Trading Signals: BAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: BAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Baxter International Inc.)
BAX latest price $45.6300 (-1.64%) ($45.2200 - $46.9500) on Thu. May. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $45.6300(-1.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BAX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BAX advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(57%)    SPLV(51%)    VYM(51%)    IVE(49%)    IWD(49%)
Factors Impacting BAX price   BAX will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-17%)    GDXJ(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.55(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.18(1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.38(2.82%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   24.6%
Market Cap   $23.28b

Baxter International, Inc. provides portfolio of essential renal and hospital products, including acute and chronic dialysis, sterile IV solutions, infusion systems and devices, parenteral nutrition therapies; premixed and oncolytic injectable, bio surgery products and anesthetics, drug reconstitution systems; and pharmacy automation, software and services. It operates through the following segment: Americas, Europe, Middle East & Africa and Asia-Pacific. The company was founded by Davis Baxter in 1931 and is headquartered in Deerfield, IL.

$. BAX price fluctuates within 2.34% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.53%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.44%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.94%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 1.63%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.38%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2016	39.81	44.38	45.18	45.55	45.6	45.98	45.63(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	60	31	124	21.64	87%	0.2	82.9	1.01%	0	1.2	75	0
2	May_11_2016	39.73	44.23	45.05	45.48	45.35	45.56	46.39(1.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	60	20	33	140	34.54	83%	0.23	84.2	1%	0	2	87	0
3	May_10_2016	39.64	44.02	44.82	45.23	45.18	45.22	45.5(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	0	17	122	21.35	83%	0.23	83	1.06%	0	1.5	78	0
4	May_9_2016	39.55	43.85	44.66	45.01	45.04	45.22	45.15(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	20	8	110	20.86	83%	0.23	79.1	1.08%	0	1.3	74	0
5	May_6_2016	39.46	43.69	44.52	44.92	44.87	45.14	45.07(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	40	18	105	21.28	73%	0.2	76.1	1.2%	0	1.3	76	0

6	May_5_2016	39.38	43.53	44.35	44.75	44.73	44.94	45.3(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	48	30	28	106	21.34	69%	0.2	72.6	1.21%	0	1.7	82	0
7	May_4_2016	39.3	43.35	44.12	44.54	44.48	44.6	45.12(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	10	13	91	15.99	69%	0.2	74.6	1.24%	0	1.8	82	0
8	May_3_2016	39.22	43.2	43.93	44.35	44.36	44.51	44.39(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	20	10	90	16.85	67%	0.2	74.9	1.23%	0	1.2	81	0
9	May_2_2016	39.14	43.05	43.82	44.27	44.32	44.36	44.71(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	39	10	17	104	6.97	69%	0.2	76	1.23%	0	1.7	89	0
10	Apr_29_2016	39.06	42.91	43.66	44.05	44.21	44.22	44.22(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	10	8	100	8.99	72%	0.21	82.4	1.24%	0	1.5	88	0

11	Apr_28_2016	38.98	42.78	43.51	43.87	44.03	44.29	44.26(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	50	18	102	16.27	68%	0.18	84.5	1.27%	0	1.6	89	0
12	Apr_27_2016	38.91	42.62	43.35	43.62	43.78	44.2	44.18(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	47	80	29	100	11.94	68%	0.21	82.5	1.31%	0	1.8	89	0
13	Apr_26_2016	38.83	42.48	43.16	43.44	43.49	43.77	43.97(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	50	24	90	14.62	69%	0.15	84.8	1.31%	0	1.8	74	0
14	Apr_25_2016	38.77	42.34	42.97	43.32	43.3	43.36	43.63(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	10	11	86	16.41	69%	0.15	87.1	1.32%	0	1.5	79	0
15	Apr_22_2016	38.71	42.18	42.8	43.21	43.24	43.21	43.32(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-0	6	78	33.39	71%	0.18	90.6	1.32%	0	1.4	63	0

16	Apr_21_2016	38.64	42.03	42.65	43.09	43.14	43.23	43.01(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	20	4	71	4.02	72%	0.16	83.6	1.34%	0	1.1	64	0
17	Apr_20_2016	38.58	41.91	42.53	43.01	43	43.27	43.26(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	40	18	81	5.09	69%	0.16	84.3	1.34%	0	1.5	72	0
18	Apr_19_2016	38.52	41.78	42.42	42.83	42.85	43.04	43.37(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	30	26	83	5.77	69%	0.16	84	1.36%	0	1.8	70	0
19	Apr_18_2016	38.46	41.61	42.21	42.56	42.61	42.73	43.1(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	20	15	64	6.14	69%	0.13	74.5	1.37%	0	1.8	68	0
20	Apr_15_2016	38.41	41.46	42.1	42.33	42.38	42.66	42.69(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	50	16	68	3.8	69%	0.13	68.2	1.37%	0	1.5	72	0

21	Apr_14_2016	38.36	41.31	42	42.16	42.23	42.48	42.65(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	50	24	77	3.52	70%	0.13	60.2	1.38%	0	1.6	74	0
22	Apr_13_2016	38.31	41.18	41.84	41.98	42.01	42.11	42.34(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	20	8	65	2.21	68%	0.1	59.3	1.38%	0	1.4	64	0
23	Apr_12_2016	38.27	41.07	41.73	41.95	41.91	41.97	42.03(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	10	8	70	2.82	68%	0.1	63.6	1.41%	0	1.2	63	0
24	Apr_11_2016	38.23	40.98	41.66	41.81	41.85	41.91	41.94(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	10	4	74	3.53	65%	0.1	64.2	1.41%	0	1.2	67	0
25	Apr_8_2016	38.19	40.91	41.52	41.84	41.74	41.84	41.84(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	10	2	78	2.12	64%		74.9	1.43%	0	1.2	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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