Trading Signals: BIIB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: BIIB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Biogen Inc)
BIIB latest price $273.2600 (5.15%) ($270.3400 - $285.2800) on Wed. Jan. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.07% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $273.2600(5.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIIB advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIIB declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIIB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(38%)    XLV(34%)    XBI(28%)    SPY(26%)    IVW(25%)
Factors Impacting BIIB price   BIIB will decline at least -1.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.035% (StdDev 2.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $262.83(-3.82%)
Resistance Level   $279.99
5 Day Moving Average   $265.25(3.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $268.49(1.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $279.99(-2.4%)
To recent high   -11.8%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $43.257b

Biogen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in discovering, developing, and delivering therapies for neurological and neurodegenerative diseases. It offers TECFIDERA, AVONEX, PLEGRIDY, TYSABRI, ZINBRYTA, and FAMPYRA for the treatment of multiple sclerosis; SPINRAZA for the treatment of spinal muscular atrophy; and FUMADERM for the treatment of severe plaque psoriasis. The company was founded by Charles Weissmann, Heinz Schaller, Kenneth Murray, Walter Gilbert, and Phillip Allen Sharp in 1978 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. BIIB price fluctuates within 5.07% (three month std-dev: 2.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.3%(40%) Average negative next day return: -2.24%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.2%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -5.94%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 6.41%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.58%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2016	287.89	279.99	268.49	265.25	267.64	268.6	273.26(5.15%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	113	50	160	-27	5.16	64%	-0.13	-61.7	2.07%	0	-0.5	38	0
2	Jan_26_2016	288.26	281.44	268.87	264.46	265.13	263.62	259.87(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-110	-30	-96	-150	2.11	60%	-0.1	-55.1	2.1%	0	-1.4	26	0
3	Jan_25_2016	288.55	283.59	270.76	266.46	266.27	266.68	262.1(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	10	-29	-128	1.79	60%	-0.15	-51.3	2.1%	0	-1.4	29	0
4	Jan_22_2016	288.97	285.54	272.62	268.71	267.8	266.65	268.92(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-42	-40	-11	-134	2.11	63%	-0.12	-49.2	2.08%	0	-1.1	27	0
5	Jan_21_2016	289.31	287.16	274.07	271.04	269.31	265.86	262.08(-2.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-129	-110	-110	-187	2.53	64%	-0.15	-42.3	2.05%	0	-1.7	20	0

6	Jan_20_2016	289.75	289.03	277.19	272.07	271.43	268.95	269.35(-0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-145	-70	-127	-200	2.37	67%	-0.08	-39.1	2.09%	0	-1.4	22	0
7	Jan_19_2016	289.99	290.34	279.83	273.93	273.47	272.75	269.85(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-86	-20	-58	-169	2.21	67%	-0.15	-34.3	2.11%	0	-1.5	29	0
8	Jan_15_2016	290.42	291.79	282.3	275.67	275.21	273.91	273.33(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-40	-30	-158	2.58	70%	-0.11	-31.8	2.1%	0	-1.5	31	0
9	Jan_14_2016	290.74	293.16	285.48	277.12	276.54	274.18	280.57(4.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-108	-70	-88	-168	2.41	73%	-0.06	-25.2	2.14%	0	-1.1	37	0
10	Jan_13_2016	290.92	293.69	288.1	277.81	278.76	276.51	267.25(-4.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-134	-50	-119	-177	2.11	70%	-0.05	-24.1	2.06%	0	-2.4	22	0

11	Jan_12_2016	291.07	294.67	292.4	283.1	281.75	278.89	278.67(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-124	-90	-118	-141	1.83	77%	0	-13.3	2.03%	0	-1.7	33	0
12	Jan_11_2016	291.07	295.06	294.99	286.7	285.34	281.01	278.54(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-155	-120	-163	-132	2.11	77%	-0.06	-3.3	2.04%	0	-1.8	39	0
13	Jan_8_2016	291.24	295.75	297.5	289.92	289.69	284.61	280.59(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-169	-130	-186	-119	1.81	71%	-0.11	14.9	2.1%	0	-1.8	38	0
14	Jan_7_2016	291.55	296.1	299.65	295.07	293.07	289.68	284.01(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-186	-100	-213	-103	1.84	71%	-0.11	34.6	2.09%	0	-1.5	38	0
15	Jan_6_2016	291.87	296.43	301.51	299.94	298.34	294.77	293.68(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-87	-100	-108	-25	1.54	70%	-0.07	51.7	2.05%	0	-0.4	58	0

16	Jan_5_2016	292.06	295.91	302.04	303.14	302.2	296.46	296.7(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-137	-140	-176	-21	1.26	70%	-0.07	59.8	2.1%	0	0.1	66	0
17	Jan_4_2016	292.26	295.35	301.85	304.56	305.12	301.91	294.62(-3.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-128	-70	-170	-1	2.45	70%	-0.14	56	2.11%	0	-0.1	64	0
18	Dec_31_2015	292.67	294.5	302.24	306.1	306.68	307.94	306.35(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	33	30	14	91	1.06	76%	-0.03	46.8	2.05%	0	1.2	66	0
19	Dec_30_2015	292.77	293.4	301.51	304.87	305.31	308.34	308.34(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	110	70	102	135	0.8	78%	-0.02	43	2.06%	0	1.6	71	0
20	Dec_29_2015	292.84	292.41	299.62	303.35	303.52	305.43	309.67(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	115	50	110	129	1.22	78%	-0.02	39.5	2.15%	0	2	67	0

21	Dec_28_2015	292.89	291.19	296.93	300.93	301.39	302.29	303.84(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	30	47	93	0.85	72%	-0.1	34.1	2.15%	0	1.6	69	0
22	Dec_24_2015	293.19	290.57	294.94	298.84	299.6	301.61	302.29(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	50	49	81	0.54	72%	-0.11	31.5	2.24%	0	1.6	65	0
23	Dec_23_2015	293.52	289.99	293.65	297.81	298.04	300.49	300.19(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	82	60	76	101	0.99	72%	-0.1	29.9	2.25%	0	1.5	69	0
24	Dec_22_2015	293.82	289.39	292.09	297.63	297.2	297.59	300.77(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	72	0	64	96	1.22	72%	-0.08	38.4	2.25%	0	1.8	60	0
25	Dec_21_2015	294.06	288.97	290.79	295.3	296.22	295.6	297.56(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10	12	64	1.14	66%		38.7	2.24%	0	1.5	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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