Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $197.4400 (2.88%) ($193.6400 - $198.6900) on Mon. Dec. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.74% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $197.4400(2.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(70%)    MCHI(65%)    FXI(61%)    VWO(56%)    EEM(55%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -1.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.37% (StdDev 2.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $191.13(-3.2%)
Resistance Level   $202.97
5 Day Moving Average   $196.95(0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $197.65(-0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $202.97(-2.72%)
To recent high   -9.4%
To recent low   49.2%
Market Cap   $69.104b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 3.37% (three month std-dev: 2.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.93%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.65%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.05%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_21_2015	169.62	202.97	197.65	196.95	197.05	194.79	197.44(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-80	-30	-79	2.71	83%	0.15	-25.2	2.74%	0	-0.8	29	INF
2	Dec_18_2015	169.37	203.45	198.66	196.24	197.53	196.31	191.92(-2.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-70	-20	-58	-104	3.51	83%	0.11	-20.5	2.73%	0	-1.7	17	INF
3	Dec_17_2015	169.19	204.29	200.29	196.6	197.69	199.32	196.94(-1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	70	19	-70	2.74	83%	0.16	-14.1	2.74%	0	-1.2	43	INF
4	Dec_16_2015	168.92	204.72	201.32	197.21	196.69	198.76	199.34(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	23	70	47	-51	3.28	84%	0.19	-7.9	2.75%	0	-0.9	50	INF
5	Dec_15_2015	168.6	204.67	202.45	197.43	196.85	196.06	199.13(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-40	9	-59	3.65	84%	0.01	-6.7	2.84%	0	-0.9	46	INF

6	Dec_14_2015	168.59	204.72	203.88	198.61	197.99	194.62	193.89(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-89	-130	-90	-87	3.23	84%	-0.07	2	2.83%	0	-1.8	38	INF
7	Dec_11_2015	168.71	204.84	206.28	201.54	200.45	197.65	193.68(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-101	-110	-112	-69	3.66	84%	-0.08	10.7	2.85%	0	-1.8	39	INF
8	Dec_10_2015	168.85	205.16	207.63	204.47	203.96	201.36	200.01(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-53	-100	-59	-34	3.13	89%	-0.04	25.2	2.83%	0	-0.9	43	INF
9	Dec_9_2015	168.91	205.19	207.97	205.96	205.93	203.25	200.46(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-75	-90	-87	-40	3.37	89%	-0.01	33.9	2.84%	0	-0.8	48	INF
10	Dec_8_2015	168.93	205.09	208.58	208.14	207.95	206.57	205.02(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-52	-50	-65	-11	3.93	89%	0.03	47.3	2.83%	0	-0	61	INF

11	Dec_7_2015	168.88	204.59	208.87	209.96	210.06	208.62	208.54(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-16	-50	-29	23	3.43	89%	0.06	51.7	2.81%	0	0.6	62	INF
12	Dec_4_2015	168.78	204.18	208.71	211.84	211.04	209.33	208.3(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-23	-70	-44	41	3.48	89%	0.11	70.4	2.84%	0	0.6	66	INF
13	Dec_3_2015	168.59	203.71	208.67	211.3	211.77	211.51	207.48(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	19	-0	3	67	4.23	89%	0.12	90.5	2.86%	0	0.6	60	INF
14	Dec_2_2015	168.38	203.24	208.45	210.16	209.81	212.74	211.36(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	90	40	82	4.01	89%	0.12	104.7	2.84%	0	1.3	62	INF
15	Dec_1_2015	168.18	202.3	207.07	208.96	207.6	212.04	214.11(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	112	130	114	106	6.68	89%	0.13	113	2.85%	0	1.8	66	INF

16	Nov_30_2015	167.97	201.32	205.53	207.63	205.78	206.87	217.97(6.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	85	10	83	91	26.2	85%	0.18	140	2.88%	0	2.8	72	INF
17	Nov_27_2015	167.66	199.77	203.08	205.37	204.76	203.16	205.58(1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-26	-60	-43	24	3.29	85%	0.01	173	2.79%	0	1.1	55	INF
18	Nov_25_2015	167.65	198.06	202.35	205.82	206.05	204.68	201.8(-1.72%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-23	-40	-39	27	3.84	83%	0.08	105.7	2.9%	0	0.4	54	INF
19	Nov_24_2015	167.51	196.71	202.15	206.4	206.86	206.37	205.33(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10	0	48	3.33	75%	0.1	109.1	2.92%	0	0.8	59	INF
20	Nov_23_2015	167.35	195.2	201.33	204.7	205.64	207.42	207.46(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	70	29	53	3.63	75%	0.25	102.4	3.09%	0	1	67	INF

21	Nov_20_2015	166.94	193.21	199.97	202.95	203.35	207.36	206.69(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	87	140	93	69	3.75	69%	0.06	91	3.12%	0	1	62	INF
22	Nov_19_2015	166.84	190.86	199.24	200.41	200.36	203.85	207.8(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	98	120	107	72	5.39	69%	0.05	79.4	3.15%	0	1.1	70	INF
23	Nov_18_2015	166.75	188.23	198.25	198.47	197.33	199.35	204.73(4.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	52	50	47	65	4.57	69%	0.04	71.1	3.16%	0	1	79	INF
24	Nov_17_2015	166.69	185.57	197.5	197.43	196.87	196.88	196.83(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	-10	22	74	2.44	68%	-0.02	68.4	3.13%	0	0.6	72	INF
25	Nov_16_2015	166.73	183.49	197.12	197.46	197.18	195.32	198.72(2.46%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-70	-19	77	4.22	68%		68.5	3.14%	0	0.8	71	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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