Trading Signals: BCRX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ BCRX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 2, 2006

Trading Signals: BCRX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 2, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.)
BCRX latest price $20.7900 (2.16%) ($20.0000 - $20.8300) on Thu. Mar. 2, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.63% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $20.7900(2.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BCRX advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BCRX advances 9.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BCRX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(7%)    EEM(6%)    EWY(6%)    IWM(6%)    SPY(6%)
Factors Impacting BCRX price   BCRX will decline at least -2.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-4%)    REMX(-2%)    TLT(-1%)    TIP(-1%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.315% (StdDev 4.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.35(2.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.73(5.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.83(10.41%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   45.4%
Market Cap   $3.668b

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. designs and develops novel, oral and small-molecule medicines. Its drug candidates include Berotralstat, BCX9930, BCX9250, RAPIVAB, ALPIVAB, RAPIACTA, PERAMIFLU, Galidesivir and Mundesine. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Durham, NC.

$. BCRX price fluctuates within 7.54% (three month std-dev: 4.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060402

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2006	16.35	18.83	19.73	20.35	20.5	20.3	20.79(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-50	10	129	0.8	72%	0.49	28.2	4.63%	0	1.4	75	NAN
2	Mar_1_2006	16.27	18.73	19.37	19.92	20.18	20.39	20.35(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	110	3	114	1.01	64%	0.31	17.9	4.64%	0	1.2	70	NAN
3	Feb_28_2006	16.22	18.65	19.06	19.71	19.89	20.7	19.89(-5.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	310	7	69	1.45	76%	0.43	10.4	6.64%	0	1	55	NAN
4	Feb_27_2006	16.15	18.6	18.8	19.67	19.59	19.97	21(6.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	120	14	61	2.27	76%	0.62	5.3	6.59%	0	1.9	53	NAN
5	Feb_24_2006	16.05	18.44	18.32	19.28	19.32	19.08	19.74(5.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-80	4	31	0.92	76%	0.63	-10.8	6.56%	0	1.1	49	NAN

6	Feb_23_2006	15.95	18.43	18	19.02	19.24	19.21	18.64(-3.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	20	3	11	0.39	76%	0.57	-20.8	6.58%	0	0.2	46	NAN
7	Feb_22_2006	15.86	18.49	17.82	18.72	19.03	19.55	19.28(-1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	240	12	-5	0.61	76%	0.57	-32.6	6.56%	0	0.7	50	NAN
8	Feb_21_2006	15.77	18.52	17.75	18.28	18.46	19.26	19.67(3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	9	330	17	-16	1.08	76%	1.02	-49.4	6.55%	0	0.9	53	NAN
9	Feb_17_2006	15.61	18.53	17.72	17.79	17.84	18.51	19.07(3.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	270	19	-26	1.48	77%	0.64	-54.6	6.5%	0	0.4	50	NAN
10	Feb_16_2006	15.51	18.57	17.75	17.23	17.34	17.65	18.46(7.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	140	13	-37	1.19	77%	0.58	-58.6	6.53%	0	-0.1	54	NAN

11	Feb_15_2006	15.42	18.68	17.81	16.84	16.89	17.17	17.1(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	120	2	-55	0.6	75%	0.52	-55.7	6.47%	0	-1.1	34	NAN
12	Feb_14_2006	15.34	18.89	18.01	16.8	16.79	17.03	17.1(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	100	-3	-62	0.73	75%	0.46	-49	6.47%	0	-1.1	34	NAN
13	Feb_13_2006	15.27	19.15	18.21	17.15	16.84	16.62	17.22(5.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-150	-12	-62	1.27	75%	0.53	-37.2	6.47%	0	-1.2	34	NAN
14	Feb_10_2006	15.19	19.25	18.39	17.67	17.47	16.56	16.29(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-400	-20	-58	1.15	72%	0.53	-27.3	6.44%	0	-2	25	NAN
15	Feb_9_2006	15.11	19.39	18.6	18.35	18.37	17.07	16.51(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-29	-490	-22	-49	1.48	72%	0.47	-14	6.49%	0	-2.2	28	NAN

16	Feb_8_2006	15.04	19.53	18.95	18.9	19.1	18.38	16.86(-10.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-24	-230	-19	-38	3.96	65%	0.53	-0.2	6.48%	0	-2.3	26	NAN
17	Feb_7_2006	14.96	19.7	19.28	19.36	19.58	19.66	18.85(-4.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	60	-2	-25	0.79	71%	0.67	26.6	6.54%	0	-0.9	30	NAN
18	Feb_6_2006	14.86	19.75	19.4	19.4	19.52	19.82	19.82(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	130	6	-31	0.43	71%	0.75	42	6.5%	0	0.1	29	NAN
19	Feb_3_2006	14.75	19.67	19.42	19.23	19.28	19.5	19.69(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	90	9	-30	0.72	71%	0.75	40.3	6.5%	0	0	56	NAN
20	Feb_2_2006	14.64	19.58	19.45	18.92	18.98	19.23	19.29(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	100	1	-37	0.97	71%	0.69	33.9	6.52%	0	-0.3	57	NAN

21	Feb_1_2006	14.54	19.53	19.59	19.03	18.7	19.05	19.17(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	80	-1	-27	0.5	71%	0.76	38.7	6.52%	0	-0.3	56	NAN
22	Jan_31_2006	14.43	19.45	19.81	19.2	18.92	18.73	19.03(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-110	-2	-18	0.8	71%	0.7	38.3	6.52%	0	-0.3	48	NAN
23	Jan_30_2006	14.33	19.35	20.13	19.41	19.23	18.36	18.99(4.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-340	-12	-6	1.1	71%	0.77	39.4	6.52%	0	-0.3	50	NAN
24	Jan_27_2006	14.22	19.26	20.16	19.65	19.65	19.12	18.11(-8.72%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-10	-190	-15	4	2.93	66%	0.71	46.9	6.52%	0	-0.8	55	NAN
25	Jan_26_2006	14.12	19.21	20.26	20.03	20.06	20.1	19.84(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	20	-4	22	0.43	71%		59.3	6.49%	0	0.4	64	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.