Trading Signals: BK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: BK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Bank of New York Mellon Corporation)
BK latest price $37.3849 (2.02%) ($37.0620 - $37.4703) on Tue. Jul. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $37.3849(2.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BK advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BK declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(77%)    IWD(70%)    IVE(69%)    VYM(69%)    SDY(66%)
Factors Impacting BK price   BK will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-9%)    IPO(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.37(2.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.14(3.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.88(1.37%)
To recent high   -7.1%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $33.118b

The Bank of New York Mellon Corp. is a bank holding company, which engages in the provision of financial services. It operates through the following segments: Investment Management, Investment Services, and Other. The Investment Management segment provides services to institutional and retail investors, as well as investment management, wealth and estate planning. The Investment Services segment includes institutional trust and custody fees, broker-dealer services, corporate trust, depositary receipts, and foreign exchange. The Other segment consists of leasing portfolio, corporate treasury, derivatives, and insurance services. The company was founded by Alexander Hamilton on June 9, 1784 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. BK price fluctuates within 3.82% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.76%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.59%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.39%(75%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.78%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -20%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2016	36.88	36.88	36.14	36.37	36.54	37.03	37.38(2.02%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	18	110	31	-20	5.77	56%	0.11	-51.6	1.95%	0	0.4	46	INF
2	Jul_11_2016	36.84	36.94	35.81	35.95	36.01	36.59	36.64(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	120	22	-77	3.93	54%	0.11	-61.8	1.94%	0	-0.2	43	INF
3	Jul_8_2016	36.8	37.06	35.74	35.84	35.67	36.05	36.55(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	60	14	-101	4.74	54%	0.11	-62	1.95%	0	-0.3	44	INF
4	Jul_7_2016	36.76	37.2	35.99	35.91	35.68	35.43	35.86(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-70	-1	-97	5.71	51%	0.08	-60	1.93%	0	-0.8	41	INF
5	Jul_6_2016	36.73	37.4	36.23	35.96	35.89	35.29	35.43(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-120	-15	-97	8.48	51%	0.08	-57.7	1.98%	0	-1.2	39	INF

6	Jul_5_2016	36.7	37.62	36.52	35.86	36.03	35.93	35.26(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10	-5	-96	10.25	51%	0.08	-59.5	1.99%	0	-1.4	39	INF
7	Jul_1_2016	36.67	37.87	36.83	35.62	35.84	36.5	36.12(-2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	150	16	-104	5.72	53%	0.14	-64.9	1.96%	0	-1	38	INF
8	Jun_30_2016	36.62	38.04	37.02	35.61	35.41	36.13	36.89(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-23	130	9	-120	7.42	55%	0.14	-66.7	1.92%	0	-0.7	40	INF
9	Jun_29_2016	36.57	38.2	37.14	36.12	35.45	35.18	36.08(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-42	-110	-16	-120	8.43	53%	0.14	-59	1.91%	0	-1.3	34	INF
10	Jun_28_2016	36.52	38.4	37.36	36.62	36.35	34.69	34.93(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-81	-340	-63	-133	6.53	50%	0.08	-52	1.87%	0	-2.1	24	INF

11	Jun_27_2016	36.49	38.66	37.7	37.31	37.31	35.73	34.07(-5.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-110	-300	-102	-133	10.93	47%	0.05	-43.1	1.84%	0	-3.1	17	INF
12	Jun_24_2016	36.47	38.99	38.21	38.17	38.26	38.01	36.07(-8.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2	-56	-40	-46	-86	12.06	54%	0.08	-34.1	1.72%	0	-2.8	21	INF
13	Jun_23_2016	36.44	39.19	38.54	38.56	38.73	38.89	39.45(2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	40	31	-54	4.49	69%	0.19	-25.1	1.34%	0	0.3	49	INF
14	Jun_22_2016	36.37	39.22	38.53	38.3	38.45	38.51	38.55(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	20	4	-89	4.7	67%	0.17	-28.4	1.32%	0	-0.8	33	INF
15	Jun_21_2016	36.31	39.27	38.65	38.24	38.28	38.57	38.4(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	60	10	-95	3.7	67%	0.14	-21.4	1.32%	0	-1.1	30	INF

16	Jun_20_2016	36.26	39.3	38.8	38.18	38.25	38.39	38.38(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	30	11	-100	4.96	67%	0.11	-17.3	1.32%	0	-1.2	33	INF
17	Jun_17_2016	36.22	39.34	38.97	38.29	38.21	38	38.04(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-40	-18	-104	5.47	69%	0.14	-4.8	1.34%	0	-1.8	27	INF
18	Jun_16_2016	36.17	39.39	39.12	38.51	38.44	38.11	38.14(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-70	-29	-101	3.97	69%	0.14	10.3	1.34%	0	-1.8	32	INF
19	Jun_15_2016	36.12	39.39	39.32	38.79	38.75	38.42	38.23(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-47	-60	-33	-87	4.21	69%	0.14	33.1	1.35%	0	-1.9	31	INF
20	Jun_14_2016	36.07	39.39	39.51	39.13	39.05	38.77	38.13(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-40	-60	-33	-61	6.52	69%	0.17	43	1.35%	0	-1.9	38	INF

21	Jun_13_2016	36.01	39.44	39.7	39.49	39.42	39.07	38.89(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-70	-26	-27	5.27	74%	0.17	56.8	1.32%	0	-0.8	53	INF
22	Jun_10_2016	35.95	39.38	39.83	39.76	39.68	39.33	39.16(-0.98%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-17	-70	-23	3	5.33	76%	0.2	59.2	1.35%	0	-0.3	55	INF
23	Jun_9_2016	35.88	39.32	39.92	39.82	39.9	39.77	39.55(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-20	-12	23	5.62	76%	0.17	58.5	1.34%	0	0.3	61	INF
24	Jun_8_2016	35.82	39.24	39.97	39.91	39.9	39.77	39.94(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	30	-1	44	3.54	76%	0.17	61.6	1.34%	0	0.7	61	INF
25	Jun_7_2016	35.76	39.15	39.94	39.95	39.83	40.04	39.92(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	30	17	71	4.63	76%		65.4	1.37%	0	0.8	71	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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