Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $183.8400 (-2.42%) ($181.8200 - $188.4344) on Wed. Mar. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.94% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $183.8400(-2.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(69%)    MCHI(65%)    FXI(61%)    VWO(56%)    EEM(55%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -1.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.47% (StdDev 2.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

5 Day Moving Average   $186.14(-1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $183.68(0.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $179.34(2.51%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   30.7%
Market Cap   $64.344b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 4.08% (three month std-dev: 2.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.1%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.06%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -7.11%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.4%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -14.05%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2016	181.86	179.34	183.68	186.14	186.66	186.14	183.84(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10	-13	51	2.23	51%	-0.05	78.7	2.94%	0	0.6	60	0
2	Mar_22_2016	181.95	178.34	183.01	185.99	186.2	187.21	188.4(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	40	22	65	1.57	51%	-0.04	71.1	2.92%	0	1.2	68	0
3	Mar_21_2016	182.02	177	181.48	184.35	184.7	187.19	187.12(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	100	56	61	1.6	53%	0	69.8	2.92%	0	1.3	59	0
4	Mar_18_2016	182.02	176.06	180.46	183.33	182.99	185.18	187.92(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	63	80	63	62	3.25	53%	0.1	76.9	2.94%	0	1.5	68	0
5	Mar_17_2016	181.83	174.88	179.44	182.34	182.16	182.21	183.44(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-0	39	52	1.78	53%	0.07	88	2.94%	0	1.1	64	0

6	Mar_16_2016	181.71	173.76	178.8	180.87	181.25	180.81	183.05(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	7	-10	-6	46	1.91	53%	0.05	94	2.95%	0	1.2	77	0
7	Mar_15_2016	181.62	172.78	178.15	179.56	180.19	182.11	180.22(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	90	30	68	1.63	53%	0.08	100.4	2.94%	0	0.9	69	0
8	Mar_14_2016	181.47	171.68	178.1	178.08	178.49	181.69	182.02(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	89	130	85	102	2.74	53%	0.14	104	2.96%	0	1.3	72	0
9	Mar_11_2016	181.22	170.25	177.24	177.11	176.17	178.27	182.98(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	70	59	92	2.85	51%	0.17	99.6	2.96%	0	1.5	62	0
10	Mar_10_2016	180.91	168.23	176.29	176.23	175.64	175.29	176.08(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	-20	15	81	2.32	48%	0.16	77.9	2.94%	0	0.8	62	0

11	Mar_9_2016	180.63	166.69	174.68	176.47	176.07	174.08	176.5(2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-16	-90	-41	60	2.82	48%	0.13	68	2.94%	0	0.9	65	0
12	Mar_8_2016	180.39	164.97	173.4	176.56	176.86	175.98	172.81(-2.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-26	-30	-54	57	2.38	48%	0.11	57.6	2.93%	0	0.6	59	0
13	Mar_7_2016	180.2	163.64	172.34	178.04	178.07	178.06	177.2(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	0	8	99	1.95	48%	0.15	53.3	2.93%	0	1.1	67	0
14	Mar_4_2016	179.93	162.05	171.46	177.28	178.13	177.75	178.55(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-0	11	117	2.94	48%	0.16	44.9	2.93%	0	1.3	72	0
15	Mar_3_2016	179.64	160.7	170.03	176.33	176.82	178.08	177.3(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	47	60	15	143	2.5	48%	0.19	43.4	2.92%	0	1.3	77	0

16	Mar_2_2016	179.3	159.43	168.36	172.52	176.16	178.5	176.94(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	129	160	113	178	3.08	48%	0.18	34.1	2.93%	0	1.5	74	0
17	Mar_1_2016	178.98	158.23	166.96	169.68	171.15	175.56	180.2(3.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	114	210	91	181	4.19	48%	0.21	24.2	2.93%	0	2	77	0
18	Feb_29_2016	178.61	157.13	164.62	165.84	166.69	173.81	173.42(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	158	310	146	192	3.97	50%	0.17	13.2	2.97%	0	1.7	70	0
19	Feb_26_2016	178.3	156.49	162.56	164.89	164.36	166.74	173.8(9.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	159	90	146	198	8.88	50%	0.19	7.4	2.98%	0	1.9	70	0
20	Feb_25_2016	177.96	155.54	159.37	163.03	162.55	159.56	158.22(-2.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-17	-140	-57	105	6.18	43%	0.08	-5.2	2.71%	0	0.3	55	0

21	Feb_24_2016	177.82	155.51	158.09	163.52	163.41	161.99	162.75(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-32	-60	-74	94	4.54	45%	0.07	-7.3	2.7%	0	0.9	58	0
22	Feb_23_2016	177.69	155.63	155.98	163.68	164.13	165.53	161.02(-4.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	48	70	24	120	4.03	45%	0.07	-6.1	2.7%	0	0.6	55	0
23	Feb_22_2016	177.57	155.86	154.42	162.98	163.46	164.82	168.67(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	89	70	79	118	3.09	48%	0.12	-6.4	2.64%	0	1.5	54	0
24	Feb_19_2016	177.36	155.83	151.99	159.79	161.36	162.73	164.47(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	68	90	69	64	3.06	48%	0.16	-16.8	2.62%	0	1	49	0
25	Feb_18_2016	177.08	155.96	150.64	155.14	158.41	162.1	160.7(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	100	230	120	39	3.33	51%		-28.4	2.61%	0	0.5	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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