Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $82.8900 (0.29%) ($82.7000 - $82.9200) on Mon. Jan. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.26% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $82.8900(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(70%)    TLT(63%)    TIP(58%)    BNDX(52%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-65%)    UUP(-23%)    DIA(-7%)    XHB(-5%)    XOP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.13% (StdDev 0.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.49(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.42(0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.53(0.44%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.35% (three month std-dev: 0.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2015	82.54	82.53	82.42	82.49	82.53	82.68	82.89(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	51	10	70	-7	5.82	58%	0.01	-5.7	0.26%	0	1.2	47	0
2	Jan_2_2015	82.53	82.51	82.38	82.34	82.39	82.47	82.65(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	19	10	40	-44	2.22	54%	0	-23.5	0.26%	0	0.5	50	0
3	Dec_31_2014	82.53	82.49	82.39	82.22	82.28	82.39	82.37(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	10	33	-68	1.71	50%	0	-42.4	0.26%	0	-0.4	43	0
4	Dec_30_2014	82.53	82.5	82.44	82.14	82.18	82.32	82.31(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	10	24	-71	5.85	50%	-0.01	-48.5	0.26%	0	-0.7	48	0
5	Dec_29_2014	82.54	82.51	82.48	82.23	82.13	82.18	82.25(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	0	1	-60	2.73	50%	-0.01	0	0.27%	0	-1	48	0

6	Dec_26_2014	82.55	82.54	82.55	82.34	82.25	82.05	82.11(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-20	-28	-40	1.3	50%	-0.02	0	0.27%	0	-1.6	50	0
7	Dec_24_2014	82.57	82.57	82.6	82.44	82.39	82.07	82.04(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-84	-30	-95	-51	2.28	50%	-0.04	0	0.28%	0	-2.1	43	0
8	Dec_23_2014	82.6	82.61	82.67	82.58	82.55	82.44	82.01(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-66	-10	-82	-18	6.12	50%	-0.04	0	0.28%	0	-2.7	46	0
9	Dec_22_2014	82.63	82.63	82.73	82.58	82.71	82.71	82.75(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-0	7	63	2.16	67%	0.01	0	0.21%	0	0.7	59	0
10	Dec_19_2014	82.62	82.63	82.7	82.77	82.76	82.65	82.79(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10	-20	-8	2.2	67%	0.01	0	0.21%	0	459.9	54	0

11	Dec_18_2014	82.61	82.63	82.66	82.77	82.79	82.71	82.61(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-10	-47	-19	1.63	64%	0	0	0.21%	0	458.9	44	0
12	Dec_17_2014	82.61	82.63	82.65	82.79	82.85	82.87	82.74(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	0	11	4	3.94	64%	0.01	0	0.22%	0	435.5	50	0
13	Dec_16_2014	82.6	82.63	82.61	82.78	82.79	82.86	82.94(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	10	31	12	6.53	71%	0.02	0	0.21%	0	436.5	56	0
14	Dec_15_2014	82.58	82.63	82.56	82.69	82.71	82.82	82.75(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	10	40	16	5.51	67%	0.01	0	0.21%	0	459.7	57	0
15	Dec_12_2014	82.57	82.63	82.54	82.63	82.64	82.72	82.9(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	48	10	56	22	6.23	67%	0.04	0	0.21%	0	460.6	50	0

16	Dec_11_2014	82.54	82.63	82.54	82.51	82.53	82.61	82.62(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	10	23	9	3.28	60%	0	0	0.2%	0	516.4	50	0
17	Dec_10_2014	82.54	82.63	82.53	82.49	82.46	82.57	82.7(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	36	10	42	17	4.08	60%	0.02	0	0.21%	0	516.9	50	0
18	Dec_9_2014	82.52	82.63	82.53	82.42	82.42	82.45	82.48(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	0	32	13	3.73	53%	-0.01	0	0.2%	0	515.5	50	0
19	Dec_8_2014	82.53	82.63	82.52	82.41	82.38	82.35	82.45(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-0	-14	-6	2.84	53%	-0.01	0	0.21%	0	485	50	0
20	Dec_5_2014	82.54	82.63	82.52	82.43	82.4	82.39	82.28(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-0	-36	-14	3.7	44%	-0.04	0	0.21%	0	484	50	0

21	Dec_4_2014	82.57	82.63	82.52	82.55	82.5	82.42	82.52(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10	-16	-6	1.56	59%	-0.01	0	0.2%	0	515.8	50	0
22	Dec_3_2014	82.58	82.63	82.52	82.59	82.59	82.41	82.38(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-49	-20	-57	-23	3.88	59%	-0.04	0	0.21%	0	484.6	50	0
23	Dec_2_2014	82.61	82.63	82.52	82.64	82.68	82.57	82.4(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-40	-10	-47	-19	5.21	59%	-0.05	0	0.23%	0	515	50	0
24	Dec_1_2014	82.65	82.63	82.52	82.65	82.7	82.77	82.58(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	1935	10	2276	910	3.68	59%	-0.02	0	0.22%	0	589.9	50	0
25	Nov_28_2014	82.67	82.63	82.52	66.13	82.63	82.79	82.87(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	111.6	56831	760	66860	26744	0.73	100%		0	0.01%	0	552.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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