Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 31, 2018

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $204.2900 (2.32%) ($202.8000 - $206.2000) on Wed. Jan. 31, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.77% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $204.2900(2.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(76%)    MCHI(74%)    FXI(69%)    EEM(60%)    VWO(60%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -0.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.885% (StdDev 1.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $202.1(1.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $195.55(4.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $191.56(6.65%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   20.9%
Market Cap   $548.053b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 3.75% (three month std-dev: 1.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_31_2018	181.17	191.56	195.55	202.1	202.43	201.69	204.29(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	73	-20	42	165	26.98	62%	0.17	99.2	1.77%	0	1.8	66	-1.6
2	Jan_30_2018	180.87	190.49	193.5	200.35	200.69	201.59	199.66(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	40	-20	115	23.38	62%	0.14	104.8	1.76%	0	1.4	61	-1.9
3	Jan_29_2018	180.61	189.17	191.8	198.87	199.7	203.17	203.01(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	178	130	181	169	21.91	62%	0.19	100.3	1.79%	0	2.1	66	-2.1
4	Jan_26_2018	180.26	187.64	190.17	195.08	195.83	199.79	205.22(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	183	150	199	134	23.77	65%	0.2	80.4	1.82%	0	2.6	69	136.8
5	Jan_25_2018	179.9	186	188.35	190.84	191.19	196.23	198.33(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	169	190	193	95	23.42	60%	0.17	68.3	1.78%	0	1.9	69	137.4

6	Jan_24_2018	179.59	184.7	187.35	188.06	188	191.88	195.53(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	188	140	221	88	34.5	60%	0.15	55.3	1.79%	0	1.7	69	-1.4
7	Jan_23_2018	179.32	183.71	186.75	185.72	185.23	186.15	192.28(4.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	76	30	93	25	31.31	57%	0.07	46.9	1.78%	0	1.3	66	0.1
8	Jan_22_2018	179.19	182.86	186.45	183.74	183.84	184.12	184.02(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	10	-22	-12	16.02	53%	0.08	42	1.72%	0	0.2	74	0.9
9	Jan_19_2018	179.05	182.33	187.11	184.49	184.5	184.31	184.05(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10	-4	34	15.35	53%	0.07	41.9	1.72%	0	0.3	74	1
10	Jan_18_2018	178.92	181.74	187.33	185.43	185.62	183.56	184.4(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-35	-70	-61	44	14.19	56%	0.07	42.6	1.73%	0	0.4	73	0

11	Jan_17_2018	178.79	181.21	187.36	186.51	186.86	184.69	183.83(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-76	-80	-119	54	21.35	53%	0.1	41.8	1.75%	0	0.4	73	0
12	Jan_16_2018	178.62	180.72	187.42	187.91	188.33	187.68	182.4(-2.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-22	-20	-64	104	27.43	53%	0.12	43	1.78%	0	0.2	62	0
13	Jan_12_2018	178.4	180.22	186.63	189.49	189.34	189.02	187.79(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	30	-10	-9	147	11.79	54%	0.07	46.9	1.73%	0	1	72	0
14	Jan_11_2018	178.27	179.62	185.21	190.07	189.74	188.98	188.75(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	-30	-13	153	12.4	54%	0.08	52	1.76%	0	1.2	77	0
15	Jan_10_2018	178.13	178.88	183.7	189.47	189.61	189.66	189.79(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	36	0	-5	157	17.94	54%	0.08	55.9	1.76%	0	1.5	80	0

16	Jan_9_2018	177.98	178.29	181.98	188.31	188.92	190.49	190.8(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	91	70	63	175	19.5	55%	0.13	61.8	1.76%	0	1.8	76	0
17	Jan_8_2018	177.75	177.56	180.47	186.88	187.28	189.56	190.33(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	145	90	129	193	16.23	55%	0.13	64.9	1.77%	0	2.1	75	0
18	Jan_5_2018	177.52	176.71	178.89	183.3	184.67	187.34	190.7(2.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	162	120	158	175	18.17	55%	0.16	53.9	1.77%	0	2.6	77	0
19	Jan_4_2018	177.24	175.74	177	179.62	180.59	185	185.71(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	153	190	160	132	19.47	53%	0.15	36.1	1.74%	0	2.3	62	0
20	Jan_3_2018	176.97	174.88	175.5	177.07	177.26	182.01	184(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	207	190	233	128	20.12	55%	0.15	1.4	1.73%	0	2.5	62	0

21	Jan_2_2018	176.7	174.13	174.35	174.74	174.43	176.18	183.65(6.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	120	60	141	55	29.92	55%	0.31	-43.8	1.77%	0	3	53	0
22	Dec_29_2017	176.15	173.62	173.24	173.26	172.8	172.52	172.43(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-20	-26	-38	9.7	49%	0.12	-102.8	1.57%	0	-0.5	41	0
23	Dec_28_2017	175.94	173.84	173.19	173.84	173.69	172.68	172.3(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-40	-21	-35	9.51	49%	0.09	-116.2	1.58%	0	-0.6	47	0
24	Dec_27_2017	175.79	174.2	173.59	173.91	174.09	173.08	172.97(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-40	-46	-37	10.15	52%	0.09	-122	1.58%	0	-0.4	52	0
25	Dec_26_2017	175.63	174.83	173.75	173.57	173.92	174.7	172.33(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	40	-6	-14	12.91	52%		-93.8	1.61%	0	-0.6	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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