Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 26, 2020

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $208.7400 (1.52%) ($206.7900 - $213.0800) on Wed. Feb. 26, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $208.7400(1.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(74%)    MCHI(72%)    FXI(68%)    EEM(57%)    VWO(57%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-15%)    VXX(-9%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0.8 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $215.56
5 Day Moving Average   $210.23(-0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $215.44(-3.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $215.56(-3.16%)
To recent high   -9.4%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $559.991b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 2.72% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.33%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.99%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.02%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.94%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.63%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200326

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_26_2020	200.84	215.56	215.44	210.23	208.9	208.02	208.74(1.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-16	-50	1	-68	19.47	56%	0.24	-20.2	1.74%	0.8	-1.2	37	-2.4
2	Feb_25_2020	200.35	215.7	216.36	212.91	211.49	205.91	205.61(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-175	-200	-190	-130	17.98	58%	0.19	-17.2	1.75%	-0.7	-1.7	30	-3.2
3	Feb_24_2020	199.97	215.81	217.51	215.89	215.22	209.78	206.16(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-247	-190	-283	-138	19.24	58%	0.19	-19.7	1.76%	-1	-1.7	47	-3.1
4	Feb_21_2020	199.59	216.25	218.7	218.58	218.84	217.07	212.59(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-113	-50	-136	-43	17.59	61%	0.23	-16	1.72%	-1.5	-0.7	60	-0.8
5	Feb_20_2020	199.14	216.58	219.59	220.14	220.18	220.67	218.04(-1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	20	-13	40	14.8	63%	0.27	-13.3	1.69%	-1	0.3	62	0.4

6	Feb_19_2020	198.6	216.76	219.82	221.39	220.64	220.62	222.14(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-10	30	82	10.73	65%	0.3	-10.2	1.68%	1.4	1	61	1
7	Feb_18_2020	198.01	216.7	219.83	220.41	220.82	219.69	220.52(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-30	-19	75	12.94	65%	0.45	-22	1.68%	0.3	0.7	62	0.8
8	Feb_14_2020	197.13	216.97	219.15	219.46	220.54	220.67	219.63(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	20	-9	83	10.67	65%	0.23	-22.5	1.68%	-1.1	0.4	66	0.9
9	Feb_13_2020	196.67	217.13	217.96	218.84	219.08	221.96	220.36(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	74	100	66	99	28.03	63%	0.23	-23.3	1.67%	-0.3	0.5	56	0.6
10	Feb_12_2020	196.22	217.31	216.84	218.94	217.94	220.42	224.31(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	128	70	133	112	18.47	65%	0.28	-17.5	1.69%	1.4	1.1	53	1

11	Feb_11_2020	195.67	217.33	215.56	218.13	217.71	216.2	217.21(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-50	-5	36	15.81	62%	0.21	-14.8	1.64%	0.5	-0	45	0.1
12	Feb_10_2020	195.26	217.92	214.89	219.26	218.85	215.47	215.77(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-117	-110	-147	-28	17.38	62%	0.18	-0.3	1.65%	-0.6	-0.3	44	0.2
13	Feb_7_2020	194.91	218.31	213.94	218.73	220.85	219.22	216.53(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-20	-58	-31	13.71	62%	0.19	1.8	1.64%	-1.4	-0.2	40	-0.1
14	Feb_6_2020	194.54	218.57	213.63	216.74	219.59	222.24	220.9(0.31%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	56	120	78	-11	10.79	65%	0.22	-4.6	1.62%	-0.6	0.3	46	0.2
15	Feb_5_2020	194.12	218.42	213.3	214.27	215.74	222.49	220.22(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	191	240	247	23	14.91	65%	0.22	-10.7	1.63%	0.2	0.3	45	0.1

16	Feb_4_2020	193.7	218.28	213.34	212.63	212.07	216.95	222.88(4.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	238	150	309	24	16.65	65%	0.25	-14.1	1.62%	1.2	0.6	45	-0.7
17	Feb_3_2020	193.22	217.96	213.08	210.1	209.49	208.98	213.1(3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	30	-30	78	-113	14.11	61%	0.18	-23.7	1.54%	1.4	-0.7	32	-1.4
18	Jan_31_2020	192.87	218.19	214.38	208.58	208.98	207.19	206.59(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-115	-50	-88	-194	17.93	58%	0.15	-29.7	1.5%	-0.7	-1.7	35	-2.4
19	Jan_30_2020	192.58	218.91	216.12	210.01	208.26	210	208.58(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-103	30	-78	-176	14.28	58%	0.17	-22.7	1.49%	-0.9	-1.6	39	-0.4
20	Jan_29_2020	192.25	219.18	217.78	212.12	210.21	210.77	212.02(0.85%)	RB	SmallLong	20	-0	55	-10	99	-78	12.93	61%	0.2	-16.4	1.47%	1.2	-1.2	46	-0.7

21	Jan_28_2020	191.86	219.3	219.22	214.19	211.82	206.52	210.23(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-185	-210	-193	-161	16.11	63%	0.17	-6.8	1.48%	0.2	-1.5	45	-0.7
22	Jan_27_2020	191.53	219.64	221.25	216.6	215.36	209.65	205.47(-3.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-327	-200	-373	-187	24.53	61%	0.16	8.5	1.48%	-1.3	-2.4	41	-1.9
23	Jan_24_2020	191.23	220.28	223.26	220.99	219.96	217.13	213.75(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-177	-100	-214	-67	17.24	67%	0.19	40.4	1.39%	-1.4	-1.3	49	0
24	Jan_23_2020	190.87	220.37	224.2	223.03	222.68	221.07	219.13(-1.46%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-80	-60	-107	3	17.01	72%	0.24	60.2	1.35%	-0.9	-0.3	51	1.2
25	Jan_22_2020	190.41	220.19	224.21	224.21	224.27	222.8	222.37(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-45	-50	-74	43	10.03	75%		73.1	1.33%	-0	0.4	65	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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