Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 14, 2014

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $249.7000 (2.3%) ($244.5400 - $251.2200) on Fri. Nov. 14, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.11% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $249.7000(2.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(58%)    EEM(54%)    VWO(54%)    VT(45%)    QQQ(44%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -1.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.055% (StdDev 2.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $248.31(0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $243.39(2.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $234.59(6.44%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   25.4%
Market Cap   $87.395b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 5.12% (three month std-dev: 2.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.12%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.57%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 5.06%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.66%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.19%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.95%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_14_2014	215.34	234.59	243.39	248.31	247.88	247.43	249.7(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-20	12	116	3.64	71%	0.31	92.4	2.11%	0	1.3	74	0
2	Nov_13_2014	214.67	232.71	242.26	245.67	246.55	248.14	244.09(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	60	60	37	130	3.3	70%	0.28	88.6	2.09%	0	0.9	68	0
3	Nov_12_2014	214.07	231.11	241.57	244.24	244.03	248.33	249.82(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	149	120	136	187	2.45	72%	0.32	80.3	2.07%	0	1.4	76	0
4	Nov_11_2014	213.38	228.92	239.11	241.81	240.93	244.95	250.34(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	164	110	156	188	3.55	72%	0.35	67.8	2.07%	0	1.6	74	0
5	Nov_10_2014	212.64	226.38	236.93	240.14	239.36	239.73	247.58(4.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	109	0	91	162	4.19	72%	0.35	58.6	2.07%	0	1.5	69	0

6	Nov_7_2014	211.9	223.99	234.2	237.93	238.39	236.91	236.54(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-17	-40	-56	99	1.91	70%	0.3	49.6	2%	0	0.9	68	0
7	Nov_6_2014	211.27	222.36	232.88	238.37	238.55	238.99	236.9(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	20	-34	128	2.97	70%	0.28	47.5	2%	0	1.1	71	0
8	Nov_5_2014	210.67	221.12	230.99	238.4	239.36	239.87	237.7(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	123	30	99	194	4.55	70%	0.29	49.2	2%	0	1.3	72	0
9	Nov_4_2014	210.07	220.03	229.17	235.77	236.49	238.1	241.96(2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	76	60	44	173	3.9	72%	0.32	47.9	2%	0	1.8	78	0
10	Nov_3_2014	209.41	218.6	227.11	233.17	233.06	238.85	236.54(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	177	170	158	232	3.52	71%	0.28	45.3	2.01%	0	1.6	80	0

11	Oct_31_2014	208.82	217.53	225.1	229.84	230.06	234.88	238.77(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	275	150	274	278	6.26	71%	0.31	38.3	2.02%	0	2.1	81	0
12	Oct_30_2014	208.18	216.29	222.35	226.6	225.23	227.27	237.01(5.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	129	50	105	200	10.61	71%	0.29	32.3	2.03%	0	2.3	75	0
13	Oct_29_2014	207.57	215.06	219.7	222.6	222.74	225.23	224.55(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	103	80	81	168	7.74	64%	0.24	21.6	1.92%	0	1.3	58	0
14	Oct_28_2014	207.08	214.4	217.89	221.54	221.3	223.19	228.96(4.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	113	60	99	153	4.67	67%	0.28	12.4	1.93%	0	2	57	0
15	Oct_27_2014	206.5	213.75	214.95	220.22	220.25	220.24	219.92(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	44	0	26	97	3.09	64%	0.23	10.2	1.86%	0	0.9	53	0

16	Oct_24_2014	206.02	213.71	213	219.56	220.21	219.4	222.55(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-20	8	51	2.98	71%	0.27	11.5	2.29%	0	1.3	53	0
17	Oct_23_2014	205.46	213.45	211.05	217.4	218.86	220.26	217.03(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	60	6	21	3.42	70%	0.27	-1.7	2.28%	0	0.6	50	0
18	Oct_22_2014	204.91	213.44	210.55	216.24	217.46	221.03	219.26(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	116	130	134	62	2.51	70%	0.27	-13.8	2.28%	0	0.9	53	0
19	Oct_21_2014	204.35	213.5	210.2	213.53	214.09	217.45	222.35(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	139	120	165	62	3.97	72%	0.27	-23.5	2.27%	0	1.4	59	0
20	Oct_20_2014	203.8	213.06	209.32	208.87	209.05	213.88	216.62(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	101	160	130	12	2.56	71%	0.26	-46.1	2.28%	0	0.6	47	0

21	Oct_17_2014	203.28	212.95	209.21	205.49	205.53	210.72	211.73(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	141	180	186	7	4.25	71%	0.22	-54.5	2.28%	0	-0.2	40	0
22	Oct_16_2014	202.84	213.55	209.59	203.81	202.79	204.21	211.22(2.67%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	50	30	83	-49	5.83	71%	0.23	-51.9	2.29%	0	-0.3	42	0
23	Oct_15_2014	202.38	214.35	209.88	204.17	202.77	200.35	205.73(3.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-92	-100	-83	-118	5.96	69%	0.18	-46.2	2.27%	0	-1.2	38	0
24	Oct_14_2014	202.01	215.05	210.55	206.53	206.55	201.38	199.07(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-149	-170	-151	-143	4.11	67%	-0.01	-40.3	2.24%	0	-2.3	24	0
25	Oct_13_2014	202.04	215.97	212.53	209.84	210.39	205.19	199.68(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-193	-170	-210	-142	4.13	67%		-36.2	2.24%	0	-2.6	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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