Trading Signals: BCRX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 18, 2006

Trading Signals: BCRX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 2, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.)
BCRX latest price $21.4900 (-4.11%) ($20.8000 - $22.1500) on Wed. Jan. 18, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.69% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $21.4900(-4.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BCRX advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BCRX advances 8.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BCRX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(7%)    EEM(6%)    IWM(6%)    SPY(6%)    VWO(6%)
Factors Impacting BCRX price   BCRX will decline at least -3.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-4%)    REMX(-2%)    TLT(-1%)    TIP(-1%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.345% (StdDev 6.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.1(6.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.48(10.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.08(18.86%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   91%
Market Cap   $3.791b

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. designs and develops novel, oral and small-molecule medicines. Its drug candidates include Berotralstat, BCX9930, BCX9250, RAPIVAB, ALPIVAB, RAPIACTA, PERAMIFLU, Galidesivir and Mundesine. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Durham, NC.

$. BCRX price fluctuates within 9.4% (three month std-dev: 6.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -6.27%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.18%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 7.02%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_18_2006	13.45	18.08	19.48	20.1	20.26	21.64	21.49(-4.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	500	17	85	4.56	63%	0.98	77.4	6.69%	0	2	70	0
2	Jan_17_2006	13.32	17.77	19.05	19.82	19.6	20.31	22.41(17.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	36	220	21	79	19.18	64%	1.45	75.9	6.72%	0	2.7	73	0
3	Jan_13_2006	13.13	17.4	18.46	19.25	19.24	18.87	19.04(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-140	3	54	0.7	65%	0.84	78.9	6.65%	0	1.1	62	0
4	Jan_12_2006	13.02	17.23	18.26	19.05	19.32	18.9	18.73(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-110	-1	57	1.23	61%	0.77	78.8	6.68%	0	1	74	0
5	Jan_11_2006	12.92	17.05	18.07	18.87	19.1	19.6	18.82(-6.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	220	2	63	2.46	65%	0.86	77.9	6.81%	0	1.2	77	0

6	Jan_10_2006	12.81	16.86	17.93	18.72	18.9	19.74	20.08(2.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	34	340	20	77	2.61	67%	1.03	77	7.02%	0	2.2	80	0
7	Jan_9_2006	12.68	16.57	17.66	18.15	18.27	18.59	19.57(8.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	29	140	15	70	3.28	67%	1.04	72.9	7.14%	0	2.2	76	0
8	Jan_6_2006	12.55	16.32	17.44	17.59	17.7	18.06	18.05(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	160	6	62	0.92	68%	0.88	66	7.25%	0	1.4	72	0
9	Jan_5_2006	12.44	16.13	17.17	17.35	17.42	17.94	17.83(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	220	9	56	1.42	68%	0.89	53.6	7.25%	0	1.4	68	0
10	Jan_4_2006	12.33	15.96	16.87	17.15	17.1	17.34	18.09(5.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	90	6	49	1.65	68%	0.98	60.4	7.25%	0	1.8	72	0

11	Jan_3_2006	12.21	15.78	16.58	17.01	16.95	16.9	17.21(2.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-30	-2	45	0.81	68%	1.33	72.3	7.24%	0	1.3	71	0
12	Dec_30_2005	12.05	15.65	16.41	17.09	17.15	16.86	16.75(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-110	-4	53	0.51	68%	0.84	88.7	7.24%	0	1	71	0
13	Dec_29_2005	11.95	15.55	16.27	17.26	17.31	17.01	16.87(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	18	-110	2	66	0.5	68%	0.84	110.6	7.24%	0	1.2	71	0
14	Dec_28_2005	11.85	15.5	16.14	16.93	17.4	17.43	16.83(-3.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	100	8	67	1.38	68%	0.85	126.3	7.24%	0	1.3	73	0
15	Dec_27_2005	11.75	15.26	15.97	16.52	16.89	17.61	17.39(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	370	12	60	2.87	68%	1.29	94.4	7.23%	0	1.7	73	0

16	Dec_23_2005	11.6	15	15.71	16.07	16.18	17.36	17.63(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	27	530	18	52	2.22	69%	0.87	73.5	7.17%	0	1.8	76	0
17	Dec_22_2005	11.5	14.72	15.39	15.63	15.68	16.17	17.59(15.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	230	18	39	14.03	69%	0.88	69.2	7.2%	0	2.1	75	0
18	Dec_21_2005	11.4	14.44	15.08	15.18	15.23	15.01	15.21(2.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-90	-3	16	1.18	67%	0.71	64	6.97%	0	0.6	55	0
19	Dec_20_2005	11.32	14.28	14.99	15.25	15.25	15.19	14.77(-2.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-30	-4	8	0.66	67%	0.71	64.7	6.98%	0	0.4	34	0
20	Dec_19_2005	11.24	14.15	14.98	15.32	15.36	15.46	15.15(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	50	2	29	0.98	67%	0.72	66.4	6.97%	0	0.7	75	0

21	Dec_16_2005	11.16	14.01	14.92	15.28	15.28	15.3	15.45(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	10	5	43	0.89	67%	0.81	67.5	6.96%	0	1	74	0
22	Dec_15_2005	11.07	13.85	14.83	15.09	15.12	15.27	15.31(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	80	3	51	2.6	67%	0.73	67.7	6.96%	0	1	74	0
23	Dec_14_2005	10.99	13.66	14.78	14.96	15.01	15.26	15.55(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	130	8	67	2.31	67%	0.83	63.1	6.96%	0	1.3	75	0
24	Dec_13_2005	10.9	13.45	14.82	14.71	14.79	14.98	15.15(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	110	4	83	1.61	68%	0.83	55.2	6.96%	0	1.1	74	0
25	Dec_12_2005	10.81	13.26	14.51	14.6	14.64	14.76	14.92(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	70	3	81	1.79	68%		44.8	6.97%	0	1.1	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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