Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 19, 2017

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $139.4700 (3.41%) ($137.4000 - $140.4000) on Mon. Jun. 19, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.99% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $139.4700(3.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA advances 4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(76%)    MCHI(74%)    FXI(68%)    EEM(60%)    VWO(60%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -0.995% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    IPO(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.995% (StdDev 1.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $136.54(2.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $135.55(2.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $129.95(7.33%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   32.7%
Market Cap   $374.159b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 5.41% (three month std-dev: 1.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 34 Average positive next day return: 1.15%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.16%(62%) Sample size 34 Average positive next three day return: 1.83%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -3.8%(62%) Sample size 34 Average positive next weekly return: 3.26%(41%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.85%(59%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170719

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_19_2017	112.96	129.95	135.55	136.54	136.55	137.04	139.47(3.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	76	30	48	160	24.95	79%	0.34	54	1.99%	0	1.4	74	0
2	Jun_16_2017	112.58	129.12	134.19	136.46	136.64	135.09	134.87(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-80	-46	132	36.43	78%	0.29	58.4	1.96%	0	0.8	70	0
3	Jun_15_2017	112.26	128.44	133.2	137.37	137.6	136.06	135.08(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-37	-70	-93	131	30.51	78%	0.29	63.6	1.97%	0	1	71	0
4	Jun_14_2017	111.94	127.72	132.15	138.83	139.46	138.2	136.67(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	-50	-22	190	32.86	78%	0.32	71.2	1.96%	0	1.3	75	0
5	Jun_13_2017	111.58	127.05	130.76	136.62	140.39	139.14	136.6(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	69	20	31	183	40.88	79%	0.35	68.2	1.97%	0	1.5	75	0

6	Jun_12_2017	111.19	126.26	129.48	134.22	136.89	140.73	139.08(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	80	260	52	162	32.18	79%	0.4	64.5	1.95%	0	2.1	74	0
7	Jun_9_2017	110.75	125.28	127.9	131.48	133.41	141.63	139.44(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	292	480	312	232	54.37	79%	0.4	62.3	1.95%	0	2.6	76	0
8	Jun_8_2017	110.31	124.26	126.22	128.42	129	133.06	142.34(13.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.1	274	230	301	193	81.38	82%	0.43	61.5	1.93%	0	4	84	0
9	Jun_7_2017	109.84	123.06	124.1	124.75	124.74	125.18	125.64(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	20	35	64	9.43	75%	0.28	109.3	1.06%	0	1.5	69	0
10	Jun_6_2017	109.53	122.77	123.82	124.11	124.26	124.94	124.62(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	40	47	49	9.26	75%	0.14	105.7	1.06%	0	1.1	51	0

11	Jun_5_2017	109.38	122.41	123.81	123.97	123.74	124.31	125.37(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	30	43	59	10.03	75%	0.28	86.5	1.06%	0	1.4	61	0
12	Jun_2_2017	109.08	121.95	123.58	123.69	123.58	123.58	124.13(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-0	21	55	7.34	75%	0.27	74.7	1.06%	0	0.9	62	0
13	Jun_1_2017	108.79	121.56	123.31	123.59	123.59	123.17	123.97(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-20	-18	43	8.9	75%	0.26	67.6	1.07%	0	0.9	62	0
14	May_31_2017	108.51	121.2	123.01	123.36	123.66	123.59	122.46(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	0	-19	40	11.58	75%	0.25	65.4	1.08%	0	0.5	59	0
15	May_30_2017	108.24	120.99	123.16	123.45	123.61	124.01	123.91(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	30	11	74	8.34	77%	0.41	70	1.06%	0	1	64	0

16	May_26_2017	107.8	120.63	122.92	123.62	123.59	123.73	123.99(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	10	21	103	7.56	77%	0.28	71.4	1.06%	0	1.1	72	0
17	May_25_2017	107.5	120.21	122.56	123.47	123.79	123.21	123.63(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-30	-9	107	12.49	77%	0.32	73.4	1.07%	0	1.1	73	0
18	May_24_2017	107.16	119.81	122.22	123	123.95	123.46	122.81(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	-0	-6	116	8.38	77%	0.33	72.7	1.08%	0	1	72	0
19	May_23_2017	106.81	119.42	121.96	122.58	122.87	124.38	122.93(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	90	8	129	14.37	73%	0.16	75.6	1.07%	0	1.1	69	0
20	May_22_2017	106.64	119.05	121.67	122.8	122.38	124.44	124.75(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	175	110	164	208	13.49	78%	0.36	84.6	1.08%	0	1.9	68	0

21	May_19_2017	106.26	118.54	120.89	122.13	121.96	121.36	123.22(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	98	-40	78	158	21.1	78%	0.35	87.3	1.1%	0	1.6	69	0
22	May_18_2017	105.89	118.03	120.19	121.55	121.16	120.32	121.27(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-64	-60	-110	73	37.12	77%	0.33	87.6	1.1%	0	1.1	68	0
23	May_17_2017	105.54	117.62	119.67	121.33	121.57	122.56	120.72(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	66	60	43	133	19.83	77%	0.32	83.7	1.1%	0	1	68	0
24	May_16_2017	105.2	117.14	119.27	121.18	120.99	122	124.02(2.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	121	50	104	171	18.22	84%	0.18	80.5	1.04%	0	2.1	82	0
25	May_15_2017	105.01	116.49	118.63	120.38	120.19	120.58	121.4(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	80	20	58	147	11.13	83%		80.7	1.02%	0	1.6	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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