Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $167.5000 (0.8%) ($165.5200 - $169.5900) on Thu. May. 29, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.53% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $167.5000(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(58%)    EEM(54%)    VWO(54%)    QQQ(45%)    VT(45%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -1.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.265% (StdDev 2.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $166.83(0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $162.74(2.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $159.58(4.96%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   16.7%
Market Cap   $58.625b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 3.35% (three month std-dev: 2.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.96%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.72%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.16%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -0.77%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.42%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.72%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140629

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_29_2014	157.28	159.58	162.74	166.83	167.33	167.75	167.5(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	24	30	1	92	2.27	48%	0.13	53.1	2.53%	0	1.5	76	INF
2	May_28_2014	157.08	158.88	161.59	166.12	166.39	168.45	166.17(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	71	90	56	116	2.81	48%	0.11	46.9	2.55%	0	1.4	73	INF
3	May_27_2014	156.9	158.3	160.58	164.57	164.79	166.91	169.32(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	98	90	92	117	3.32	48%	0.15	33.3	2.56%	0	2.3	63	INF
4	May_23_2014	156.66	157.36	159.53	162.24	162.15	164.34	167.63(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	77	90	72	90	2.71	48%	0.15	12.7	2.58%	0	2.3	58	INF
5	May_22_2014	156.43	157.03	158.01	159.67	159.83	162.66	163.53(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	82	130	87	67	3.05	48%	0.1	4.4	2.58%	0	1.7	53	INF

6	May_21_2014	156.28	156.79	156.7	158.04	157.53	159.97	163.97(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	73	100	83	41	3.37	48%	0.1	-4.7	2.61%	0	2	56	INF
7	May_20_2014	156.12	156.5	155.4	156.45	155.9	157	158.42(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	40	44	9	2.68	45%	0.03	-12.3	2.59%	0	0.5	57	INF
8	May_19_2014	156.07	156.68	155.27	155.99	155.5	155.09	157.65(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-30	-2	-10	2.53	45%	0.02	-4.3	2.62%	0	0.3	54	INF
9	May_16_2014	156.04	156.78	155.41	156.43	155.94	154.8	154.77(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-60	-27	-5	2.73	45%	-0.01	11.4	2.63%	0	-0.5	57	INF
10	May_15_2014	156.06	156.85	155.89	156.05	156.64	155.91	155.39(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-20	-6	-4	2.49	45%	-0.01	14.9	2.66%	0	-0.4	42	INF

11	May_14_2014	156.08	156.95	156.19	155.05	155.69	157.08	156.02(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	70	14	-5	2.55	45%	0	6.8	2.69%	0	-0.3	47	INF
12	May_13_2014	156.08	156.94	156	154.1	154.38	157.38	156.11(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	140	66	1	2.92	45%	0	5.1	2.73%	0	-0.2	47	INF
13	May_12_2014	156.08	156.85	155.92	154.44	153.38	154.3	159.88(4.6%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	32	20	47	-14	4.28	45%	0.06	20.2	2.73%	0	0.8	46	INF
14	May_9_2014	155.99	156.36	155.02	154.41	153.96	151.38	152.85(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-130	-47	-65	2.46	40%	-0.05	19.2	2.67%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
15	May_8_2014	156.07	156.31	155.98	155.82	155.76	152.46	150.38(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-98	-150	-107	-70	3.7	40%	-0.1	21.8	2.69%	0	-1.5	47	NAN

16	May_7_2014	156.22	156.71	156.95	157.49	157.87	156.54	151.27(-4.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-52	-50	-58	-34	6.17	40%	-0.08	32.1	2.72%	0	-1.4	46	NAN
17	May_6_2014	156.35	156.75	157.8	158	158.67	159.06	157.83(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	30	18	5	2.7	43%	0.03	26.6	2.67%	0	0.3	54	NAN
18	May_5_2014	156.31	156.1	157.8	157.47	157.07	159.2	159.73(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	90	40	21	2.16	43%	0.06	10.4	2.71%	0	0.8	58	NAN
19	May_2_2014	156.21	155.59	158.27	155.71	155.73	158.27	159.91(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	59	110	68	32	2.9	43%	0.07	-0.9	2.74%	0	0.9	63	NAN
20	May_1_2014	156.1	155.43	157.87	156.31	154.83	154.95	158.69(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-20	13	21	4.05	43%	0.05	8.4	2.78%	0	0.7	60	NAN

21	Apr_30_2014	156.02	155.47	157.72	156.52	156.51	153.19	153.85(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-150	-49	-2	4.18	40%	-0.04	17.1	2.77%	0	-0.3	47	NAN
22	Apr_29_2014	156.09	155.73	157.95	157.61	158.07	154.71	155.15(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-93	-140	-118	-16	5.16	40%	-0.02	26.3	2.81%	0	-0.1	56	NAN
23	Apr_28_2014	156.12	155.6	157.89	159.19	159.93	159.82	150.93(-7.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.6	-30	10	-52	37	10.04	40%	-0.12	30.7	2.81%	0	-0.9	60	NAN
24	Apr_25_2014	156.3	155.64	157.93	161.02	161.38	161.44	162.91(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	63	10	50	103	9.47	47%	0.15	34.3	2.51%	0	1.4	63	NAN
25	Apr_24_2014	156.07	155.03	156.74	159.6	160.11	160.04	159.74(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	10	-12	58	6.73	47%		21.5	2.53%	0	1	52	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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