Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $204.3250 (0.22%) ($201.0000 - $204.5000) on Thu. Jun. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.96% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $204.3250(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(59%)    VWO(55%)    EEM(54%)    VT(45%)    QQQ(44%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -0.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.98% (StdDev 1.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $202.11(1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $201.69(1.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $197.12(3.66%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $71.514b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 2.64% (three month std-dev: 1.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.31%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.03%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.57%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.41%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.83%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.79%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150704

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_4_2015	208.77	197.12	201.69	202.11	202.1	203.4	204.33(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	40	42	87	2.79	51%	-0.06	23.1	1.96%	0	1.4	72	INF
2	Jun_3_2015	208.89	196.4	200.84	201.29	201.11	202.53	203.88(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	72	50	63	99	2.89	51%	-0.08	-6.2	1.96%	0	1.5	73	INF
3	Jun_2_2015	209.06	195.91	199.8	200.81	200	200.81	203.36(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	20	34	90	2.31	51%	-0.09	-31.8	1.96%	0	1.6	71	INF
4	Jun_1_2015	209.24	195.84	198.64	200.17	199.86	199.69	201.56(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10	4	75	2.41	51%	-0.12	-51.2	1.96%	0	1.2	67	INF
5	May_29_2015	209.5	195.81	197.8	200.62	200.27	199.2	197.4(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-12	-40	-37	64	2.69	49%	-0.16	-61.4	1.96%	0	0.3	57	INF

6	May_28_2015	209.83	195.92	197.16	201.17	201.14	200.03	200.27(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-40	-24	72	2.41	49%	-0.11	-68.8	1.96%	0	0.9	61	INF
7	May_27_2015	210.07	196.71	196.09	200.22	200.84	201.35	201.45(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	30	9	76	2.03	49%	-0.1	-49.4	1.98%	0	0.7	68	INF
8	May_26_2015	210.27	197.46	194.93	198.55	199.31	202.25	200.19(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	91	110	92	89	3.52	49%	-0.16	-43.3	1.98%	0	0.3	56	INF
9	May_22_2015	210.6	198.34	193.96	196.78	196.99	200.34	203.8(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	135	120	153	81	4.31	47%	-0.03	-37.1	1.96%	0	0.5	46	INF
10	May_21_2015	210.67	198.87	192.82	194.62	194.33	196.38	200.13(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	85	70	104	29	3.94	47%	-0.14	-38.1	1.96%	0	0.1	44	INF

11	May_20_2015	210.96	199.4	192.07	192.64	192.8	193.64	195.51(1.23%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	39	30	57	-17	2.61	44%	-0.17	-40	1.95%	0	-0.4	42	INF
12	May_19_2015	211.31	200.25	191.5	191.38	191.85	192.27	193.14(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	20	22	-83	2.21	44%	-0.18	-41.5	1.95%	0	-0.6	24	INF
13	May_18_2015	211.69	201.22	191.61	190.74	191.14	191.97	191.32(-0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	40	22	-123	2.51	44%	-0.21	-43.6	1.95%	0	-0.9	22	INF
14	May_15_2015	212.14	202.25	192.73	190.65	190.64	191.43	192.98(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	30	23	-148	3.79	44%	-0.09	-46.5	1.94%	0	-0.8	22	INF
15	May_14_2015	212.34	203.03	193.58	190.76	190.98	190.31	190.27(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-49	-20	-5	-180	3.39	44%	-0.2	-50.4	1.94%	0	-1.2	24	INF

16	May_13_2015	212.77	203.92	194.56	191.43	191.8	189.86	189.18(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-97	-70	-58	-212	2.6	48%	-0.21	-55.5	1.96%	0	-1.4	30	INF
17	May_12_2015	213.22	205.05	197.37	191.61	192.59	191.64	189.97(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-100	-20	-65	-203	3.72	44%	-0.22	-58.8	2.01%	0	-1.5	30	INF
18	May_11_2015	213.69	206.3	200.18	192.56	193.15	193.74	190.84(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	30	-24	-167	3.56	43%	-0.21	-55.4	2.09%	0	-1.6	31	INF
19	May_8_2015	214.14	207.57	203.07	195.13	194.29	193.53	193.54(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-53	-40	-24	-140	2.86	44%	-0.19	-46.7	2.09%	0	-1.5	34	INF
20	May_7_2015	214.54	208.68	205.4	196.92	196.93	192.57	193.63(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-106	-150	-93	-144	4.17	44%	-0.15	-40.5	2.11%	0	-1.7	40	INF

21	May_6_2015	214.86	209.97	207.35	198.25	198.88	195.05	190.05(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-211	-130	-221	-181	6.74	43%	-0.14	-36.1	2.11%	0	-2.5	37	INF
22	May_5_2015	215.17	211.21	209.84	204.04	202.09	201.3	194.74(-4.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-121	-60	-128	-100	7.38	45%	-0.15	-16.6	2.11%	0	-2.4	37	INF
23	May_4_2015	215.49	211.8	211.81	208.93	207.21	202.7	203.7(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-70	-180	-78	-46	4.4	48%	-0.13	-1.1	2.04%	0	-1.4	41	INF
24	May_1_2015	215.76	211.89	212.73	212.28	211.17	202.88	202.47(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-260	-290	-308	-116	6.15	48%	-0.13	12	2%	0	-1.6	38	INF
25	Apr_30_2015	216.04	212.26	213.45	215.17	216.09	211.72	200.28(-8.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-201	-130	-243	-76	11.05	48%		30.7	2.01%	0	-2.2	36	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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