Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $90.4800 (0.69%) ($89.9500 - $91.7400) on Fri. Dec. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $90.4800(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(75%)    MCHI(74%)    FXI(68%)    EEM(60%)    VWO(59%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    IPO(-3%)    SHY(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $88.64(-2.03%)
Resistance Level   $93.78
5 Day Moving Average   $92.62(-2.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $92.87(-2.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $93.78(-3.52%)
To recent high   -17.3%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $242.733b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 2.88% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 3.14%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.39%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 3.71%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.75%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.74%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.74%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_2_2016	96.7	93.78	92.87	92.62	92.87	91.21	90.48(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-63	-120	-76	-25	11.72	50%	0.09	-65.6	1.75%	0	-1.2	44	INF
2	Dec_1_2016	96.61	94.14	93.25	93.13	93.68	93.15	89.86(-4.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-41	-20	-53	-6	24.03	50%	0.1	-68.4	1.76%	0	-1.6	38	INF
3	Nov_30_2016	96.51	94.58	93.59	93.76	94.05	94.52	94.02(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	40	20	25	11.45	55%	0.12	-71.2	1.67%	0	-0.2	40	INF
4	Nov_29_2016	96.39	94.9	93.31	93.6	93.57	94.2	94.99(1.31%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	18	50	26	-6	14.15	55%	0.15	-69.6	1.67%	0	0	34	INF
5	Nov_28_2016	96.25	95.2	92.8	93.28	93.38	93.58	93.76(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	20	21	-48	14.34	55%	0.16	-69.2	1.67%	0	-0.4	32	INF

6	Nov_25_2016	96.1	95.59	92.71	93.21	93.35	92.94	93.01(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-30	-13	-80	4.87	55%	0.32	-67.9	1.67%	0	-0.7	37	INF
7	Nov_23_2016	95.79	96.04	92.82	93.42	93.55	93.18	93.03(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-20	-25	-94	11.74	55%	0.15	-62.6	1.67%	0	-0.8	37	INF
8	Nov_22_2016	95.65	96.51	93.15	93.39	93.99	93.77	93.21(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-16	0	8	-89	10.4	55%	-0.03	-61	1.67%	0	-0.8	36	INF
9	Nov_21_2016	95.68	97.04	93.75	92.95	93.62	93.92	93.41(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	40	11	-102	8.96	55%	0.15	-60.9	1.68%	0	-0.8	31	INF
10	Nov_18_2016	95.54	97.58	94.29	92.22	93.07	94.2	93.39(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	110	42	-113	10.03	55%	0.15	-63	1.68%	0	-0.9	30	INF

11	Nov_17_2016	95.4	98.1	94.69	92.14	92.22	93.33	94.07(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	90	47	-128	10.38	55%	0.17	-61.7	1.68%	0	-0.9	30	INF
12	Nov_16_2016	95.24	98.58	95.04	92.19	91.89	91.94	92.86(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-10	-1	-165	14.08	55%	0.18	-60.2	1.67%	0	-1.3	26	INF
13	Nov_15_2016	95.07	99.15	95.6	92.95	92.77	91.11	91(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-101	-130	-70	-195	16.72	53%	0.18	-58	1.65%	0	-1.9	19	INF
14	Nov_14_2016	94.9	99.79	96.62	94.72	94.16	91.84	89.77(-3.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-157	-190	-142	-201	27.36	53%	0.15	-54.8	1.65%	0	-2.5	12	INF
15	Nov_11_2016	94.76	100.49	97.85	96.64	96.34	94.43	92.99(-1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-107	-150	-95	-144	23.73	67%	0.15	-59.4	1.82%	0	-2.3	14	INF

16	Nov_10_2016	94.62	100.97	98.76	97.56	98.04	96.48	94.34(-2.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-74	-100	-60	-116	27.35	69%	0.16	-68.5	1.91%	0	-2.4	19	INF
17	Nov_9_2016	94.47	101.4	99.59	98.24	98.45	98.25	96.67(-3.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-57	-10	-42	-103	20.95	72%	0.2	-82.3	1.91%	0	-2	23	INF
18	Nov_8_2016	94.28	101.76	100.2	98.61	98.64	99.6	99.85(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	70	17	-80	8.09	77%	0.23	-91.6	1.86%	0	-0.9	29	INF
19	Nov_7_2016	94.06	102.02	100.61	98.87	99.03	98.64	99.35(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-20	18	-74	11.2	77%	0.23	-77.7	1.86%	0	-1.1	30	INF
20	Nov_4_2016	93.84	102.46	101.1	99.33	99.2	97.69	97.57(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-82	-110	-75	-101	9.05	77%	0.21	-68	1.85%	0	-1.9	23	INF

21	Nov_3_2016	93.64	102.89	101.76	100.21	100.39	99.41	97.75(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-66	-60	-63	-76	17.41	77%	0.2	-62.4	1.85%	0	-2.1	33	INF
22	Nov_2_2016	93.45	103.37	102.4	101.13	101.48	100.72	98.51(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-38	-40	-35	-45	37.07	77%	0.23	-54.2	1.85%	0	-2.2	34	INF
23	Nov_1_2016	93.24	103.8	102.97	101.99	101.98	101.38	101.15(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-40	-41	-32	21.29	82%	0.28	-55.1	1.82%	0	-1.4	36	INF
24	Oct_31_2016	92.98	104.02	103.21	102.6	102.67	102.23	101.69(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-30	-25	-20	15.84	82%	0.28	-55.7	1.83%	0	-1.3	31	INF
25	Oct_28_2016	92.72	104.22	103.35	103.16	103.25	102.58	101.93(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-28	-40	-28	-28	8.48	82%		-50.9	1.83%	0	-1.3	23	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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