Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $163.5300 (3.82%) ($156.4300 - $164.7000) on Wed. Feb. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.66% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $163.5300(3.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU advances 3.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(69%)    MCHI(65%)    FXI(61%)    VWO(56%)    EEM(55%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -1.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    URA(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.33% (StdDev 2.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $151.75(7.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $149.72(9.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $156.11(4.75%)
To recent high   -25%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $57.236b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 6.01% (three month std-dev: 2.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 4.99%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.28%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.54%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 5.89%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.72%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160317

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_17_2016	176.84	156.11	149.72	151.75	152.97	159.99	163.53(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	133	350	169	23	3.85	51%	0.16	-41.6	2.66%	0	0.8	53	INF
2	Feb_16_2016	176.56	156.14	148.63	147.18	148.85	154.71	157.52(3.14%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	170	310	229	-8	5.29	48%	0.39	-56.2	2.61%	0	0.1	41	INF
3	Feb_12_2016	175.87	156.42	148.76	144.69	144.65	145.94	152.73(8.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	39	60	84	-97	5.59	46%	0.12	-65.9	2.58%	0	-0.4	36	INF
4	Feb_11_2016	175.66	157.34	149.63	143.21	143.07	142.99	141.21(-1.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-80	-10	-44	-187	3.1	38%	0.05	-68	2.34%	0	-1.6	20	INF
5	Feb_10_2016	175.57	158.63	151.24	145.49	144.85	143.36	143.78(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-71	-90	-33	-183	4.13	38%	0.05	-75.4	2.34%	0	-1.6	24	INF

6	Feb_9_2016	175.49	160.11	152.72	147.35	146.96	143.14	140.68(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-147	-190	-124	-215	5.25	38%	0	-79.4	2.33%	0	-2.1	27	INF
7	Feb_8_2016	175.49	161.66	155.37	150.18	150.03	146.34	145.05(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-171	-180	-159	-205	4.15	40%	0.01	-88.2	2.33%	0	-2	29	INF
8	Feb_5_2016	175.47	163.02	157.63	153.39	153.6	150.78	145.34(-4.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-129	-120	-119	-158	4.13	40%	-0.01	-96.9	2.34%	0	-2.4	33	INF
9	Feb_4_2016	175.48	164.52	160.24	156.97	156.45	153.73	152.59(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-98	-130	-90	-121	3.1	44%	0.01	-108.2	2.28%	0	-1.8	31	INF
10	Feb_3_2016	175.46	166.13	161.94	157.84	158.46	156.42	153.08(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-87	-80	-81	-105	3.43	44%	0.07	-99.8	2.31%	0	-1.8	40	INF

11	Feb_2_2016	175.34	167.82	163.22	158.88	159.64	159.18	154.82(-3.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-66	-10	-55	-98	2.75	48%	0.08	-92.5	2.31%	0	-1.6	36	INF
12	Feb_1_2016	175.2	169.27	164.42	161.33	160.68	160.51	161.1(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-32	-20	-19	-69	3.64	52%	0.1	-89.6	2.34%	0	-1	43	INF
13	Jan_29_2016	175.03	170.62	164.75	162.62	162.28	160.1	163.27(4.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-52	-100	-45	-71	4.53	60%	0.1	-90.7	2.72%	0	-0.9	43	INF
14	Jan_28_2016	174.86	172	165.59	164.2	164.47	160.85	156.94(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-109	-150	-115	-91	4.58	57%	0.05	-80.9	2.68%	0	-1.7	34	INF
15	Jan_27_2016	174.78	173.86	166.61	166.72	167.73	164.46	158.27(-5.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-88	-120	-88	-86	4.06	60%	0.06	-72.3	2.68%	0	-1.7	28	INF

16	Jan_26_2016	174.68	175.58	168.11	168.07	169.01	168.09	167.08(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-55	-20	-47	-78	2.4	68%	-0.05	-66.1	2.66%	0	-0.9	31	INF
17	Jan_25_2016	174.76	176.88	168.43	167.86	168.39	171	167.54(-2.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	7	120	30	-63	2.5	68%	0.13	-65	2.75%	0	-0.9	36	INF
18	Jan_22_2016	174.54	178.29	168.8	167.13	167.75	169.93	171.17(0.95%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	60	100	100	-60	2.62	68%	0.13	-68.4	2.75%	0	-0.7	34	INF
19	Jan_21_2016	174.31	179.53	169.03	167.35	165.42	165.79	169.56(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	-20	4	-117	3.48	68%	0.13	-65.8	2.77%	0	-0.9	31	INF
20	Jan_20_2016	174.08	180.9	170.47	166.64	165.75	165.56	164.99(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-20	-14	-139	5.12	67%	0.13	-63.8	2.77%	0	-1.4	25	INF

21	Jan_19_2016	173.86	182.29	172.61	168.23	167.28	165.06	166.03(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-61	-110	-33	-144	3.42	67%	0.24	-61.4	2.77%	0	-1.4	28	INF
22	Jan_15_2016	173.44	183.86	174.39	169.09	168.49	165.94	163.92(-4.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-113	-120	-93	-174	6.35	69%	0.07	-62.6	2.76%	0	-1.8	24	INF
23	Jan_14_2016	173.32	185.67	176.89	170.58	170.48	169.51	172.23(3.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-73	-40	-45	-156	4.08	74%	0.18	-64.2	2.72%	0	-1.3	27	INF
24	Jan_13_2016	173.01	187.03	178.8	171.01	171.86	171.03	166.04(-3.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-71	-20	-41	-160	3.96	72%	0.17	-66.7	2.69%	0	-2	17	INF
25	Jan_12_2016	172.71	188.52	181.67	174.92	173.33	171.44	172.91(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-94	-100	-74	-155	3.04	78%		-69.6	2.64%	0	-1.6	19	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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