Trading Signals: BCRX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 6, 2006

Trading Signals: BCRX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 2, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.)
BCRX latest price $20.2000 (-2.65%) ($20.1400 - $21.1000) on Mon. Mar. 6, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.65% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $20.2000(-2.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BCRX declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BCRX advances 6.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BCRX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(7%)    EEM(6%)    IWM(6%)    SPY(6%)    VWO(6%)
Factors Impacting BCRX price   BCRX will decline at least -2.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-4%)    REMX(-2%)    TLT(-1%)    TIP(-1%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.325% (StdDev 4.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.4(-0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.06(0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.95(6.6%)
To recent high   -9.9%
To recent low   41.3%
Market Cap   $3.564b

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. designs and develops novel, oral and small-molecule medicines. Its drug candidates include Berotralstat, BCX9930, BCX9250, RAPIVAB, ALPIVAB, RAPIACTA, PERAMIFLU, Galidesivir and Mundesine. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Durham, NC.

$. BCRX price fluctuates within 7.92% (three month std-dev: 4.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060406

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_6_2006	16.45	18.95	20.06	20.4	20.5	20.7	20.2(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	80	-3	86	0.5	72%	0.18	23.7	4.65%	0	0.8	70	0
2	Mar_3_2006	16.42	18.91	19.95	20.56	20.52	20.65	20.75(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	40	8	120	0.72	72%	0.43	32.4	4.59%	0	1.2	77	0
3	Mar_2_2006	16.35	18.83	19.73	20.35	20.5	20.3	20.79(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-50	10	129	0.8	72%	0.49	28.2	4.63%	0	1.4	75	0
4	Mar_1_2006	16.27	18.73	19.37	19.92	20.18	20.39	20.35(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	110	3	114	1.01	64%	0.31	17.9	4.64%	0	1.2	70	0
5	Feb_28_2006	16.22	18.65	19.06	19.71	19.89	20.7	19.89(-5.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	310	7	69	1.45	76%	0.43	10.4	6.64%	0	1	55	0

6	Feb_27_2006	16.15	18.6	18.8	19.67	19.59	19.97	21(6.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	120	14	61	2.27	76%	0.62	5.3	6.59%	0	1.9	53	0
7	Feb_24_2006	16.05	18.44	18.32	19.28	19.32	19.08	19.74(5.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-80	4	31	0.92	76%	0.63	-10.8	6.56%	0	1.1	49	0
8	Feb_23_2006	15.95	18.43	18	19.02	19.24	19.21	18.64(-3.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	20	3	11	0.39	76%	0.57	-20.8	6.58%	0	0.2	46	0
9	Feb_22_2006	15.86	18.49	17.82	18.72	19.03	19.55	19.28(-1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	240	12	-5	0.61	76%	0.57	-32.6	6.56%	0	0.7	50	0
10	Feb_21_2006	15.77	18.52	17.75	18.28	18.46	19.26	19.67(3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	9	330	17	-16	1.08	76%	1.02	-49.4	6.55%	0	0.9	53	0

11	Feb_17_2006	15.61	18.53	17.72	17.79	17.84	18.51	19.07(3.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	270	19	-26	1.48	77%	0.64	-54.6	6.5%	0	0.4	50	0
12	Feb_16_2006	15.51	18.57	17.75	17.23	17.34	17.65	18.46(7.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	140	13	-37	1.19	77%	0.58	-58.6	6.53%	0	-0.1	54	0
13	Feb_15_2006	15.42	18.68	17.81	16.84	16.89	17.17	17.1(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	120	2	-55	0.6	75%	0.52	-55.7	6.47%	0	-1.1	34	0
14	Feb_14_2006	15.34	18.89	18.01	16.8	16.79	17.03	17.1(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	100	-3	-62	0.73	75%	0.46	-49	6.47%	0	-1.1	34	0
15	Feb_13_2006	15.27	19.15	18.21	17.15	16.84	16.62	17.22(5.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-150	-12	-62	1.27	75%	0.53	-37.2	6.47%	0	-1.2	34	0

16	Feb_10_2006	15.19	19.25	18.39	17.67	17.47	16.56	16.29(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-400	-20	-58	1.15	72%	0.53	-27.3	6.44%	0	-2	25	0
17	Feb_9_2006	15.11	19.39	18.6	18.35	18.37	17.07	16.51(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-29	-490	-22	-49	1.48	72%	0.47	-14	6.49%	0	-2.2	28	0
18	Feb_8_2006	15.04	19.53	18.95	18.9	19.1	18.38	16.86(-10.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-24	-230	-19	-38	3.96	65%	0.53	-0.2	6.48%	0	-2.3	26	0
19	Feb_7_2006	14.96	19.7	19.28	19.36	19.58	19.66	18.85(-4.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	60	-2	-25	0.79	71%	0.67	26.6	6.54%	0	-0.9	30	0
20	Feb_6_2006	14.86	19.75	19.4	19.4	19.52	19.82	19.82(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	130	6	-31	0.43	71%	0.75	42	6.5%	0	0.1	29	0

21	Feb_3_2006	14.75	19.67	19.42	19.23	19.28	19.5	19.69(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	90	9	-30	0.72	71%	0.75	40.3	6.5%	0	0	56	0
22	Feb_2_2006	14.64	19.58	19.45	18.92	18.98	19.23	19.29(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	100	1	-37	0.97	71%	0.69	33.9	6.52%	0	-0.3	57	0
23	Feb_1_2006	14.54	19.53	19.59	19.03	18.7	19.05	19.17(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	80	-1	-27	0.5	71%	0.76	38.7	6.52%	0	-0.3	56	0
24	Jan_31_2006	14.43	19.45	19.81	19.2	18.92	18.73	19.03(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-110	-2	-18	0.8	71%	0.7	38.3	6.52%	0	-0.3	48	0
25	Jan_30_2006	14.33	19.35	20.13	19.41	19.23	18.36	18.99(4.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-340	-12	-6	1.1	71%		39.4	6.52%	0	-0.3	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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