Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $213.6000 (-1.47%) ($213.5300 - $218.5595) on Tue. Mar. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $213.6000(-1.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(59%)    EEM(54%)    VWO(54%)    VT(45%)    QQQ(44%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $213.72(-0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $209.22(2.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $208.7(2.35%)
To recent high   -9.1%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $74.76b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 2.07% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.75%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.54%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.47%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -1.58%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.03%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.58%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150424

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_24_2015	223.75	208.7	209.22	213.72	214.42	215.08	213.6(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	56	30	58	50	1.93	52%	-0.11	39.1	1.71%	0	1.1	57	INF
2	Mar_23_2015	223.99	208.39	208.82	211.65	212.24	214.79	216.78(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	79	90	89	50	2.21	52%	-0.1	25.9	1.71%	0	2	63	INF
3	Mar_20_2015	224.22	207.84	208.18	209.36	209.6	213.76	212.69(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	150	140	176	73	2.29	50%	-0.11	5	1.67%	0	1.3	61	INF
4	Mar_19_2015	224.47	207.65	208.13	207.71	207.15	209.68	214.57(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	152	80	178	73	2.92	50%	-0.04	-1.7	1.68%	0	1.9	65	INF
5	Mar_18_2015	224.57	207.24	207.96	205.47	204.97	205.44	210.95(3.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	34	10	42	10	3.6	52%	-0.08	-31.4	1.67%	0	1.1	57	INF

6	Mar_17_2015	224.76	207.03	207.61	204.16	204.45	204.61	203.27(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	10	-19	-21	3	48%	-0.08	-61.2	1.67%	0	-1.2	52	INF
7	Mar_16_2015	224.93	207.32	207.98	205.58	205.22	204.51	205.3(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-30	-25	-12	1.81	45%	-0.08	-59.3	1.68%	0	-0.7	46	INF
8	Mar_13_2015	225.11	207.65	208.02	206.84	206.6	204.29	204.45(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-76	-80	-91	-29	1.55	45%	-0.06	-46.2	1.7%	0	-1	48	INF
9	Mar_12_2015	225.24	207.71	208.04	208.62	208.45	205.93	203.39(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-118	-90	-143	-42	2.22	45%	-0.08	-47.7	1.72%	0	-1.3	42	INF
10	Mar_11_2015	225.41	208.26	208.04	210.79	210.99	208.9	204.38(-2.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-59	-70	-80	3	3.08	45%	-0.08	-32.1	1.72%	0	-1.1	47	INF

11	Mar_10_2015	225.6	208.98	208.37	211.45	211.91	210.98	210.39(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-25	-20	-40	20	1.88	48%	-0.03	-20.1	1.7%	0	0.3	55	INF
12	Mar_9_2015	225.66	209.17	208.12	210.64	210.92	213.08	211.62(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	80	39	44	1.74	48%	0	-27.1	1.72%	0	0.6	53	INF
13	Mar_6_2015	225.66	209.15	207.57	209.32	209.49	212.84	213.31(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	150	110	174	77	3.18	46%	0.01	-42.4	1.73%	0	1	49	INF
14	Mar_5_2015	225.64	209.26	207.11	207.41	206.86	208.76	214.23(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	94	60	111	41	3.83	46%	0.04	-56.1	1.74%	0	1.1	61	INF
15	Mar_4_2015	225.55	209.35	206.32	205.74	205.33	206.14	207.69(0.65%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	31	20	46	-13	1.7	41%	0.04	-66.5	1.69%	0	-0.4	41	INF

16	Mar_3_2015	225.46	209.79	206.24	204.91	204.99	204.96	206.34(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	0	8	-55	2.32	41%	0.03	-77.9	1.69%	0	-0.7	35	INF
17	Mar_2_2015	225.39	210.33	206.46	205.25	205.12	204.53	205.04(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-20	-29	-77	2.02	41%	0	-84	1.69%	0	-1	40	INF
18	Feb_27_2015	225.38	210.97	207.13	205.53	205.86	205.01	203.75(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-20	-41	-80	2.4	38%	-0.04	-94.7	1.71%	0	-1.4	43	INF
19	Feb_26_2015	225.47	211.8	207.33	206.71	206.67	205.7	205.88(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57	-30	-46	-89	2.72	38%	-0.05	-96.4	1.72%	0	-1.1	40	INF
20	Feb_25_2015	225.59	212.51	208.15	206.98	207.58	206.7	203.53(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-50	-20	-37	-88	2.9	38%	-0.06	-101.2	1.72%	0	-1.7	38	INF

21	Feb_24_2015	225.72	213.69	209.69	207.7	207.9	207.64	208.06(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	-10	-29	-77	2	40%	-0.04	-85.6	1.7%	0	-1	41	INF
22	Feb_23_2015	225.82	214.71	210.36	207.85	208.1	208.47	206.43(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	20	-9	-72	3.18	40%	-0.04	-70.1	1.7%	0	-1.3	38	INF
23	Feb_20_2015	225.92	216.01	210.93	208.99	208.75	208.16	209.63(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	-20	9	-64	2.19	44%	-0.02	-48.7	1.74%	0	-0.9	41	INF
24	Feb_19_2015	225.97	217	211.61	208.07	209.26	207.73	207.24(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-54	-30	-39	-97	1.71	44%	-0.02	-42.8	1.73%	0	-1.3	35	INF
25	Feb_18_2015	226.02	218.05	212.61	209.56	208.35	209.33	207.15(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-100	20	-95	-113	2.74	44%		-33.2	1.73%	0	-1.4	35	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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