Trading Signals: BK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: BK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Bank of New York Mellon Corporation)
BK latest price $30.7716 (-0.15%) ($30.6346 - $30.8902) on Mon. Apr. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $30.7716(-0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BK declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(78%)    VT(65%)    XLI(65%)    SPY(64%)    IWM(63%)
Factors Impacting BK price   BK will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    IGOV(-13%)    GLD(-10%)    TIP(-9%)    UUP(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $25.74(-16.35%)
Resistance Level   $31.34
5 Day Moving Average   $30.56(0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.62(0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.34(-1.81%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $27.259b

The Bank of New York Mellon Corp. is a bank holding company, which engages in the provision of financial services. It operates through the following segments: Investment Management, Investment Services, and Other. The Investment Management segment provides services to institutional and retail investors, as well as investment management, wealth and estate planning. The Investment Services segment includes institutional trust and custody fees, broker-dealer services, corporate trust, depositary receipts, and foreign exchange. The Other segment consists of leasing portfolio, corporate treasury, derivatives, and insurance services. The company was founded by Alexander Hamilton on June 9, 1784 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. BK price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.99%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.73%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.56%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.98%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.34%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2014	31.37	31.34	30.62	30.56	30.58	30.72	30.77(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	30	18	-116	4.47	46%	-0.1	-27.5	1.15%	0	-0.7	27	0
2	Apr_17_2014	31.4	31.41	30.69	30.45	30.49	30.51	30.82(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-27	10	10	-136	3.61	46%	-0.06	0	1.17%	0	-0.7	32	0
3	Apr_16_2014	31.42	31.48	30.82	30.37	30.38	30.45	30.51(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-43	20	-8	-147	6.82	46%	-0.13	0	1.18%	0	-1.2	28	0
4	Apr_15_2014	31.46	31.52	30.98	30.47	30.47	30.46	30.35(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-0	-4	-135	5.81	46%	-0.19	0	1.2%	0	-1.5	24	0
5	Apr_14_2014	31.52	31.54	31.17	30.59	30.62	30.3	30.33(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-70	-17	-129	4.31	46%	-0.19	0	1.23%	0	-1.6	22	0

6	Apr_11_2014	31.58	31.56	31.36	30.69	30.8	30.48	30.23(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-61	-60	-38	-130	6.15	46%	-0.22	0	1.26%	0	-1.8	19	0
7	Apr_10_2014	31.65	31.56	31.55	30.96	31.05	30.94	30.42(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-20	-34	-14	8.25	46%	-0.19	0	1.29%	0	43.5	27	0
8	Apr_9_2014	31.71	31.56	31.71	31.34	31.38	31.13	31.01(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-50	-20	-8	5.01	55%	-0.16	0	1.24%	0	47	33	0
9	Apr_8_2014	31.76	31.56	31.83	31.58	31.65	31.15	30.93(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-100	-35	-14	5.72	55%	-0.16	0	1.28%	0	46.9	51	0
10	Apr_7_2014	31.81	31.56	31.97	31.86	31.75	31.64	30.87(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-32	-30	-38	-15	5.96	55%	-0.19	0	1.32%	0	48.2	59	0

11	Apr_4_2014	31.87	31.56	32.14	32.12	32.07	32.14	31.58(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	5	10	6	2	5.05	71%	-0.06	0	1.2%	0	51.8	69	0
12	Apr_3_2014	31.89	31.56	32.21	32.22	32.11	31.86	32.31(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	-60	-2	-1	3.51	100%	0.09	0	1.02%	0	51.3	50	0
13	Apr_2_2014	31.86	31.56	32.19	32.14	32.1	32	32.2(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-30	-19	-8	3.76	100%	0.09	0	1.06%	0	50.3	50	0
14	Apr_1_2014	31.83	31.56	32.1	32.14	32.22	32.36	32.32(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	40	9	4	5.12	100%	0.13	0	1.07%	0	49	50	0
15	Mar_31_2014	31.79	31.56	31.94	32.12	32.18	32.19	32.21(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	10	2	1	3.92	100%	0.16	0	1.12%	0	48.1	50	0

16	Mar_28_2014	31.74	31.56	31.78	32.17	32.2	32.08	32.04(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-20	-7	-3	3.84	100%	0.09	0	1.18%	0	46.4	50	0
17	Mar_27_2014	31.71	31.56	31.78	32.2	32.28	32.16	31.95(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-20	-10	-4	7.89	100%	0.09	0	1.25%	0	44.4	50	0
18	Mar_26_2014	31.68	31.56	31.78	32.24	32.37	32.31	32.09(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-0	9	4	5.19	100%	0.19	0	1.27%	0	42.2	50	0
19	Mar_25_2014	31.62	31.56	31.78	32.07	32.21	32.4	32.31(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	50	27	11	17.41	100%	0.35	0	1.21%	0	40.9	50	0
20	Mar_24_2014	31.51	31.56	31.78	31.72	31.84	32.42	32.48(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	140	55	22	7.28	100%	0.64	0	1.1%	0	40.6	50	0

21	Mar_21_2014	31.31	31.56	31.78	31.31	31.36	32.02	32.18(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	400	150	470	188	15.04	100%	0.68	0	1.21%	0	43.5	50	0
22	Mar_20_2014	31.1	31.56	31.78	24.88	30.89	31.26	32.15(3.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	10.9	539	810	634	254	10.65	100%	1.14	0	1.1%	0	48	50	0
23	Mar_19_2014	30.75	31.56	31.78	18.45	30.89	31.26	31.21(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	38.7	999	-10000	1175	470	8.47	100%	0.75	0	0.87%	0	94.6	50	0
24	Mar_18_2014	30.52	31.56	31.78	12.21	30.89	31.26	30.57(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	367.2	0	-10000	0	0	4.42	100%	0.2	0	0%	0	611.4	50	0
25	Mar_17_2014	30.46	31.56	31.78	6.09	30.89	31.26	30.46(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	4.96	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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