Trading Signals: BAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: BAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Baxter International Inc.)
BAX latest price $36.6400 (2.03%) ($36.0500 - $36.9800) on Tue. Oct. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $36.6400(2.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BAX advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BAX advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(57%)    VYM(51%)    SPY(50%)    IVE(49%)    IWD(49%)
Factors Impacting BAX price   BAX will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-17%)    GDXJ(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    TIP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.69(2.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.81(5.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.97(7.86%)
To recent high   -13%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $18.693b

Baxter International, Inc. provides portfolio of essential renal and hospital products, including acute and chronic dialysis, sterile IV solutions, infusion systems and devices, parenteral nutrition therapies; premixed and oncolytic injectable, bio surgery products and anesthetics, drug reconstitution systems; and pharmacy automation, software and services. It operates through the following segment: Americas, Europe, Middle East & Africa and Asia-Pacific. The company was founded by Davis Baxter in 1931 and is headquartered in Deerfield, IL.

$. BAX price fluctuates within 3.41% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 2.18%(45%) Average negative next day return: -0.91%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 0.75%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -1.88%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.62%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.33%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_27_2015	42.16	33.97	34.81	35.69	35.66	36.08	36.64(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	65	80	37	147	5.74	71%	-0.68	40.2	1.75%	0	2.3	81	0
2	Oct_26_2015	42.45	33.76	34.45	35.22	35.31	35.52	35.91(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	53	50	28	129	6.67	67%	-0.68	20.4	1.73%	0	2.1	81	0
3	Oct_23_2015	42.74	33.59	34.19	34.84	34.92	35.23	35.4(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	70	20	108	4.96	67%	-0.72	-5.7	1.72%	0	2	65	0
4	Oct_22_2015	43.05	33.52	33.97	34.54	34.58	35.11	34.92(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	110	29	94	7.13	67%	-0.71	-24.3	1.72%	0	1.6	60	0
5	Oct_21_2015	43.36	33.53	33.8	34.3	34.26	34.6	35.6(3.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	54	70	41	92	12.74	77%	-0.71	-34.3	1.7%	0	2.2	71	0

6	Oct_20_2015	43.67	33.51	33.51	33.79	33.85	34.05	34.26(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	50	17	56	5.6	68%	-0.73	-51.9	1.63%	0	0.8	63	0
7	Oct_19_2015	43.99	33.56	33.32	33.56	33.58	33.92	34.02(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	70	15	38	4.48	68%	-0.74	-56	1.63%	0	0.4	63	0
8	Oct_16_2015	44.32	33.64	33.24	33.45	33.41	33.65	33.92(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	50	20	41	4.71	68%	-0.76	-53.1	1.63%	0	0.2	63	0
9	Oct_15_2015	44.66	33.74	33.19	33.31	33.27	33.25	33.7(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10	6	18	4.02	68%	-0.76	-51	1.63%	0	-0	43	0
10	Oct_14_2015	45	33.86	33.09	33.22	33.23	33.18	33.05(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10	-2	-16	3.25	59%	-0.75	-49.2	1.61%	0	-0.6	33	0

11	Oct_13_2015	45.34	34.01	33.07	33.19	33.22	33.18	33.1(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	20	9	-43	6.07	59%	-0.29	-48.5	1.61%	0	-0.6	31	0
12	Oct_12_2015	45.47	34.16	33.03	33.02	33.06	33.29	33.47(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	50	8	-83	3.75	59%	-0.74	-52.2	1.6%	0	-0.5	35	0
13	Oct_9_2015	45.81	34.28	32.94	32.99	32.93	33.15	33.21(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	40	6	-119	4.96	59%	-0.76	-52.7	1.62%	0	-0.7	31	0
14	Oct_8_2015	46.16	34.42	33.05	33.06	33	32.83	33.25(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	-40	8	-133	6.96	59%	-0.77	-54.5	1.63%	0	-0.8	30	0
15	Oct_7_2015	46.52	34.56	33.23	32.95	32.97	32.72	32.91(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-51	-50	-14	-160	7.62	59%	-0.77	-59.9	1.63%	0	-1.1	26	0

16	Oct_6_2015	46.88	34.73	33.49	32.94	32.98	33.17	32.27(-3.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-45	40	-5	-163	9.27	45%	-0.78	-64.2	1.63%	0	-1.6	22	0
17	Oct_5_2015	47.25	34.95	33.81	33.02	33.01	33.23	33.3(-0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	50	23	-160	7.01	100%	-0.76	-72.6	1.59%	0	-1.1	25	0
18	Oct_2_2015	47.61	35.1	34.06	32.88	32.8	32.79	33.55(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-52	-10	-9	-182	7.62	100%	-0.77	-86	1.6%	0	-1.1	30	0
19	Oct_1_2015	47.98	35.27	34.32	33.06	32.92	32.8	32.73(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-70	-40	-31	-185	5.62	0%	-0.74	-87.3	1.57%	0	-1.8	19	0
20	Sep_30_2015	48.34	35.51	34.68	33.57	33.5	32.81	32.85(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-150	-11	-44	6.12	0%	-0.74	-83.8	5.7%	0	-2	20	0

21	Sep_29_2015	48.7	35.73	35.03	34.16	34.09	33.05	32.69(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-24	-220	-19	-38	9.03	0%	-0.77	-79.1	5.7%	0	-2.5	16	0
22	Sep_28_2015	49.08	36.03	35.4	34.71	34.83	34.18	32.59(-5.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-21	-120	-18	-30	7.74	0%	-0.75	-68.4	5.7%	0	-3	14	0
23	Sep_25_2015	49.45	36.34	35.77	35.39	35.32	35.12	34.45(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-50	-8	-16	3.94	2%	-0.72	-60.7	5.67%	0	-1.9	30	0
24	Sep_24_2015	49.81	36.55	35.94	35.75	35.65	35.48	35.29(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-40	-3	-11	6.05	5%	-0.68	-55.2	5.67%	0	-1.3	28	0
25	Sep_23_2015	50.15	36.67	36.02	35.96	35.84	35.52	35.76(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-70	-5	-12	4.41	5%		-62.2	5.68%	0	-0.9	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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