Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ BABA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $186.0800 (0.64%) ($183.5800 - $188.8800) on Wed. Nov. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.73% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $186.0800(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(76%)    MCHI(74%)    FXI(69%)    EEM(60%)    VWO(60%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -0.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.865% (StdDev 1.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $179.8(3.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $177.33(4.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $178.59(4.19%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.7%
Market Cap   $499.201b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 2.42% (three month std-dev: 1.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.35%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.03%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.95%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.87%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.91%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.09%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_1_2017	163.03	178.59	177.33	179.8	181.17	185.23	186.08(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	165	180	189	94	28.59	69%	0.31	28.5	1.73%	0	1.7	55	0
2	Oct_31_2017	162.53	178.18	176.55	176.63	177.08	181.86	184.89(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	165	200	201	55	21.26	69%	0.28	17.9	1.73%	0	1.7	48	0
3	Oct_30_2017	162.07	177.82	175.5	174.39	174.22	177.12	181.58(3.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	132	110	174	6	20.22	68%	0.27	15.8	1.74%	0	1	46	0
4	Oct_27_2017	161.64	177.43	175.18	172.7	172.81	172.3	176.15(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-20	22	-79	19.71	67%	0.21	8.3	1.72%	0	-0.3	41	0
5	Oct_26_2017	161.3	177.29	175.37	172.94	173.1	171.33	170.32(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-112	-70	-105	-133	13.53	67%	0.28	3.8	1.68%	0	-1.7	38	0

6	Oct_25_2017	160.85	177.36	176.41	174.46	175.1	173.32	170.22(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-87	-60	-81	-104	18.11	67%	0.29	6.5	1.7%	0	-1.7	39	0
7	Oct_24_2017	160.39	177.47	177.85	176.34	176.37	174.87	173.7(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-79	-60	-80	-75	11.95	69%	0.31	10.9	1.67%	0	-0.9	43	0
8	Oct_23_2017	159.9	177.22	178.8	176.66	177.37	176.87	173.13(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-49	-10	-48	-52	17.61	69%	0.31	0	1.67%	0	-0.9	43	0
9	Oct_20_2017	159.41	177.1	179.73	177.95	177.89	176.87	177.32(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-0	-7	-6	11.95	73%	0.34	-2.3	1.64%	0	0	59	0
10	Oct_19_2017	158.87	177.13	179.96	178.17	178.21	177.87	177.93(-0.94%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-10	-10	-15	5	13.54	73%	0.35	0.4	1.65%	0	0.2	62	0

11	Oct_18_2017	158.31	177.1	180.09	178.69	178.76	177.91	179.61(2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-30	-30	-45	16	21.77	73%	0.36	3.9	1.64%	0	0.6	69	0
12	Oct_17_2017	157.74	177	180.02	179.71	179.78	178.56	175.32(-2.36%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-45	-50	-71	33	20.13	71%	0.11	8.9	1.63%	0	-0.4	62	0
13	Oct_16_2017	157.56	177	180.42	181.27	181.33	179.61	179.56(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-26	-70	-62	81	12.86	75%	0.36	23.2	1.6%	0	0.5	77	0
14	Oct_13_2017	157	177.22	179.9	181.78	182.1	181.01	178.45(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-28	-40	-69	94	18.11	75%	0.36	32.6	1.61%	0	0.3	68	0
15	Oct_12_2017	156.44	177.12	179.41	181.93	182.36	183.04	180.53(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	42	30	15	123	15.44	76%	0.38	41.6	1.6%	0	0.7	52	0

16	Oct_11_2017	155.85	176.93	178.45	181.6	181.44	183.2	184.69(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	96	70	82	136	11.97	80%	0.41	47.1	1.58%	0	1.7	59	0
17	Oct_10_2017	155.22	176.59	177.08	180.4	180.11	181.69	183.12(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	96	60	90	113	13.2	80%	0.39	55.1	1.58%	0	1.6	56	0
18	Oct_9_2017	154.62	176.17	175.49	179.49	179.07	179.68	182.09(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	68	20	68	69	15.01	80%	0.39	58.7	1.58%	0	1.5	51	0
19	Oct_6_2017	154.02	175.74	174.21	177.79	178.08	178.52	179.2(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	20	33	14	8.75	79%	0.38	50.7	1.58%	0	0.9	47	0
20	Oct_5_2017	153.43	175.25	174	176.5	176.91	178.47	178.89(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	70	68	15	11.9	81%	0.39	38.2	1.6%	0	0.9	53	0

21	Oct_4_2017	152.84	174.83	173.75	174.77	175.32	177.64	178.71(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	91	100	117	14	11.42	81%	0.37	24.4	1.63%	0	0.9	52	0
22	Oct_3_2017	152.28	174.31	173.57	173.22	173.35	175.36	178.56(2.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	86	80	117	-6	16.71	81%	0.38	15.1	1.64%	0	1	48	0
23	Oct_2_2017	151.7	173.88	173.6	170.91	171.8	173	173.61(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	51	60	81	-41	12.56	79%	0.36	1.7	1.61%	0	-0.1	48	0
24	Sep_29_2017	151.15	173.77	174.18	170.11	170.54	171.34	172.71(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	40	12	-67	13.4	75%	0.35	-4.6	1.61%	0	-0.3	49	0
25	Sep_28_2017	150.62	173.74	174.58	171.2	170.7	170.6	170.24(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10	-13	-52	13.96	75%		-0.8	1.63%	0	-0.8	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.