Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 21, 2020

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $273.8200 (0.52%) ($266.4000 - $274.2200) on Mon. Sep. 21, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.44% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $273.8200(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   BABA declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(73%)    MCHI(70%)    FXI(67%)    EEM(59%)    VWO(58%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -1.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-18%)    VXX(-5%)    EDOC(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.22% (StdDev 2.44%)
Hourly BBV 0.1 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

Resistance Level   $280
5 Day Moving Average   $275.61(-0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $273.55(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $280(-2.21%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   27.3%
Market Cap   $734.583b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 3.05% (three month std-dev: 2.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.63%(71%) Average negative next day return: -0.77%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.18%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -4.63%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 4.23%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.85%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2020	240.95	280	273.55	275.61	274.84	272.46	273.82(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	-70	-55	-75	9.02	64%	0.34	38.7	2.44%	0.1	-0.7	41	0.8
2	Sep_18_2020	240.14	279.71	274.22	275.67	276.45	274.18	272.41(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-69	-50	-63	-85	11.8	64%	0.3	43.5	2.45%	-0.7	-0.8	38	1.1
3	Sep_17_2020	239.43	279.15	275.17	275.51	276.54	277.23	275.72(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	30	-18	-70	8.01	64%	0.3	40.9	2.45%	-1	-0.3	45	1.1
4	Sep_16_2020	238.72	278.51	277	273.87	275.9	278.73	278.14(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	58	90	88	-34	9.58	66%	0.33	36.4	2.44%	0.7	-0	41	0.7
5	Sep_15_2020	237.94	277.67	278.77	272.87	273.81	275.85	277.96(1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	46	60	73	-36	8.31	66%	0.32	36.2	2.46%	1.2	0	46	0.6

6	Sep_14_2020	237.18	276.72	279.61	271.29	272.85	273.08	274.1(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	14	20	36	-51	7.84	66%	0.3	33.9	2.45%	0.6	-0.2	51	0.6
7	Sep_11_2020	236.47	275.85	281.09	272.74	271.75	271.76	271.61(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-10	-43	-59	9.4	62%	0.29	35.6	2.46%	-0.8	-0.3	56	0.3
8	Sep_10_2020	235.79	275.09	282.44	274.92	273.3	272.62	267.55(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-40	-38	-27	11.14	62%	0.25	34.6	2.5%	-2.3	-0.5	59	-0.6
9	Sep_9_2020	235.2	274.61	284.98	280.63	276.61	271.73	273.15(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-97	-170	-126	-11	9.42	62%	0.29	41.9	2.49%	0.1	-0.1	60	-0.4
10	Sep_8_2020	234.53	273.52	286.4	285.6	282.19	273.98	270.02(-4.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-176	-240	-232	-7	12.74	62%	0.36	44.7	2.49%	-0.9	-0.2	60	-1.2

11	Sep_4_2020	233.69	272.57	287.31	289	288.12	281.48	281.39(-0.39%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-153	-170	-217	38	15.87	66%	0.3	45.8	2.41%	-0.4	0.5	68	-1.6
12	Sep_3_2020	233	271.15	286.03	290.52	290.36	290.41	282.5(-4.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-46	-0	-97	109	16.75	66%	0.32	49.8	2.41%	-1.7	0.7	71	-3.2
13	Sep_2_2020	232.25	270.26	283.89	290.85	290.82	294.76	296.07(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	150	90	128	214	12.67	72%	0.4	55.3	2.33%	1.1	1.6	81	-1.3
14	Sep_1_2020	231.32	268.57	280.41	290.03	288.49	290.32	298(3.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	122	30	94	205	13.76	72%	0.43	62.3	2.36%	1.8	1.9	81	-1
15	Aug_31_2020	230.33	266.63	276.51	287.63	287.42	286.87	287.03(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	65	-20	26	182	13.24	70%	0.25	69.1	2.33%	1.1	1.5	81	-0.6

16	Aug_28_2020	229.75	265.1	273.55	285.43	286.25	286.67	289(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	65	20	26	182	9.7	72%	0.41	70.3	2.36%	0.8	1.8	83	0.5
17	Aug_27_2020	228.81	263.13	270.04	280.79	283.17	287.96	284.17(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	154	140	137	206	14.59	72%	0.39	66.8	2.36%	-0.6	1.7	75	0.5
18	Aug_26_2020	227.91	261.48	266.97	275.55	277.19	285.84	291.96(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	270	240	284	229	19.18	74%	0.42	59.4	2.33%	1	2.7	65	1
19	Aug_25_2020	226.95	259.37	263.09	269.28	269.08	278.39	286(3.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	274	240	300	194	27.75	74%	0.41	54.8	2.33%	1.4	2.9	62	1.3
20	Aug_24_2020	226.03	257.42	259.19	263.92	263.5	268.55	276.02(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	223	130	253	134	22.46	73%	0.4	45.1	2.31%	1.4	2.7	59	1.3

21	Aug_21_2020	225.13	256.09	256.29	260.1	259.6	259.78	265.8(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	53	-0	61	27	25.67	65%	0.35	33.3	2.41%	1.5	1.7	57	1.4
22	Aug_20_2020	224.34	255.22	254.84	257.74	257.53	258.46	257.97(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	20	-8	-12	21.42	64%	0.32	25.1	2.4%	-0.8	0.5	58	1.5
23	Aug_19_2020	223.62	254.92	255.47	256.89	256.82	259.42	260.59(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	65	70	77	28	13.92	64%	0.3	29.1	2.4%	1	1.1	58	1.5
24	Aug_18_2020	222.95	254.46	255.74	255.81	255.59	256.61	259.2(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	66	30	77	33	13.17	67%	0.31	26.8	2.4%	1.6	0.9	58	1.8
25	Aug_17_2020	222.25	254.35	255.94	253.65	253.97	254.23	256.96(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	10	12	7	9.74	67%		23.7	2.49%	2.1	0.5	59	1.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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