Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $197.7200 (3.43%) ($193.0000 - $199.0900) on Mon. Jul. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.97% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $197.7200(3.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(58%)    EEM(54%)    VWO(54%)    VT(45%)    QQQ(44%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -0.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.985% (StdDev 1.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $191.02(3.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $188.26(5.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $187.15(5.65%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   31.5%
Market Cap   $69.202b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 2.33% (three month std-dev: 1.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.77%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.4%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.87%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.03%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.2%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.54%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2014	166.66	187.15	188.26	191.02	191.06	192.74	197.72(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	122	60	138	73	5.32	66%	0.21	85.4	1.97%	0	2.4	62	0
2	Jul_18_2014	166.31	185.99	187.17	189.18	189.31	188.75	191.17(2.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-4	-20	-6	3	2.23	63%	0.17	69.3	1.96%	0	1.2	59	0
3	Jul_17_2014	166.02	185.18	187.08	188.16	189.05	189.37	186.91(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	30	3	9	2.4	61%	0.14	55.8	1.96%	0	0.4	56	0
4	Jul_16_2014	165.78	184.7	187.36	187.45	188.28	189.87	189.42(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	63	70	71	38	2.05	61%	0.17	49.3	1.95%	0	0.9	58	0
5	Jul_15_2014	165.5	184.14	187.48	186.55	185.93	188.72	189.87(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	76	100	84	50	2.42	61%	0.18	46.8	1.96%	0	1.1	64	0

6	Jul_14_2014	165.21	183.49	187.16	185.04	184.42	186.68	188.52(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	96	80	108	60	2.02	61%	0.17	43.2	1.96%	0	1	67	0
7	Jul_11_2014	164.93	182.97	186.81	184.93	183.33	183.13	186.1(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-30	0	32	1.94	61%	0.16	48.6	1.98%	0	0.6	69	0
8	Jul_10_2014	164.67	182.48	186.61	185.95	184.55	182.17	183.32(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-52	-110	-77	25	2.93	55%	0.14	61.6	1.98%	0	0.2	67	0
9	Jul_9_2014	164.44	182.16	186.79	187.28	186.93	183.52	184.94(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-83	-130	-121	31	2.21	59%	0.15	78.8	2.05%	0	0.5	64	0
10	Jul_8_2014	164.19	181.73	186.49	188.55	189.03	186.94	182.3(-3.03%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-65	-70	-104	53	4.03	63%	0.14	95.5	2.11%	0	0.1	58	0

11	Jul_7_2014	163.96	181.24	186.15	189.45	190.35	190.34	188(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	10	-3	103	2.05	62%	0.19	98.5	2.16%	0	1.1	70	0
12	Jul_3_2014	163.65	180.47	184.89	188.84	189.46	191.11	191.2(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	70	45	108	1.88	55%	0.22	92.8	2.3%	0	1.6	72	0
13	Jul_2_2014	163.29	179.23	183.23	187.34	187.79	190.36	189.96(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	91	100	84	111	3.36	55%	0.21	82.5	2.32%	0	1.6	74	0
14	Jul_1_2014	162.94	177.92	181.87	186.24	185.98	187.8	191.28(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	93	60	88	106	4.11	58%	0.23	75.3	2.31%	0	1.9	75	0
15	Jun_30_2014	162.56	176.53	180.48	184.23	184.24	185.23	186.81(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	40	53	79	3.15	56%	0.2	68.8	2.34%	0	1.6	72	0

16	Jun_27_2014	162.24	175.54	179.44	182.37	182.59	184.15	184.96(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	60	60	55	74	2.14	56%	0.19	62.5	2.34%	0	1.5	76	0
17	Jun_26_2014	161.93	174.58	178.7	180.28	180.57	183.24	183.71(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	83	110	85	77	2.15	54%	0.19	57.5	2.35%	0	1.5	72	0
18	Jun_25_2014	161.62	173.75	177.89	178.42	178.26	181.03	184.46(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	91	110	95	79	4.31	54%	0.2	53.8	2.37%	0	1.8	80	0
19	Jun_24_2014	161.3	172.81	177.02	176.86	176.53	177.9	181.19(2.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	64	50	62	71	5.87	54%	0.17	58.4	2.37%	0	1.6	81	0
20	Jun_23_2014	161.02	172.18	176.48	176.27	175.87	175.5	177.54(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	17	-20	2	61	3.29	54%	0.15	69.4	2.36%	0	1.1	78	0

21	Jun_20_2014	160.78	171.67	175.92	176.13	176.31	175.17	174.5(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-11	-40	-32	54	2.52	52%	0.12	82.8	2.35%	0	0.6	64	0
22	Jun_19_2014	160.58	171.15	175.75	176.84	176.74	176.24	174.39(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	-20	-33	70	1.62	51%	0.13	91.4	2.37%	0	0.6	66	0
23	Jun_18_2014	160.37	170.64	175.06	177.16	177.22	177.45	176.68(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	10	6	88	2.59	52%	0.16	98.4	2.38%	0	1.1	66	0
24	Jun_17_2014	160.12	169.76	173.82	177.13	177.14	177.24	178.22(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	0	14	90	2.06	52%	0.18	95	2.38%	0	1.5	71	0
25	Jun_16_2014	159.84	168.74	172.41	176.71	176.6	177	176.88(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	10	13	81	2.19	52%		89.4	2.38%	0	1.4	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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