Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $148.1500 (3.19%) ($143.7600 - $148.1600) on Wed. Sep. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.96% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $148.1500(3.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU declines -4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(69%)    MCHI(64%)    FXI(60%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -1.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.48% (StdDev 2.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

Resistance Level   $156.94
5 Day Moving Average   $148.63(-0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $147.33(0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $156.94(-5.6%)
To recent high   -30.1%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $51.853b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 7.6% (three month std-dev: 2.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(50%) Average negative next day return: -5%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.21%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.32%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151002

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_2_2015	190.45	156.94	147.33	148.63	148	145.34	148.15(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-50	-140	-31	-108	1.95	33%	-0.35	-47.1	2.96%	0	-0.7	41	0
2	Sep_1_2015	191.11	158.14	148.64	147.48	148.83	146.97	143.57(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-66	-60	-47	-123	4.56	32%	-0.38	-49	2.93%	0	-1.2	37	0
3	Aug_31_2015	191.84	159.51	150.78	146.17	147.9	150.66	147.25(-3.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	170	21	-107	3.38	32%	-0.35	-53.2	2.93%	0	-1.1	35	0
4	Aug_28_2015	192.52	160.63	152.69	144.93	146.42	150.69	152.13(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	97	230	154	-74	3.98	33%	-0.35	-67.5	2.92%	0	-0.7	32	0
5	Aug_27_2015	193.19	161.65	153.8	145.09	140.61	145.14	152.06(6.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	130	34	-135	5.88	33%	-0.32	-78.9	2.92%	0	-0.8	33	0

6	Aug_26_2015	193.81	162.77	154.65	146.16	141.78	142.15	142.4(3.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-8	-70	39	-150	8.32	27%	-0.32	-90	2.78%	0	-1.8	24	0
7	Aug_25_2015	194.43	164.23	156.59	150.25	146.44	136.08	136.99(-2.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-191	-570	-179	-227	8.45	23%	-0.34	-104	2.73%	0	-2.6	20	0
8	Aug_24_2015	195.1	165.93	159.82	156.08	151.34	141.41	141.08(-7.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-377	-550	-408	-282	11.16	24%	-0.28	-101.7	2.73%	0	-2.3	25	0
9	Aug_21_2015	195.65	168.74	163.46	161.35	160.67	156.8	152.91(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-129	-180	-129	-129	6.36	30%	-0.29	-82.3	2.59%	0	-1.3	34	0
10	Aug_20_2015	196.22	171.31	165.79	163.61	163.44	161.27	157.4(-3.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-81	-100	-78	-88	5.38	31%	-0.28	-66.5	2.6%	0	-1	34	0

11	Aug_19_2015	196.77	173.71	167.52	164.31	164.41	164.55	162.89(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	10	-14	-59	5.77	33%	-0.23	-56	2.57%	0	-0.7	36	0
12	Aug_18_2015	197.23	175.76	168.51	163.9	164	165.61	166.11(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	16	70	35	-40	4.11	33%	-0.23	-49.5	2.57%	0	-0.6	47	0
13	Aug_17_2015	197.68	177.5	168.95	164.26	163.03	164.28	167.43(1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	30	14	-44	3.36	33%	-0.21	-45.1	2.57%	0	-0.6	51	0
14	Aug_14_2015	198.09	179.06	169.14	166.15	164.25	162.39	164.24(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-110	-41	-87	5.06	33%	-0.21	-40.1	2.56%	0	-0.9	27	0
15	Aug_13_2015	198.51	180.76	170.01	168.52	167.81	161.77	160.89(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-141	-260	-138	-149	4.68	33%	-0.24	-34.7	2.55%	0	-1.3	20	0

16	Aug_12_2015	198.99	182.3	171.44	171.23	171.24	166.11	160.82(-4.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-197	-210	-198	-193	10.27	33%	-0.27	-31.2	2.55%	0	-1.4	20	0
17	Aug_11_2015	199.53	183.7	172.5	173.61	174.31	173.84	167.94(-5.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-86	-10	-59	-165	5.26	36%	-0.25	-28.3	2.5%	0	-1.1	24	0
18	Aug_10_2015	200.03	184.92	172.61	174.09	174.78	176.38	176.85(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	80	65	-158	3.06	40%	-0.18	-27.3	2.43%	0	-0.6	31	0
19	Aug_7_2015	200.39	185.75	174.39	172.55	172.8	174.78	176.08(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	80	55	-177	3.94	40%	-0.19	-29.6	2.43%	0	-0.7	33	0
20	Aug_6_2015	200.78	186.39	177.08	171.86	171.27	173.18	174.46(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	70	48	-176	4.4	38%	-0.19	-34.5	2.44%	0	-0.9	33	0

21	Aug_5_2015	201.16	187.11	180.13	171.87	171.24	170.83	172.74(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	-30	29	-165	3.26	35%	-0.15	-39.2	2.45%	0	-1.1	41	0
22	Aug_4_2015	201.47	187.81	183.29	171.32	171.52	169.36	170.32(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-76	-80	-43	-175	2.62	35%	-0.17	-46.8	2.5%	0	-1.4	42	0
23	Aug_3_2015	201.82	188.77	186.48	170.86	171.48	171.64	169.14(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-93	20	-65	-177	5.38	35%	-0.18	-55	2.49%	0	-1.6	39	0
24	Jul_31_2015	202.19	189.88	189.63	176.57	171.34	173.68	172.66(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-73	10	-54	-129	4.18	35%	-0.15	-50.7	2.5%	0	-1.5	39	0
25	Jul_30_2015	202.5	191.17	192.34	183.29	177.29	171.32	174.47(2.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-85	-330	-84	-86	7.03	30%		-42.2	2.51%	0	-1.5	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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