Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $102.9400 (-1.01%) ($100.5800 - $103.5700) on Tue. Jan. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.15% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $102.9400(-1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(64%)    EEM(57%)    VWO(57%)    QQQ(47%)    VT(45%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -1.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)    UUP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.075% (StdDev 2.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $103.47(-0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $101.21(1.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.26(0.66%)
To recent high   -13.6%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $276.159b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 2.41% (three month std-dev: 2.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2015	101.32	102.26	101.21	103.47	103.68	103.35	102.94(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-20	-9	10	15.66	60%	0.01	-33.2	2.15%	0	0.3	49	INF
2	Jan_26_2015	101.31	102.39	101.05	102.89	103.57	104.03	103.99(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	50	32	19	10.66	60%	0.03	-43.7	2.16%	0	0.6	56	INF
3	Jan_23_2015	101.28	102.46	100.9	101.47	102.27	104	103.11(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	140	58	6	9.87	61%	0.03	-61.7	2.16%	0	0.2	48	INF
4	Jan_22_2015	101.25	102.56	101.02	100.11	100.46	103.11	104(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	66	200	88	-0	11.43	61%	0.03	-74.4	2.19%	0	0.5	49	INF
5	Jan_21_2015	101.22	102.76	100.79	99.22	98.93	100.55	103.29(3.25%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	51	110	77	-27	15.19	63%	0.02	-74.9	2.19%	0	0.2	44	INF

6	Jan_20_2015	101.2	103.09	100.74	98.72	98.23	97.81	100.04(3.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-40	-0	-73	12.11	61%	-0.01	-69.9	2.18%	0	-1	37	INF
7	Jan_16_2015	101.21	103.54	100.84	99.03	98.86	97.31	96.89(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-74	-110	-63	-108	13.33	61%	-0.05	-51.3	2.14%	0	-1.9	29	INF
8	Jan_15_2015	101.26	104.15	101.54	100.26	100.3	98.66	96.31(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-83	-110	-77	-101	18.26	61%	-0.06	-37.6	2.18%	0	-2.3	27	INF
9	Jan_14_2015	101.32	104.67	102.34	102	101.82	100.42	99.58(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-61	-100	-57	-74	17.81	64%	-0.03	-29.3	2.14%	0	-1.7	34	INF
10	Jan_13_2015	101.35	104.95	102.96	102.51	103	101.95	100.77(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-60	-41	-68	11.29	64%	0	-27.8	2.13%	0	-1.5	29	INF

11	Jan_12_2015	101.35	105.2	103.48	103.02	103.46	103.23	101.62(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-0	-18	-63	8	64%	0	-29.6	2.13%	0	-1.4	27	INF
12	Jan_9_2015	101.35	105.39	103.91	102.9	103.4	104.06	103.02(-1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	60	16	-59	10.22	61%	0.02	-40.5	2.17%	0	-1	34	INF
13	Jan_8_2015	101.33	105.45	104.2	103.02	102.79	103.69	105.03(2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	50	25	-62	12.94	61%	0.05	-53.1	2.15%	0	-0.2	38	INF
14	Jan_7_2015	101.28	105.57	104.22	102.8	102.74	102.75	102.13(-1.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-14	-0	7	-76	11.05	60%	0.01	-60.1	2.13%	0	-1.4	43	INF
15	Jan_6_2015	101.27	105.74	104.87	103.52	103.18	101.9	103.32(2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-100	-37	-75	15.72	60%	0.03	-56.9	2.12%	0	-1	49	INF

16	Jan_5_2015	101.24	105.97	105.57	104.05	104.1	102.72	101(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-67	-90	-67	-67	18.34	59%	0	-59.7	2.11%	0	-2.2	41	INF
17	Jan_2_2015	101.24	106.39	106.41	105.04	105.26	104.46	103.6(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-50	-37	-31	12.3	61%	0.03	-63.4	2.08%	0	-1.4	48	INF
18	Dec_31_2014	101.21	106.74	106.97	105.51	105.84	105.47	103.94(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-20	-21	-6	10.28	58%	0.04	-59.4	2.08%	0	-1.3	54	INF
19	Dec_30_2014	101.17	107.03	107.2	105.83	106.08	106.06	105.75(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-9	10	-11	-1	10.21	58%	0.06	-64.3	2.11%	0	-0.6	46	INF
20	Dec_29_2014	101.11	107.06	107.14	106.43	106.26	106.2	105.98(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-12	-10	-18	5	8.07	58%	0.07	-67.7	2.11%	0	-0.5	54	INF

21	Dec_26_2014	101.04	107.33	107.09	107.37	107.12	106.1	105.95(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-16	-70	-24	10	6.53	58%	0.08	-47.9	2.13%	0	-0.6	46	INF
22	Dec_24_2014	100.96	107.64	107.02	108.03	108.05	106.33	105.95(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-47	-110	-61	-5	5.87	60%	0.07	-29.7	2.13%	0	-0.7	43	INF
23	Dec_23_2014	100.89	108	106.86	108.64	108.98	108.14	105.52(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-34	-40	-43	-5	19.1	58%	0.07	-17	2.18%	0	-0.9	39	INF
24	Dec_22_2014	100.82	108.4	107.06	108.69	109.32	109.77	108.77(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	50	21	16	13.04	57%	0.12	-15.9	2.18%	0	0.1	46	INF
25	Dec_19_2014	100.7	108.49	106.69	107.88	108.19	109.82	110.65(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	110	45	12	14.86	57%		-29.6	2.24%	0	0.7	59	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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