Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $178.2200 (0.76%) ($176.1700 - $179.2600) on Tue. Jun. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.38% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $178.2200(0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(58%)    EEM(54%)    VWO(54%)    VT(45%)    QQQ(44%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -1.19% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.19% (StdDev 2.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $177.13(0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $173.82(2.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $169.76(4.98%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.2%
Market Cap   $62.377b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 3.38% (three month std-dev: 2.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.26%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.22%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.27%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.86%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.69%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140717

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_17_2014	160.12	169.76	173.82	177.13	177.14	177.24	178.22(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	0	14	90	2.06	52%	0.18	95	2.38%	0	1.5	71	INF
2	Jun_16_2014	159.84	168.74	172.41	176.71	176.6	177	176.88(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	10	13	81	2.19	52%	0.16	89.4	2.38%	0	1.4	61	INF
3	Jun_13_2014	159.58	167.66	171.44	175.65	175.9	177.05	178.05(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	50	39	83	2.38	52%	0.19	81.3	2.39%	0	1.7	65	INF
4	Jun_12_2014	159.28	166.52	170.18	174.51	174.61	176.2	175.98(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	68	70	61	87	3.07	52%	0.17	80.9	2.41%	0	1.5	69	INF
5	Jun_11_2014	159.01	165.52	169.29	172.6	172.86	174.76	176.51(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	83	80	82	85	3.25	52%	0.18	76.9	2.43%	0	1.8	69	INF

6	Jun_10_2014	158.73	164.48	168.19	169.97	170.19	173.02	176.14(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	85	120	88	76	4.12	52%	0.18	67.1	2.45%	0	2	74	INF
7	Jun_9_2014	158.44	163.62	167.4	167.48	167.44	170.96	171.59(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	94	150	100	77	2.38	50%	0.14	62.3	2.45%	0	1.5	72	INF
8	Jun_6_2014	158.22	162.69	166.95	166.61	165.67	167.35	172.34(3.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	85	50	86	82	4.81	50%	0.16	50.9	2.47%	0	1.8	76	INF
9	Jun_5_2014	157.97	161.6	166.03	165.31	164.85	163.92	166.42(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	7	-50	-7	47	2.31	48%	0.1	36.9	2.45%	0	0.9	70	INF
10	Jun_4_2014	157.82	160.87	165.81	165.52	165.25	163.98	163.38(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-29	-60	-53	42	1.8	48%	0.06	34.5	2.46%	0	0.4	66	INF

11	Jun_3_2014	157.72	160.59	165.41	166.08	166.38	165.78	163.67(-2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-20	-29	61	2.72	48%	0.06	39.8	2.48%	0	0.5	66	INF
12	Jun_2_2014	157.62	160.37	164.91	167.21	167.13	166.51	167.25(0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	-30	-17	74	1.98	48%	0.11	53.3	2.49%	0	1.2	62	INF
13	May_30_2014	157.44	159.97	163.73	167.29	167.71	166.98	165.81(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-20	-9	83	1.95	48%	0.1	54	2.51%	0	1.1	70	INF
14	May_29_2014	157.28	159.58	162.74	166.83	167.33	167.75	167.5(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	24	30	1	92	2.27	48%	0.13	53.1	2.53%	0	1.5	76	INF
15	May_28_2014	157.08	158.88	161.59	166.12	166.39	168.45	166.17(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	71	90	56	116	2.81	48%	0.11	46.9	2.55%	0	1.4	73	INF

16	May_27_2014	156.9	158.3	160.58	164.57	164.79	166.91	169.32(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	98	90	92	117	3.32	48%	0.15	33.3	2.56%	0	2.3	63	INF
17	May_23_2014	156.66	157.36	159.53	162.24	162.15	164.34	167.63(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	77	90	72	90	2.71	48%	0.15	12.7	2.58%	0	2.3	58	INF
18	May_22_2014	156.43	157.03	158.01	159.67	159.83	162.66	163.53(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	82	130	87	67	3.05	48%	0.1	4.4	2.58%	0	1.7	53	INF
19	May_21_2014	156.28	156.79	156.7	158.04	157.53	159.97	163.97(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	73	100	83	41	3.37	48%	0.1	-4.7	2.61%	0	2	56	INF
20	May_20_2014	156.12	156.5	155.4	156.45	155.9	157	158.42(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	40	44	9	2.68	45%	0.03	-12.3	2.59%	0	0.5	57	INF

21	May_19_2014	156.07	156.68	155.27	155.99	155.5	155.09	157.65(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-30	-2	-10	2.53	45%	0.02	-4.3	2.62%	0	0.3	54	INF
22	May_16_2014	156.04	156.78	155.41	156.43	155.94	154.8	154.77(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-60	-27	-5	2.73	45%	-0.01	11.4	2.63%	0	-0.5	57	INF
23	May_15_2014	156.06	156.85	155.89	156.05	156.64	155.91	155.39(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-20	-6	-4	2.49	45%	-0.01	14.9	2.66%	0	-0.4	42	INF
24	May_14_2014	156.08	156.95	156.19	155.05	155.69	157.08	156.02(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	70	14	-5	2.55	45%	0	6.8	2.69%	0	-0.3	47	INF
25	May_13_2014	156.08	156.94	156	154.1	154.38	157.38	156.11(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	140	66	1	2.92	45%		5.1	2.73%	0	-0.2	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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