Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $102.9000 (-0.68%) ($102.0300 - $103.9900) on Tue. Feb. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $102.9000(-0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(75%)    MCHI(74%)    FXI(68%)    EEM(60%)    VWO(59%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-5%)    IPO(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $103.22(-0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.32(0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.08(0.8%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   18.6%
Market Cap   $276.052b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.23%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.31%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.15%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_28_2017	96.97	102.08		103.22	102.97	103.12	102.9(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	0	19	23	8.02	64%	-0.06	25	1.41%	0	0.7	58	INF
2	Feb_27_2017	97.03	101.99	102.32	103.07	103.06	102.6	103.6(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-30	9	24	6.87	64%	-0.02	32.1	1.41%	0	1.4	60	INF
3	Feb_24_2017	97.05	101.9	102.18	102.45	102.71	102.81	102.95(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-7	10	-12	9	7.36	64%	-0.05	43.4	1.41%	0	1	60	INF
4	Feb_23_2017	97.1	101.88	102.2	102.02	102.38	103.52	102.46(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	90	46	32	10.1	64%	-0.04	60	1.42%	0	0.5	57	INF
5	Feb_22_2017	97.14	101.95	102.3	101.84	101.84	102.61	104.2(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	62	50	68	44	15.78	67%	-0.02	82.6	1.4%	0	1.9	59	INF

6	Feb_21_2017	97.16	101.8	101.95	101.32	101.31	101.23	102.12(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10	-1	3	8.19	65%	-0.12	102.9	1.38%	0	0.3	54	INF
7	Feb_17_2017	97.28	101.63	101.84	101.52	101.48	101.07	100.52(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-30	-30	-4	8.26	63%	-0.05	72.2	1.36%	0	-0.6	49	INF
8	Feb_16_2017	97.33	101.44	101.86	101.88	102.08	101.39	100.82(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-40	-35	-3	7.46	66%	-0.08	67.2	1.37%	0	-0.3	45	INF
9	Feb_15_2017	97.41	101.24	101.88	102.39	102.53	101.89	101.55(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-40	-48	-4	12.38	66%	-0.07	64.6	1.38%	0	0.1	44	INF
10	Feb_14_2017	97.48	100.99	101.89	102.79	103.01	102.78	101.59(-1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-10	-14	10	10.24	59%	-0.05	62.9	1.39%	0	0.2	38	INF

11	Feb_13_2017	97.53	100.73	101.87	102.64	103.07	103.18	103.1(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	20	15	18	9.73	62%	-0.04	63.3	1.45%	0	0.9	56	INF
12	Feb_10_2017	97.57	100.4	101.65	102.2	102.51	103.24	102.36(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	60	27	22	7.68	58%	-0.08	61	1.46%	0	0.7	65	INF
13	Feb_9_2017	97.65	100.09	101.61	101.81	101.9	102.96	103.34(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	80	58	47	8.44	53%	-0.02	57.5	1.49%	0	1.2	74	INF
14	Feb_8_2017	97.67	99.77	101.61	101.31	101.3	101.78	103.57(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	30	43	53	10.18	53%	0.02	64.6	1.55%	0	1.4	74	INF
15	Feb_7_2017	97.65	99.42	101.52	100.91	100.92	100.85	100.83(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-0	-4	56	5.66	50%	-0.02	77.3	1.51%	0	0.5	70	INF

16	Feb_6_2017	97.67	99.13	101.59	101	101.1	100.82	100.9(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	-20	-7	77	6.87	50%	-0.04	87	1.53%	0	0.6	70	INF
17	Feb_3_2017	97.71	98.79	101.38	101.03	101.1	100.99	100.39(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10	-17	83	6.2	50%	-0.05	93.1	1.53%	0	0.5	68	INF
18	Feb_2_2017	97.76	98.5	101.01	101.36	101.16	101.38	100.84(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	10	-8	98	5.37	47%	-0.01	105.1	1.53%	0	0.8	71	INF
19	Feb_1_2017	97.77	98.01	100.59	101.74	101.42	101.32	101.57(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	26	-20	-1	107	5.74	47%	0.01	102	1.56%	0	1	68	INF
20	Jan_31_2017	97.76	97.39	100.07	102.24	101.82	100.93	101.31(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-70	-30	106	7.53	47%	0.01	98.3	1.57%	0	1	68	INF

21	Jan_30_2017	97.75	96.74	99.57	102.27	102.39	101.51	101.02(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-60	-36	113	8.62	47%	0.01	101.2	1.57%	0	1.1	72	INF
22	Jan_27_2017	97.74	96.08	99.11	101.74	102.63	102.72	102.07(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	30	20	136	8.03	47%	0	87.8	1.56%	0	1.4	78	INF
23	Jan_26_2017	97.74	95.35	98.48	100.54	101.48	103.26	102.75(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	90	150	74	139	12.5	47%	0	73.7	1.56%	0	1.7	78	INF
24	Jan_25_2017	97.74	94.59	97.86	99.23	99.72	102.55	104.06(2.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	151	210	146	165	23.32	47%	0	64.4	1.56%	0	2.1	89	INF
25	Jan_24_2017	97.74	93.7	97.06	97.61	97.98	99.69	101.43(3.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	141	130	135	158	37.18	43%		56.4	1.53%	0	1.9	89	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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