Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $166.0300 (1.29%) ($163.9800 - $171.8400) on Tue. Jan. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.77% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $166.0300(1.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU declines -6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(70%)    MCHI(65%)    FXI(61%)    VWO(56%)    EEM(55%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -1.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.385% (StdDev 2.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $182.29
5 Day Moving Average   $168.23(-1.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $172.61(-3.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $182.29(-8.92%)
To recent high   -23.8%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $58.111b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 6.3% (three month std-dev: 2.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 3.58%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.2%(67%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 3.01%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.36%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 5.7%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.45%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_19_2016	173.86	182.29	172.61	168.23	167.28	165.06	166.03(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-61	-110	-33	-144	3.42	67%	0.24	-61.4	2.77%	0	-1.4	28	0
2	Jan_15_2016	173.44	183.86	174.39	169.09	168.49	165.94	163.92(-4.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-113	-120	-93	-174	6.35	69%	0.07	-62.6	2.76%	0	-1.8	24	0
3	Jan_14_2016	173.32	185.67	176.89	170.58	170.48	169.51	172.23(3.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-73	-40	-45	-156	4.08	74%	0.18	-64.2	2.72%	0	-1.3	27	0
4	Jan_13_2016	173.01	187.03	178.8	171.01	171.86	171.03	166.04(-3.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-71	-20	-41	-160	3.96	72%	0.17	-66.7	2.69%	0	-2	17	0
5	Jan_12_2016	172.71	188.52	181.67	174.92	173.33	171.44	172.91(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-94	-100	-74	-155	3.04	78%	0.19	-69.6	2.64%	0	-1.6	19	0

6	Jan_11_2016	172.38	189.62	183.67	177.81	176.63	172.69	170.37(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-117	-180	-106	-150	3.2	78%	0.1	-74.4	2.64%	0	-2.2	27	0
7	Jan_8_2016	172.2	191.17	186.09	180.54	180.78	175.21	171.34(-1.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-143	-210	-140	-150	4.68	78%	0.08	-82.7	2.64%	0	-2.6	24	0
8	Jan_7_2016	172.06	192.7	188.7	184.08	182.83	180.58	174.37(-6.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-157	-110	-163	-140	7.01	73%	0.07	-94.4	2.65%	0	-3	24	0
9	Jan_6_2016	171.94	194.27	191.06	187.64	186.36	186.34	185.61(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-20	-8	-61	2.28	82%	0.12	-114.1	2.57%	0	-1.9	32	0
10	Jan_5_2016	171.74	195.4	192.25	189.45	188.45	185.09	187.37(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-53	-140	-50	-63	3.37	82%	0.12	-109.6	2.56%	0	-1.7	44	0

11	Jan_4_2016	171.54	196.43	192.78	190.54	190.17	186.37	184.03(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-129	-150	-140	-94	4.33	82%	0.19	-92.7	2.56%	0	-2.3	39	0
12	Dec_31_2015	171.22	197.62	194.14	192.52	192.34	191.8	189.04(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-60	-20	-62	-52	1.88	88%	0.16	-76.9	2.7%	0	-1.5	36	0
13	Dec_30_2015	170.94	198.71	195.18	194.01	193.8	193.97	192.13(-1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	1	0	7	-17	1.32	88%	0.15	-62.2	2.69%	0	-1.1	39	0
14	Dec_29_2015	170.69	199.77	195.88	194.99	194.65	192.87	194.68(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-70	-25	-30	2.04	88%	0.11	-48.5	2.68%	0	-0.8	36	0
15	Dec_28_2015	170.51	200.88	195.84	195.55	195.4	193.62	192.8(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-62	-70	-64	-57	2.21	88%	0.08	-34	2.69%	0	-1.1	29	0

16	Dec_24_2015	170.38	201.54	195.98	195.37	196.49	196.43	193.93(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	20	-10	-52	1.07	88%	0.12	-37.6	2.67%	0	-1.1	31	0
17	Dec_23_2015	170.17	201.98	196.58	195.97	195.98	197.17	196.53(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	40	4	-51	1.42	88%	0.16	-38.6	2.66%	0	-0.8	34	0
18	Dec_22_2015	169.9	202.44	196.93	196.53	196.43	196.55	197.03(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	0	24	-51	2.03	83%	0.17	-32	2.69%	0	-0.8	31	0
19	Dec_21_2015	169.62	202.97	197.65	196.95	197.05	194.79	197.44(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-80	-30	-79	2.71	83%	0.15	-25.2	2.74%	0	-0.8	29	0
20	Dec_18_2015	169.37	203.45	198.66	196.24	197.53	196.31	191.92(-2.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-70	-20	-58	-104	3.51	83%	0.11	-20.5	2.73%	0	-1.7	17	0

21	Dec_17_2015	169.19	204.29	200.29	196.6	197.69	199.32	196.94(-1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	70	19	-70	2.74	83%	0.16	-14.1	2.74%	0	-1.2	43	0
22	Dec_16_2015	168.92	204.72	201.32	197.21	196.69	198.76	199.34(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	23	70	47	-51	3.28	84%	0.19	-7.9	2.75%	0	-0.9	50	0
23	Dec_15_2015	168.6	204.67	202.45	197.43	196.85	196.06	199.13(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-40	9	-59	3.65	84%	0.01	-6.7	2.84%	0	-0.9	46	0
24	Dec_14_2015	168.59	204.72	203.88	198.61	197.99	194.62	193.89(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-89	-130	-90	-87	3.23	84%	-0.07	2	2.83%	0	-1.8	38	0
25	Dec_11_2015	168.71	204.84	206.28	201.54	200.45	197.65	193.68(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-101	-110	-112	-69	3.66	84%		10.7	2.85%	0	-1.8	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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