Trading Signals: BCRX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 6, 2006

Trading Signals: BCRX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 2, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.)
BCRX latest price $19.8200 (0.66%) ($19.7500 - $20.1500) on Mon. Feb. 6, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.5% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $19.8200(0.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BCRX advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BCRX declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BCRX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(7%)    EEM(6%)    IWM(6%)    SPY(6%)    VWO(6%)
Factors Impacting BCRX price   BCRX will decline at least -3.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-4%)    REMX(-2%)    TLT(-1%)    TIP(-1%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.25% (StdDev 6.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.4(2.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.4(2.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.75(0.35%)
To recent high   -11.6%
To recent low   76.2%
Market Cap   $3.497b

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. designs and develops novel, oral and small-molecule medicines. Its drug candidates include Berotralstat, BCX9930, BCX9250, RAPIVAB, ALPIVAB, RAPIACTA, PERAMIFLU, Galidesivir and Mundesine. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Durham, NC.

$. BCRX price fluctuates within 4.86% (three month std-dev: 6.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_6_2006	14.86	19.75	19.4	19.4	19.52	19.82	19.82(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	130	6	-31	0.43	71%	0.75	42	6.5%	0	0.1	29	0
2	Feb_3_2006	14.75	19.67	19.42	19.23	19.28	19.5	19.69(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	90	9	-30	0.72	71%	0.75	40.3	6.5%	0	0	56	0
3	Feb_2_2006	14.64	19.58	19.45	18.92	18.98	19.23	19.29(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	100	1	-37	0.97	71%	0.69	33.9	6.52%	0	-0.3	57	0
4	Feb_1_2006	14.54	19.53	19.59	19.03	18.7	19.05	19.17(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	80	-1	-27	0.5	71%	0.76	38.7	6.52%	0	-0.3	56	0
5	Jan_31_2006	14.43	19.45	19.81	19.2	18.92	18.73	19.03(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-110	-2	-18	0.8	71%	0.7	38.3	6.52%	0	-0.3	48	0

6	Jan_30_2006	14.33	19.35	20.13	19.41	19.23	18.36	18.99(4.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-340	-12	-6	1.1	71%	0.77	39.4	6.52%	0	-0.3	50	0
7	Jan_27_2006	14.22	19.26	20.16	19.65	19.65	19.12	18.11(-8.72%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-10	-190	-15	4	2.93	66%	0.71	46.9	6.52%	0	-0.8	55	0
8	Jan_26_2006	14.12	19.21	20.26	20.03	20.06	20.1	19.84(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	20	-4	22	0.43	71%	0.86	59.3	6.49%	0	0.4	64	0
9	Jan_25_2006	14	19.1	20.18	20.22	20.17	20.18	20.02(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-0	-4	32	0.63	71%	0.86	67.4	6.49%	0	0.6	63	0
10	Jan_24_2006	13.88	18.98	20.19	20.52	20.43	20.02	20.07(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-150	-9	52	1.07	71%	0.43	80	6.49%	0	0.7	67	0

11	Jan_23_2006	13.82	18.85	20.15	20.98	20.79	20.15	20.21(1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-240	-4	83	1.65	71%	0.88	95.9	6.49%	0	0.8	69	0
12	Jan_20_2006	13.7	18.61	19.95	20.75	21.25	20.85	20(-3.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	22	-60	1	85	1.54	69%	0.88	91.9	6.56%	0	0.9	68	0
13	Jan_19_2006	13.58	18.36	19.75	20.5	20.87	21.43	20.81(-3.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	240	7	87	1.51	65%	0.97	87.3	6.64%	0	1.5	72	0
14	Jan_18_2006	13.45	18.08	19.48	20.1	20.26	21.64	21.49(-4.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	500	17	85	4.56	63%	0.98	77.4	6.69%	0	2	70	0
15	Jan_17_2006	13.32	17.77	19.05	19.82	19.6	20.31	22.41(17.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	36	220	21	79	19.18	64%	1.45	75.9	6.72%	0	2.7	73	0

16	Jan_13_2006	13.13	17.4	18.46	19.25	19.24	18.87	19.04(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-140	3	54	0.7	65%	0.84	78.9	6.65%	0	1.1	62	0
17	Jan_12_2006	13.02	17.23	18.26	19.05	19.32	18.9	18.73(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-110	-1	57	1.23	61%	0.77	78.8	6.68%	0	1	74	0
18	Jan_11_2006	12.92	17.05	18.07	18.87	19.1	19.6	18.82(-6.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	220	2	63	2.46	65%	0.86	77.9	6.81%	0	1.2	77	0
19	Jan_10_2006	12.81	16.86	17.93	18.72	18.9	19.74	20.08(2.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	34	340	20	77	2.61	67%	1.03	77	7.02%	0	2.2	80	0
20	Jan_9_2006	12.68	16.57	17.66	18.15	18.27	18.59	19.57(8.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	29	140	15	70	3.28	67%	1.04	72.9	7.14%	0	2.2	76	0

21	Jan_6_2006	12.55	16.32	17.44	17.59	17.7	18.06	18.05(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	160	6	62	0.92	68%	0.88	66	7.25%	0	1.4	72	0
22	Jan_5_2006	12.44	16.13	17.17	17.35	17.42	17.94	17.83(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	220	9	56	1.42	68%	0.89	53.6	7.25%	0	1.4	68	0
23	Jan_4_2006	12.33	15.96	16.87	17.15	17.1	17.34	18.09(5.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	90	6	49	1.65	68%	0.98	60.4	7.25%	0	1.8	72	0
24	Jan_3_2006	12.21	15.78	16.58	17.01	16.95	16.9	17.21(2.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-30	-2	45	0.81	68%	1.33	72.3	7.24%	0	1.3	71	0
25	Dec_30_2005	12.05	15.65	16.41	17.09	17.15	16.86	16.75(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-110	-4	53	0.51	68%		88.7	7.24%	0	1	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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