Trading Signals: BIIB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: BIIB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Biogen Inc)
BIIB latest price $344.6000 (0.62%) ($342.0900 - $348.4000) on Mon. Aug. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.97% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $344.6000(0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIIB advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIIB advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIIB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(38%)    XBI(33%)    SPY(28%)    QQQ(27%)    VT(27%)
Factors Impacting BIIB price   BIIB will decline at least -0.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.985% (StdDev 1.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $336.74(2.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $330.36(4.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $331.39(3.99%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.9%
Market Cap   $54.55b

Biogen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in discovering, developing, and delivering therapies for neurological and neurodegenerative diseases. It offers TECFIDERA, AVONEX, PLEGRIDY, TYSABRI, ZINBRYTA, and FAMPYRA for the treatment of multiple sclerosis; SPINRAZA for the treatment of spinal muscular atrophy; and FUMADERM for the treatment of severe plaque psoriasis. The company was founded by Charles Weissmann, Heinz Schaller, Kenneth Murray, Walter Gilbert, and Phillip Allen Sharp in 1978 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. BIIB price fluctuates within 3.44% (three month std-dev: 1.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.74%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.21%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.34%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.72%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.84%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.79%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2014	309.45	331.39	330.36	336.74	337.63	342.27	344.6(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	198	100	228	106	1.22	72%	0.17	69.8	1.97%	0	1.2	49	INF
2	Aug_15_2014	308.94	329.35	328.42	331.88	331.68	337.46	342.47(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	151	120	183	55	1.72	72%	0.11	48	1.97%	0	1.1	53	INF
3	Aug_14_2014	308.6	327.49	326.96	328.2	327.85	332.99	337.01(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	193	110	239	53	1.32	72%	0.1	30.3	1.99%	0	0.7	50	INF
4	Aug_13_2014	308.29	325.7	326.5	324.92	324.5	325.9	334.64(2.98%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	79	30	111	-17	1.45	72%	0.08	16.2	1.98%	0	0.7	47	INF
5	Aug_12_2014	308.05	324.21	327.21	323.03	322.88	322.71	324.96(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-10	-22	-76	1.05	73%	0.04	7.1	1.96%	0	0.1	37	INF

6	Aug_11_2014	307.93	324.21	328.78	323.08	323.64	323.1	320.34(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10	-9	-40	0.98	73%	0.01	5.4	2.04%	0	-0.2	66	INF
7	Aug_8_2014	307.91	323.62	330.42	324.33	324.1	323.05	324.05(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-45	-20	-52	-25	1.2	73%	-0.07	6.1	2.04%	0	0	69	INF
8	Aug_7_2014	308.14	323.53	331.6	325.48	325.52	324.19	320.6(-1.41%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-46	-30	-62	3	0.87	73%	-0.1	5.6	2.04%	0	-0.2	66	INF
9	Aug_6_2014	308.44	323.49	333.31	328.24	327.56	325.16	325.2(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-69	-60	-103	32	0.94	73%	-0.09	7.3	2.03%	0	0.1	72	INF
10	Aug_5_2014	308.72	323.24	334.61	332.1	330.91	326.85	325.23(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-104	-100	-159	60	1.14	73%	-0.06	13.8	2.04%	0	0.1	67	INF

11	Aug_4_2014	308.92	322.87	332.88	335.4	335.88	329.97	326.55(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-108	-120	-167	69	0.99	73%	-0.02	21.5	2.07%	0	0.3	61	INF
12	Aug_1_2014	308.98	322.79	330.85	337.37	338.7	334.97	329.83(-1.36%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-120	-70	-181	63	1.32	73%	0.07	27.6	2.08%	0	0.5	56	INF
13	Jul_31_2014	308.77	322.76	328.54	338.5	339.64	341.79	334.39(-2.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	50	-5	128	1.17	73%	0.09	34.2	2.08%	0	0.8	57	INF
14	Jul_30_2014	308.5	322.48	325.23	338.98	338.84	342.44	344.52(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	161	70	154	183	1.3	79%	0.12	41.1	2.04%	0	1.6	64	INF
15	Jul_29_2014	308.12	321.35	321.11	337.59	336.87	337.5	341.73(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	101	10	88	138	1.29	79%	0.11	45.1	2.05%	0	1.6	62	INF

16	Jul_28_2014	307.77	319.94	317.96	329.98	336.16	335.25	336.39(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	105	40	106	102	1	79%	0.1	31.5	2.07%	0	1.3	61	INF
17	Jul_25_2014	307.46	318.94	316.03	323.2	328.6	336.24	335.45(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	105	210	117	67	1.07	79%	0.1	16.4	2.07%	0	1.4	54	INF
18	Jul_24_2014	307.15	318.01	314.4	316.93	320.45	337.08	336.79(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.8	445	400	529	192	1.6	71%	0.1	4.3	2.11%	0	1.7	51	INF
19	Jul_23_2014	306.83	316.81	312.31	309.43	311.72	320.96	337.6(11.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	440	230	536	150	4.14	71%	0.11	-13.7	2.17%	0	2	51	INF
20	Jul_22_2014	306.49	315.54	310.19	302.66	302.99	303.83	303.67(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	20	19	-125	1.2	60%	-0.01	-31.4	1.67%	0	-1.3	32	INF

21	Jul_21_2014	306.52	316.11	311.59	304.33	303.83	302.48	302.5(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-85	-40	-65	-146	1.03	60%	-0.01	-25.2	1.7%	0	-1.6	43	INF
22	Jul_18_2014	306.56	317.03	313.89	307.78	307.35	302.14	304.1(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-182	-120	-187	-167	1.55	60%	-0.01	-9.8	1.73%	0	-1.6	41	INF
23	Jul_17_2014	306.59	317.53	316.56	311.4	312.31	305.17	299.29(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-278	-150	-309	-184	1.65	60%	-0.03	3.8	1.73%	0	-2.4	37	INF
24	Jul_16_2014	306.68	318.2	319.8	315.37	316.95	312.56	303.74(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-222	-80	-254	-124	1.81	60%	-0.01	20.8	1.72%	0	-2.2	44	INF
25	Jul_15_2014	306.71	318.41	322.06	318.65	319.37	319.44	312(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-61	10	-74	-22	1.39	66%		28.4	1.7%	0	-1	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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