Trading Signals: BK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: BK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Bank of New York Mellon Corporation)
BK latest price $32.0650 (0.95%) ($31.5971 - $32.1751) on Thu. Jun. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $32.0650(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BK advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(78%)    VT(65%)    XLI(65%)    SPY(64%)    IWM(63%)
Factors Impacting BK price   BK will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    VIXM(-30%)    IGOV(-13%)    GLD(-10%)    TIP(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.81(0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.76(0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.6(1.47%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $28.405b

The Bank of New York Mellon Corp. is a bank holding company, which engages in the provision of financial services. It operates through the following segments: Investment Management, Investment Services, and Other. The Investment Management segment provides services to institutional and retail investors, as well as investment management, wealth and estate planning. The Investment Services segment includes institutional trust and custody fees, broker-dealer services, corporate trust, depositary receipts, and foreign exchange. The Other segment consists of leasing portfolio, corporate treasury, derivatives, and insurance services. The company was founded by Alexander Hamilton on June 9, 1784 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. BK price fluctuates within 0.92% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.04%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.64%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.63%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.33%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.88%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.33%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140705

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_5_2014	31.39	31.6	31.76	31.81	31.78	31.84	32.07(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	22	10	11	53	3.89	51%	0.03	44.6	1.09%	0	1.6	82	INF
2	Jun_4_2014	31.38	31.57	31.7	31.74	31.71	31.74	31.76(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	0	5	47	3.09	51%	0.03	47.7	1.1%	0	0.7	59	INF
3	Jun_3_2014	31.37	31.52	31.65	31.7	31.67	31.71	31.73(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	10	1	31	2.59	51%	0.03	35.7	1.11%	0	0.7	44	INF
4	Jun_2_2014	31.36	31.51	31.61	31.71	31.66	31.68	31.79(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-0	3	24	3.22	51%	0	50	1.12%	0	0.9	46	INF
5	May_30_2014	31.36	31.5	31.56	31.71	31.66	31.63	31.71(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5	-10	-0	21	3.97	51%	0.03	62.1	1.13%	0	0.7	57	INF

6	May_29_2014	31.35	31.47	31.48	31.7	31.66	31.64	31.73(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10	-0	9	2.97	51%	0.03	67.4	1.14%	0	0.9	51	INF
7	May_28_2014	31.34	31.44	31.44	31.65	31.67	31.71	31.53(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	10	4	5	3.92	51%	0	57.6	1.15%	0	0.3	51	INF
8	May_27_2014	31.34	31.42	31.44	31.6	31.64	31.7	31.79(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	20	12	21	4.03	51%	0.03	54.9	1.15%	0	1.2	63	INF
9	May_23_2014	31.33	31.36	31.48	31.5	31.51	31.63	31.73(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	30	11	18	3.02	51%	0.03	39.1	1.16%	0	1	53	INF
10	May_22_2014	31.32	31.31	31.44	31.4	31.4	31.58	31.72(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	40	22	9	4.08	51%	0.03	31.3	1.17%	0	1.1	51	INF

11	May_21_2014	31.31	31.27	31.44	31.23	31.25	31.38	31.5(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	30	12	-4	3.11	51%	0	24.1	1.18%	0	0.7	54	INF
12	May_20_2014	31.31	31.26	31.42	31.2	31.11	31.22	31.27(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	20	-5	-8	4.97	51%	0	33.9	1.19%	0	0	53	INF
13	May_19_2014	31.31	31.24	31.38	31.34	31.21	31.11	31.28(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-30	-6	2	3.07	51%	0	50.8	1.21%	0	0.1	54	INF
14	May_16_2014	31.31	31.22	31.4	31.47	31.38	31	31.22(1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-90	-17	21	6.81	51%	0	65.6	1.22%	0	0	58	INF
15	May_15_2014	31.31	31.2	31.44	31.48	31.55	31.3	30.87(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-15	-50	-29	29	4.89	51%	-0.03	69.6	1.22%	0	-0.8	52	INF

16	May_14_2014	31.32	31.19	31.48	31.63	31.64	31.77	31.36(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	30	-2	59	4.32	54%	0	72.5	1.21%	0	0.4	57	INF
17	May_13_2014	31.32	31.14	31.45	31.65	31.62	31.8	31.98(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	40	29	72	3.65	58%	0.06	62.1	1.18%	0	1.9	56	INF
18	May_12_2014	31.3	31.06	31.35	31.42	31.43	31.51	31.91(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	20	12	47	3.88	58%	0.03	44.9	1.2%	0	2	61	INF
19	May_9_2014	31.29	30.97	31.22	31.33	31.28	31.43	31.29(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	30	-1	34	5.94	55%	0	26.5	1.17%	0	0.8	57	NAN
20	May_8_2014	31.29	30.93	31.18	31.4	31.29	31.36	31.62(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	10	15	46	5.78	55%	0.03	9.6	1.18%	0	1.6	60	NAN

21	May_7_2014	31.28	30.89	31.1	31.3	31.28	31.14	31.47(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-30	1	38	4.48	55%	0	-9.5	1.19%	0	1.5	62	NAN
22	May_6_2014	31.28	30.86	31.08	31.22	31.27	31.22	30.83(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10	-10	43	4.91	50%	-0.03	-33.3	1.16%	0	-0.1	59	NAN
23	May_5_2014	31.29	30.87	31.09	31.26	31.25	31.42	31.47(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	40	17	68	3.75	56%	0.03	-46.7	1.12%	0	1.6	69	NAN
24	May_2_2014	31.28	30.86	31.02	31.09	31.15	31.32	31.59(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	40	24	64	5.75	56%	0.03	-64.2	1.13%	0	1.9	73	NAN
25	May_1_2014	31.27	30.89	30.94	30.94	30.94	31.09	31.15(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	30	12	52	4.62	52%		-57.9	1.12%	0	0.6	63	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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