58%)    BNDX(52%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-65%)    UUP(-23%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-5%)    XOP(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.14% (StdDev 0.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $82.71
5 Day Moving Average   $82.42(0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.58(0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.71(-0.1%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.34% (three month std-dev: 0.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2015	82.94	82.71	82.58	82.42		82.54	82.63(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	10	31	-52	4.83	50%	0	-79.4	0.28%	0	-0.3	50	INF
2	Mar_10_2015	82.94	82.72	82.64	82.42	82.38	82.37	82.54(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	-0	25	-46	3.77	51%	-0.01	-94.3	0.28%	0	-0.6	47	INF
3	Mar_9_2015	82.95	82.75	82.7	82.41	82.4	82.22	82.22(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-20	-49	-62	1.98	49%	-0.01	-105.6	0.27%	0	-1.8	47	INF
4	Mar_6_2015	82.96	82.8	82.76	82.49	82.49	82.39	82.12(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-68	-10	-71	-57	1.58	50%	-0.01	-123.5	0.27%	0	-2.4	39	INF
5	Mar_5_2015	82.97	82.88	82.82	82.69	82.65	82.58	82.6(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10	-21	-17	1.34	52%	0	-108.6	0.27%	0	-1	42	INF

6	Mar_4_2015	82.97	82.93	82.83	82.77	82.76	82.59	82.55(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-43	-10	-49	-24	1.43	52%	-0.01	-85.7	0.27%	0	-1.1	42	INF
7	Mar_3_2015	82.98	83	82.83	82.91	82.89	82.71	82.55(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-53	-20	-65	-15	2.65	52%	-0.01	-66	0.27%	0	-1.2	42	INF
8	Mar_2_2015	82.99	83.07	82.85	83.03	83.03	82.92	82.65(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-10	-35	-1	2.48	52%	0	-47.2	0.27%	0	-1	40	INF
9	Feb_27_2015	82.99	83.15	82.87	83.06	83.07	83.07	83.08(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	3	0	0	12	4.09	54%	0	-35	0.26%	0	-0.1	47	INF
10	Feb_26_2015	82.99	83.19	82.87	82.98	83.02	83.14	83.01(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	22	10	31	-6	2.19	55%	0	-32.8	0.26%	0	-0.3	34	INF

11	Feb_25_2015	82.99	83.23	82.85	82.9	82.92	83.08	83.24(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	38	10	60	-29	4.93	57%	0	-31.8	0.26%	0	0	33	INF
12	Feb_24_2015	82.99	83.25	82.81	82.79	82.8	82.89	83.16(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	17	10	47	-74	2.54	57%	0.01	-37.3	0.26%	0	-0.2	33	INF
13	Feb_23_2015	82.98	83.28	82.8	82.79	82.72	82.76	82.82(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	10	17	-134	3.95	55%	-0.01	-44.8	0.26%	0	-0.8	20	INF
14	Feb_20_2015	82.99	83.32	82.83	82.65	82.67	82.7	82.65(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-49	0	-6	-178	3.15	55%	0	-46.3	0.26%	0	-1.2	12	INF
15	Feb_19_2015	82.99	83.37	82.92	82.72	82.72	82.67	82.63(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-0	-9	-177	1.32	55%	-0.01	-46.9	0.26%	0	-1.4	28	INF

16	Feb_18_2015	83	83.41	83.04	82.78	82.8	82.64	82.7(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-76	-10	-39	-186	3.81	55%	0	-46.7	0.26%	0	-1.4	28	INF
17	Feb_17_2015	83	83.46	83.15	82.83	82.88	82.77	82.47(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-91	-10	-59	-187	5.28	54%	-0.01	-43.1	0.26%	0	-2.1	32	INF
18	Feb_13_2015	83.01	83.52	83.31	82.96	82.97	82.96	82.8(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-0	-18	-143	1.88	57%	-0.01	-36	0.26%	0	-1.7	37	INF
19	Feb_12_2015	83.02	83.58	83.46	83.02	83.03	82.99	82.99(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-0	-17	-120	4.66	57%	0	-23.4	0.26%	0	-1.5	37	INF
20	Feb_11_2015	83.02	83.62	83.55	83.16	83.1	82.97	82.95(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-70	-10	-58	-106	1.9	57%	0	-11.6	0.26%	0	-1.9	43	INF

21	Feb_10_2015	83.02	83.64	83.66	83.34	83.27	83.08	82.95(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-63	-20	-62	-67	1.45	57%	0	5.1	0.27%	0	-2.1	44	INF
22	Feb_9_2015	83.02	83.67	83.74	83.51	83.46	83.22	83.1(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-75	-20	-84	-49	1.38	57%	0	30.6	0.27%	0	-1.9	43	INF
23	Feb_6_2015	83.02	83.67	83.8	83.71	83.64	83.47	83.13(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-71	-20	-87	-24	2.91	57%	0	55.6	0.27%	0	-1.8	42	INF
24	Feb_5_2015	83.02	83.68	83.87	83.95	83.83	83.71	83.67(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-21	-10	-38	31	2.13	62%	0.02	88.9	0.26%	0	-0	44	INF
25	Feb_4_2015	83	83.66	83.86	84	83.97	83.8	83.85(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-17	-20	-35	37	2.95	62%		102.6	0.26%	0	0.6	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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