Trading Signals: BIIB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 26, 2015

Trading Signals: BIIB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Biogen Inc)
BIIB latest price $362.4400 (1.37%) ($355.4500 - $362.8400) on Mon. Jan. 26, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.2% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $362.4400(1.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIIB advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIIB advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIIB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(42%)    XLV(37%)    XBI(32%)    SPY(28%)    IVE(26%)
Factors Impacting BIIB price   BIIB will decline at least -1.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.1% (StdDev 2.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $359.75(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $354.36(2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $348.78(3.92%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   21.2%
Market Cap   $57.374b

Biogen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in discovering, developing, and delivering therapies for neurological and neurodegenerative diseases. It offers TECFIDERA, AVONEX, PLEGRIDY, TYSABRI, ZINBRYTA, and FAMPYRA for the treatment of multiple sclerosis; SPINRAZA for the treatment of spinal muscular atrophy; and FUMADERM for the treatment of severe plaque psoriasis. The company was founded by Charles Weissmann, Heinz Schaller, Kenneth Murray, Walter Gilbert, and Phillip Allen Sharp in 1978 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. BIIB price fluctuates within 2.45% (three month std-dev: 2.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.87%(30%) Average negative next day return: -0.59%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.91%(30%) Average negative next three day return: -1.13%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 4.47%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.14%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2015	329.02	348.78	354.36	359.75	358.72	357.6	362.44(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-30	30	77	1.33	63%	0.1	37.6	2.2%	0	1.6	64	0
2	Jan_23_2015	328.69	347.66	352.37	357.81	358.42	356.69	357.53(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-12	-30	-31	46	1.08	65%	0.07	38.1	2.2%	0	1.2	59	0
3	Jan_22_2015	328.46	346.57	351.59	354.28	356.08	359.85	353.65(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	90	35	65	2.32	60%	0.03	32.6	2.22%	0	0.9	58	0
4	Jan_21_2015	328.36	346.43	351.5	353.3	353.14	360.15	361.83(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	195	140	213	139	1.34	64%	0.06	39.4	2.31%	0	2	61	0
5	Jan_20_2015	328.16	346.2	348.82	351.48	350.16	352.32	363.28(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	139	30	152	101	2.08	64%	0.06	45.9	2.38%	0	2.4	60	0

6	Jan_16_2015	327.96	345.59	346.11	348.39	349.05	346.13	352.75(3.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-24	-50	-36	11	1.67	63%	0.04	43.5	2.35%	0	1	57	0
7	Jan_15_2015	327.84	344.62	344.99	346.31	349.18	348	339.88(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-71	0	-89	-18	1.67	61%	-0.01	28.2	2.31%	0	-0.7	51	0
8	Jan_14_2015	327.87	344.01	345.06	348.38	349.07	351.96	348.75(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	60	23	39	1.43	63%	0.02	20.9	2.29%	0	0.6	61	0
9	Jan_13_2015	327.81	343.38	344.38	349.28	349.79	350.36	352.74(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	115	20	127	78	2.49	59%	0.03	16.9	2.28%	0	1.1	49	0
10	Jan_12_2015	327.71	342.9	343.35	345.66	347.77	346.19	347.84(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-29	-10	-34	-13	1.9	59%	0.02	7.3	2.34%	0	0.6	41	0

11	Jan_9_2015	327.63	342.6	342.76	343.44	345.8	349.23	342.34(-2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	14	90	21	-8	2.56	59%	0.01	0.8	2.34%	0	-0	43	0
12	Jan_8_2015	327.59	342.66	342.64	343.38	343.97	349.34	350.25(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	155	110	186	63	4.29	61%	0.02	-1.6	2.33%	0	0.9	60	0
13	Jan_7_2015	327.51	342.46	341.16	341.22	341.52	342.38	353.24(5.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	78	20	96	24	2.48	58%	0.02	1.7	2.35%	0	1.3	65	0
14	Jan_6_2015	327.44	341.93	340.81	339.01	340.76	338.6	334.65(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-30	-60	-37	1.9	55%	-0.03	14.4	2.28%	0	-0.9	51	0
15	Jan_5_2015	327.54	342.28	343.29	340.76	341.54	340.66	336.74(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-56	-10	-67	-21	1.25	55%	-0.02	40.6	2.28%	0	-0.7	47	0

16	Jan_2_2015	327.6	342.55	344.97	341.9	342.63	342.92	342.01(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	17	10	14	24	0.98	56%	-0.01	67.9	2.29%	0	-0.1	51	0
17	Dec_31_2014	327.62	342.79	344.22	341.67	342.43	342.42	339.45(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	10	17	18	0.87	54%	0.05	95.4	2.29%	0	-0.4	49	0
18	Dec_30_2014	327.47	342.33	343.04	340.93	341.42	342.35	342.19(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	20	-10	-12	0.93	54%	0.07	98.7	2.31%	0	-0	48	0
19	Dec_29_2014	327.25	340.82	342.48	342.95	341.65	342.44	343.43(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	0	5	-3	1.24	54%	0.06	81.3	2.31%	0	0.2	50	0
20	Dec_26_2014	327.05	339.19	342.55	346.4	343.87	340.49	342.4(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-90	-46	-6	1.14	54%	0.07	80.2	2.31%	0	0.2	52	0

21	Dec_24_2014	326.81	337.47	342.54	348.66	346.37	340.85	340.89(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-127	-130	-156	-40	0.97	54%	0.05	75.8	2.34%	0	0.2	51	0
22	Dec_23_2014	326.65	335.84	342.82	347.06	348.21	347.25	335.76(-4.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-10	-48	-6	2.64	54%	0.03	66.8	2.39%	0	-0	45	0
23	Dec_22_2014	326.56	334.53	344.04	344.94	344.69	351.89	352.29(-2.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	119	140	134	72	2.17	58%	0.07	60.8	2.32%	0	1	63	0
24	Dec_19_2014	326.33	332.14	343.11	341.64	339.49	349.18	360.67(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	263	180	301	150	3.69	60%	0.08	53.5	2.3%	0	1.6	74	0
25	Dec_18_2014	326.07	329.06	340.94	338.4	336.57	337.49	353.7(6.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	166	0	184	113	2.4	60%		44	2.29%	0	1.4	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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