Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $103.6200 (-1.53%) ($101.8200 - $105.1100) on Wed. Oct. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.86% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $103.6200(-1.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(75%)    MCHI(74%)    FXI(68%)    EEM(60%)    VWO(59%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -0.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    IPO(-3%)    SHY(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.93% (StdDev 1.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

Resistance Level   $105.98
5 Day Moving Average   $106.07(-2.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.94(-2.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $105.98(-2.23%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   28.6%
Market Cap   $277.984b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 1.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.4%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.44%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.37%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.38%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.18%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2016	89.8	105.98	105.94	106.07	106.14	105.18	103.62(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-66	-60	-70	-55	18.43	83%	0.26	56.3	1.86%	0	-1.2	36	INF
2	Oct_11_2016	89.57	105.95	106.46	106.74	106.14	107.08	105.23(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3	20	-1	-10	14.92	84%	0.3	58.4	1.84%	0	-0.3	50	INF
3	Oct_10_2016	89.3	105.73	106.76	106.78	106.92	107.1	108.41(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	20	24	19	11.52	88%	0.34	48.5	1.83%	0	1.1	66	INF
4	Oct_7_2016	89	105.36	106.49	106.17	106.42	106.76	106(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	30	5	10	8.95	88%	0.33	41.9	1.82%	0	0.2	58	INF
5	Oct_6_2016	88.71	105.07	106.66	106.13	106.17	106.75	107.08(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	40	25	26	9.89	88%	0.32	44.9	1.81%	0	0.7	56	INF

6	Oct_5_2016	88.43	104.84	106.85	105.83	105.99	106.08	106.96(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	10	12	29	13.18	88%	0.32	51	1.81%	0	0.8	56	INF
7	Oct_4_2016	88.15	104.61	106.77	106.18	105.83	105.6	105.45(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-12	-30	-26	32	11.07	88%	0.31	66.9	1.81%	0	0.3	58	INF
8	Oct_3_2016	87.88	104.53	106.44	106.75	106.55	105.91	105.38(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-50	-13	51	10.85	88%	0.33	87.5	1.83%	0	0.3	62	INF
9	Sep_30_2016	87.59	104.24	106.25	106.85	107.02	106.06	105.79(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-60	-35	52	15.58	88%	0.31	89.9	1.82%	0	0.5	62	INF
10	Sep_29_2016	87.32	103.85	106.15	107.23	107	107.19	105.55(-2.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	10	-37	74	30.24	88%	0.3	90.8	1.83%	0	0.5	63	INF

11	Sep_28_2016	87.06	103.45	106.06	107.99	107	107.98	108.75(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	62	20	39	129	16.37	94%	0.35	96.2	1.79%	0	1.5	61	INF
12	Sep_27_2016	86.76	102.82	105.43	107.44	107.48	106.8	108.26(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	-40	22	114	17.56	89%	0.34	90.4	1.81%	0	1.5	61	INF
13	Sep_26_2016	86.47	102.16	104.65	106.08	106.68	106.98	105.89(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	40	-10	67	16.81	89%	0.32	76.7	1.85%	0	1	54	INF
14	Sep_23_2016	86.19	101.63	104.16	105.51	105.7	108.16	107.71(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	74	170	68	92	23.08	83%	0.34	67.5	1.9%	0	1.5	66	INF
15	Sep_22_2016	85.9	100.95	103.35	104.9	104.75	106.38	109.36(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	109	100	110	107	35.63	83%	0.4	59.6	1.88%	0	2.1	71	INF

16	Sep_21_2016	85.56	100.16	102.6	103.91	103.73	103.24	106(4.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-40	14	69	23	82%	0.36	53.1	1.85%	0	1.6	68	INF
17	Sep_20_2016	85.25	99.63	102.19	103.19	103.56	103.12	101.45(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-20	-24	64	12.86	80%	0.29	49	1.78%	0	0.5	65	INF
18	Sep_19_2016	85	99.35	102.42	102.96	103.31	104.22	103.03(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	70	27	109	15.23	80%	0.32	44.8	1.77%	0	1	71	INF
19	Sep_16_2016	84.73	99.03	102.06	102.51	102.38	104	104.64(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	94	110	79	137	20.36	80%	0.34	41	1.77%	0	1.6	75	INF
20	Sep_15_2016	84.44	98.63	101.36	101.51	101.05	102.4	104.45(2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	79	80	63	126	20.84	80%	0.32	42.8	1.77%	0	1.8	77	INF

21	Sep_14_2016	84.17	98.23	100.63	101.13	100.33	100.76	102.4(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	10	25	117	19.6	81%	0.29	59	1.76%	0	1.4	75	INF
22	Sep_13_2016	83.93	97.92	100.01	101.12	100.63	99.69	100.28(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-80	-26	99	20	80%	0.26	81.7	1.78%	0	0.8	63	INF
23	Sep_12_2016	83.71	97.76	99.52	101.82	101.35	99.91	100.8(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-17	-110	-56	102	17.32	80%	0.26	112.3	1.78%	0	1.1	65	INF
24	Sep_9_2016	83.49	97.61	98.97	101.51	102.12	101.57	99.62(-2.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-20	-21	105	21.25	76%	0.23	137.5	1.81%	0	0.7	58	INF
25	Sep_8_2016	83.3	97.23	98.44	101.07	101.64	102.79	102.57(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	100	37	116	15.48	81%		136.3	1.76%	0	1.8	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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