Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 13, 2023

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $71.4600 (0.1%) ($70.1200 - $71.4800) on Wed. Dec. 13, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.92% (three month average)
RSI   11
Latest Price   $71.4600(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   BABA declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(99%)    BOTZ(82%)    FXI(81%)    KWEB(76%)    MCHI(76%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -0.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-8%)    XLU(-1%)    TIP(1%)    LQD(1%)    TLT(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.96% (StdDev 1.92%)
Hourly BBV 0.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $62.99(-11.85%)
Resistance Level   $75.38
5 Day Moving Average   $71.74(-0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.38(-1.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.38(-5.2%)
To recent high   -19.1%
To recent low   0.1%
Market Cap   $191.707b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 5.19% (three month std-dev: 1.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.28%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.84%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 6.31%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.56%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 7.17%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.36%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20240113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_13_2023	85.82	75.38	72.38		71.33	71.2	71.46(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-30	-2	-112	21.56	52%	-0.28	-70.5	1.92%	0.3	-1	11	1.4
2	Dec_12_2023	86.06	75.98	72.69	71.74	71.56	71.12	71.39(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-50	-14	-134	14.66	52%	-0.29	-68.2	1.92%	-0.5	-1.1	11	1.6
3	Dec_11_2023	86.31	76.52	73.21	71.94	71.73	71.46	71.37(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-54	-40	-25	-142	19.7	52%	-0.24	-70.1	1.92%	-1	-1.2	15	1.4
4	Dec_8_2023	86.52	77.09	73.8	72.27	72.09	72.01	72.14(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-38	-20	-8	-129	16.87	52%	-0.23	-71.3	1.93%	0.4	-1.2	24	1.2
5	Dec_7_2023	86.72	77.62	74.42	72.64	72.31	72	72.33(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-40	-17	-129	18.92	46%	-0.23	-70.8	1.93%	0.2	-1.3	21	1

6	Dec_6_2023	86.92	78.24	75.06	73.15	72.64	72.17	71.49(-1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-70	-30	-148	30.34	46%	-0.23	-65.3	1.99%	-1.6	-1.6	9	1.2
7	Dec_5_2023	87.12	78.94	75.81	73.79	73.27	72.62	72.38(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-64	-80	-34	-155	19.02	46%	-0.24	-60.3	1.99%	-0.7	-1.6	24	1.3
8	Dec_4_2023	87.33	79.59	76.44	74.66	73.93	73.11	73.03(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-73	-110	-45	-155	21	46%	-0.25	-54.5	1.99%	-1	-1.6	31	1.4
9	Dec_1_2023	87.55	80.22	76.93	75.56	74.77	73.92	73.99(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-77	-110	-50	-157	27.94	46%	-0.26	-48.5	2%	-0.2	-1.6	31	1.3
10	Nov_30_2023	87.78	80.71	77.46	76.46	75.92	74.74	74.88(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-73	-130	-47	-151	17.82	46%	-0.22	-44.5	2.01%	-0.6	-1.6	33	1.4

11	Nov_29_2023	87.97	81.12	78.62	77.28	76.9	75.62	74.67(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-81	-130	-63	-136	30.89	46%	-0.19	-40.1	2.01%	-1.3	-1.9	29	1.3
12	Nov_28_2023	88.14	81.54	79.53	78.13	77.94	77.1	76.74(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-58	-80	-39	-115	23.63	52%	-0.16	-38.3	2.01%	-0.8	-1.6	30	1.5
13	Nov_27_2023	88.28	81.88	80.1	78.48	78.45	78.18	77.53(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-30	-14	-108	18.2	52%	-0.15	-34	2.04%	-1.2	-1.5	32	1.3
14	Nov_24_2023	88.41	82.17	80.63	78.49	78.4	78.77	78.49(-0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-25	30	4	-110	12.25	52%	-0.02	-31.9	2.04%	0	-1.4	33	1.4
15	Nov_22_2023	88.43	82.39	81.06	78.61	78.14	78.71	78.96(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	30	-5	-115	18.95	52%	-0.1	-31.7	2.04%	0.6	-1.4	41	1.2

16	Nov_21_2023	88.52	82.52	81.63	80.24	78.26	78.03	78.94(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-90	-32	-90	20.48	52%	-0.06	-18.6	2.04%	1.4	-1.5	44	1.3
17	Nov_20_2023	88.57	82.74	82.28	81.22	80.39	77.56	78.46(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-58	-280	-53	-71	31.5	52%	-0.06	-9.7	2.04%	0.3	-1.9	43	1.4
18	Nov_17_2023	88.62	82.88	82.99	81.98	81.81	78.49	77.6(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-131	-290	-146	-87	35.48	49%	-0.07	-8.3	2.06%	-0.8	-2.4	39	1.5
19	Nov_16_2023	88.68	83.04	83.8	83.01	83.11	83.23	79.11(-9.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-56	10	-65	-27	62.92	47%	-0.07	-4.4	2.06%	-1.3	-2.1	43	1.5
20	Nov_15_2023	88.74	83.2	84.29	83.74	83.83	85.13	87.07(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	74	110	81	51	28.73	56%	0	-0.5	1.76%	1.3	2.3	68	1.6

21	Nov_14_2023	88.74	82.97	83.82	83.28	82.99	83	83.87(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10	2	15	20.8	52%	-0.01	-23.9	1.71%	2.1	0.6	66	1.5
22	Nov_13_2023	88.75	82.96	83.7	83.59	83.39	82.53	82.26(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-22	-80	-32	8	11.21	50%	-0.03	-28.2	1.71%	-0.6	-0.5	49	1.4
23	Nov_10_2023	88.78	83.06	83.81	84.21	83.96	82.99	82.75(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-38	-90	-58	22	9.78	51%	-0.05	-18	1.76%	-0.7	-0.2	61	1.4
24	Nov_9_2023	88.82	83.12	83.81	84.72	84.85	84.25	82.73(-2.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-7	-40	-27	54	10.85	51%	-0.05	-14.8	1.86%	-2.1	-0.3	63	0.9
25	Nov_8_2023	88.86	83.2	83.84	84.86	85.28	84.92	84.8(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	-10	-2	73	8.13	54%		-8.3	1.84%	-1.2	0.9	62	1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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