Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ BIDU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $198.9100 (0.5%) ($194.7000 - $200.9800) on Thu. Nov. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.2% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $198.9100(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU advances 3.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU advances 13.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(69%)    MCHI(65%)    FXI(60%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -1.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.6% (StdDev 3.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $194.4(2.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $181.97(9.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $166.31(19.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   50.3%
Market Cap   $69.619b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 11.59% (three month std-dev: 3.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 4.25%(44%) Average negative next day return: -2.24%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 8.82%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -3.58%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 6.83%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.22%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2015	167.57	166.31	181.97	194.4	194.85	197.3	198.91(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	136	90	87	284	3.94	61%	-0.06	70.5	3.2%	0	1.7	82	0
2	Nov_4_2015	167.67	163.36	177.49	188.41	190.92	195.39	197.92(2.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	162	200	125	271	4.72	61%	-0.05	66.7	3.21%	0	1.9	82	0
3	Nov_3_2015	167.75	160.59	172.67	183.34	184.44	192.39	192.5(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	186	320	159	265	6.05	61%	-0.08	67.4	3.19%	0	2	83	0
4	Nov_2_2015	167.88	158.31	168.67	179.61	178.85	186.45	195.19(4.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	236	280	221	280	6.64	61%	-0.08	72.8	3.2%	0	2.5	83	0
5	Oct_30_2015	168.01	155.86	164.42	173.82	174.12	176.49	187.47(10.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	160	100	138	227	12.65	61%	-0.11	82	3.16%	0	2.7	82	0

6	Oct_29_2015	168.2	153.76	160.61	167.85	170.66	171.26	168.99(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	71	70	37	171	5.01	55%	-0.21	87.5	2.88%	0	1.5	77	0
7	Oct_28_2015	168.56	152.17	158.73	164.75	167.56	171.75	172.54(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	123	230	101	189	4.87	47%	-0.18	83.1	2.87%	0	2.1	83	0
8	Oct_27_2015	168.86	150.37	155.93	160.17	162.65	170.07	173.86(4.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	160	370	160	161	6.58	45%	-0.18	78.8	3.42%	0	2.7	77	0
9	Oct_26_2015	169.16	148.44	153.07	156.04	157.4	163.37	166.24(5.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	155	290	162	134	9.12	42%	-0.24	76.5	3.4%	0	2.3	65	0
10	Oct_23_2015	169.56	146.76	150.77	153.72	153.65	155.23	157.6(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	76	70	75	80	4.21	38%	-0.28	70.3	3.33%	0	1.6	59	0

11	Oct_22_2015	170.03	145.59	149.41	152.4	152.25	151.42	153.5(2.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-40	-2	37	2.16	38%	-0.3	59.6	3.31%	0	1.2	56	0
12	Oct_21_2015	170.54	144.57	148.21	151.75	151.7	152.06	149.63(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	20	-7	36	3.06	38%	-0.32	46.3	3.3%	0	0.7	67	0
13	Oct_20_2015	171.08	143.73	147.74	150.83	151.16	153.08	153.21(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	100	50	62	2.97	38%	-0.29	31	3.29%	0	1.3	71	0
14	Oct_19_2015	171.57	142.86	147.31	149.49	149.15	151.34	154.68(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	62	100	59	72	3.97	38%	-0.25	23.5	3.3%	0	1.8	74	0
15	Oct_16_2015	172	142.11	146.69	147.37	147.15	149.23	151(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	90	52	74	3.66	42%	-0.29	15.9	3.33%	0	1.5	75	0

16	Oct_15_2015	172.5	141.63	146.37	146.01	145.71	146.97	150.24(3.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	50	48	80	3.58	41%	-0.3	8.9	3.34%	0	1.5	72	0
17	Oct_14_2015	173.02	141.39	145.14	144.21	144.4	145.07	145.02(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	40	17	63	2.37	39%	-0.32	0.7	3.31%	0	0.6	70	0
18	Oct_13_2015	173.58	141.58	144.45	144.16	143.58	144.45	146.5(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	30	5	65	2.69	41%	-0.16	0.7	3.31%	0	0.8	73	0
19	Oct_12_2015	173.85	141.3	143.52	144.82	143.93	143.74	144.07(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-30	-3	69	2.43	41%	-0.35	-1.5	3.33%	0	0.5	62	0
20	Oct_9_2015	174.46	141.14	142.51	145.93	145.43	142.71	144.22(2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-14	-140	-37	57	2.85	41%	-0.33	0.2	3.33%	0	0.5	54	0

21	Oct_8_2015	175.03	141.1	141.58	146.79	146.85	144.11	141.26(-2.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-32	-130	-58	47	5.55	41%	-0.32	0.5	3.33%	0	0	48	0
22	Oct_7_2015	175.59	141.34	140.8	146.05	146.93	148.16	144.77(-3.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	80	4	50	6.81	41%	-0.28	-4.2	3.32%	0	0.6	46	0
23	Oct_6_2015	176.08	141.55	139.59	144.57	144.82	149.59	149.8(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	89	240	100	57	3.18	41%	-0.24	-5.9	3.3%	0	1.3	46	0
24	Oct_5_2015	176.5	141.38	138.12	141.95	141.59	145.7	149.62(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	109	200	130	44	3.76	41%	-0.25	-17.3	3.33%	0	1.3	57	0
25	Oct_2_2015	176.95	141.13	137.07	138.64	138.11	140.06	148.51(7.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	52	90	71	-4	6.16	41%		-37.9	3.35%	0	1.2	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.