Trading Signals: BCRX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 8, 2005

Trading Signals: BCRX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 2, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.)
BCRX latest price $14.6400 (2.38%) ($14.3000 - $14.8600) on Thu. Dec. 8, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.97% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $14.6400(2.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BCRX declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BCRX advances 9.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BCRX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(6%)    IWM(6%)    QQQ(6%)    SPY(6%)    VWO(6%)
Factors Impacting BCRX price   BCRX will decline at least -3.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-3%)    REMX(-2%)    TLT(-1%)    TIP(-1%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.485% (StdDev 6.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $14.53(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.01(4.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12.91(13.4%)
To recent high   -17.1%
To recent low   72.8%
Market Cap   $2.583b

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. designs and develops novel, oral and small-molecule medicines. Its drug candidates include Berotralstat, BCX9930, BCX9250, RAPIVAB, ALPIVAB, RAPIACTA, PERAMIFLU, Galidesivir and Mundesine. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Durham, NC.

$. BCRX price fluctuates within 11.85% (three month std-dev: 6.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2005	10.65	12.91	14.01	14.53	14.63	14.52	14.64(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	19	-30	-2	82	1.04	68%	0.85	29.8	6.97%	0	1.1	70	0
2	Dec_7_2005	10.56	12.77	13.76	14.57	14.68	14.64	14.3(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	0	-9	87	1.3	68%	0.76	25.7	6.97%	0	1	73	0
3	Dec_6_2005	10.48	12.66	13.54	14.96	14.93	14.75	14.6(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.3	39	-90	11	122	3.93	67%	0.87	28.7	6.96%	0	1.3	76	0
4	Dec_5_2005	10.39	12.61	13.28	14.4	14.98	14.72	14.55(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-0	10	106	2.84	67%	0.78	18.2	6.98%	0	1.4	76	0
5	Dec_2_2005	10.31	12.55	13.03	13.91	14.27	15.12	14.57(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	490	13	95	4.76	67%	0.88	8.8	7.03%	0	1.5	76	0

6	Dec_1_2005	10.22	12.47	12.79	13.39	13.62	15.24	14.83(-8.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	44	880	29	89	11.4	67%	0.99	-4.2	7.03%	0	1.8	78	0
7	Nov_30_2005	10.12	12.4	12.45	12.82	12.77	13.42	16.24(37.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.8	43	340	34	68	34.12	70%	1.1	-22.1	6.88%	0	3.2	79	0
8	Nov_29_2005	10.01	12.26	11.92	11.97	12.02	12	11.81(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	0	-3	18	1.53	62%	0.6	-60.2	5.13%	0	-0.5	43	0
9	Nov_28_2005	9.95	12.36	11.87	12.01	12.06	12.12	12.1(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	50	1	-2	1.05	62%	0.71	-61.9	5.12%	0	-0.3	28	0
10	Nov_25_2005	9.88	12.43	11.79	12.02	12.05	12.04	11.97(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	0	-2	-24	0.2	62%	1.23	-67.3	5.12%	0	-0.5	30	0

11	Nov_23_2005	9.76	12.53	11.72	12.07	12.1	12	11.98(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	-50	2	-38	0.41	66%	0.62	-57.9	5.17%	0	-0.5	34	0
12	Nov_22_2005	9.7	12.68	11.71	11.99	12.11	12.06	11.98(-0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-11	0	4	-56	0.82	66%	0.31	-56.1	5.32%	0	-0.6	31	0
13	Nov_21_2005	9.67	12.83	11.73	11.85	12.03	12.19	12(-1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	140	6	-77	0.78	66%	0.73	-59.7	5.32%	0	-0.6	30	0
14	Nov_18_2005	9.6	12.99	11.89	11.71	11.85	12.16	12.16(-0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	220	10	-83	1.49	66%	0.73	-66.4	5.31%	0	-0.6	33	0
15	Nov_17_2005	9.53	13.14	12.03	11.53	11.59	11.86	12.25(6.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	180	11	-90	2.36	66%	0.74	-74.5	5.31%	0	-0.6	37	0

16	Nov_16_2005	9.46	13.24	12.13	11.33	11.39	11.54	11.55(2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	110	-0	-110	1.89	65%	0.75	-76	5.27%	0	-1.1	25	0
17	Nov_15_2005	9.39	13.43	12.35	11.41	11.35	11.33	11.28(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-34	-30	-6	-118	1.72	65%	0.64	-66.9	5.27%	0	-1.4	16	0
18	Nov_14_2005	9.33	13.69	12.62	11.59	11.48	11.23	11.3(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-180	-20	-125	0.96	65%	0.65	-56.2	5.27%	0	-1.4	16	0
19	Nov_11_2005	9.27	14.01	12.88	12.11	11.92	11.36	11.28(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-380	-22	-114	1.15	65%	0.22	-38.4	5.27%	0	-1.6	17	0
20	Nov_10_2005	9.25	14.28	13.13	12.6	12.6	11.73	11.25(-5.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-44	-480	-23	-106	1.84	65%	0.22	-20.2	5.27%	0	-2	16	0

21	Nov_9_2005	9.23	14.46	13.42	13.03	13.13	12.48	11.95(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-320	-23	-90	2.47	68%	0.33	-0.9	5.22%	0	-1.8	36	0
22	Nov_8_2005	9.2	14.56	13.75	13.41	13.56	13.46	12.19(-12.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-20	-15	-73	4.3	65%	0.33	19.7	5.21%	0	-1.9	30	0
23	Nov_7_2005	9.17	14.71	14.06	13.78	13.79	13.78	13.9(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-0	2	-62	1.21	70%	0.55	48.5	5.03%	0	-0.7	32	0
24	Nov_4_2005	9.12	14.68	14.18	13.76	13.82	13.65	13.7(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	-70	-2	-80	1	70%	0.55	55	5.05%	0	-0.7	26	0
25	Nov_3_2005	9.07	14.6	14.34	13.75	13.89	13.8	13.41(-3.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10	-6	-93	1.09	71%		51.9	5.04%	0	-0.7	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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