Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $103.8800 (-3.35%) ($103.5100 - $107.3800) on Wed. Dec. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.34% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $103.8800(-3.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(64%)    EEM(57%)    VWO(56%)    QQQ(47%)    VT(45%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -1.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)    UUP(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.17% (StdDev 2.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

Resistance Level   $110.53
5 Day Moving Average   $106.7(-2.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $108.3(-4.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.53(-6.02%)
To recent high   -12.8%
To recent low   22.3%
Market Cap   $278.681b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 3.22% (three month std-dev: 2.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_10_2014	99.93	110.53	108.3	106.7	106.19	105.1	103.88(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-90	-26	-67	18.47	55%	0.07	-50.9	2.34%	0	-1.9	44	0
2	Dec_9_2014	99.86	111.08	109.27	108.05	107.24	105.19	107.48(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-66	-160	-67	-62	24.87	58%	0.14	-33.4	2.31%	0	-1.1	45	0
3	Dec_8_2014	99.72	111.65	109.89	108.53	108.65	107.28	105.07(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-54	-80	-54	-52	19.22	58%	0.09	-5.6	2.31%	0	-1.8	35	0
4	Dec_5_2014	99.63	112.15	110.51	108.72	109.35	109.29	107.9(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	10	-18	-45	12.15	60%	0.16	17.1	2.3%	0	-1.3	37	0
5	Dec_4_2014	99.47	112.36	110.51	109.47	109	110.03	109.17(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	50	-1	-39	10.86	60%	0.18	43.7	2.31%	0	-1	39	0

6	Dec_3_2014	99.29	112.37	110.74	110.17	109.65	109.42	110.64(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-30	18	-42	16.22	60%	0.22	65.7	2.32%	0	-0.5	36	0
7	Dec_2_2014	99.07	112.19	110.76	110.73	110.31	107.98	109.89(3.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-67	-160	-64	-76	18.79	60%	0.21	74.5	2.35%	0	-0.7	43	0
8	Dec_1_2014	98.86	111.85	111.17	111.54	111.69	109.89	105.99(-5.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-84	-110	-84	-85	38.46	58%	0.14	73.3	2.32%	0	-1.4	30	0
9	Nov_28_2014	98.72	111.59	112.11	112.49	113.03	112.65	111.64(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10	-15	-48	8.08	63%	0.27	71.3	2.21%	0	0	46	0
10	Nov_26_2014	98.45	111.01	112.41	112.12	112.95	113.5	112.67(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	8	60	21	-31	11.83	63%	0.3	59.3	2.23%	0	0.3	53	0

11	Nov_25_2014	98.16	110.35	112.9	111.35	112.03	113.41	113.47(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	29	100	43	-13	23.48	63%	0.34	57.9	2.25%	0	0.5	59	0
12	Nov_24_2014	97.83	109.69	112.99	110.82	110.82	112.41	113.92(2.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	28	100	39	-4	20.65	63%	0.36	59.1	2.27%	0	0.6	63	0
13	Nov_21_2014	97.48	108.92	113.44	110.89	110.73	110.65	110.73(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10	16	23	27.43	61%	0.3	62.9	2.26%	0	0.2	66	0
14	Nov_20_2014	97.19	108.23	113.85	111.76	111.39	109.24	109.82(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-35	-150	-60	39	36.49	61%	0.3	67.7	2.29%	0	0.2	69	0
15	Nov_19_2014	96.9	107.52	114.1	112.76	112.74	110.81	108.82(-1.8%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-59	-120	-100	66	46.84	61%	0.29	70.4	2.31%	0	0.2	68	0

16	Nov_18_2014	96.62	106.73	114.2	114.64	114.75	113.55	110.81(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-70	-43	141	41.1	61%	0.34	76.4	2.32%	0	0.5	71	0
17	Nov_17_2014	96.29	105.79	113.85	115.39	115.77	114.67	114.25(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-60	-39	175	22.57	64%	0.46	78	2.28%	0	0.9	73	0
18	Nov_14_2014	95.85	104.52	112.72	116.37	116.06	115.95	115.1(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	31	-10	-29	209	29.85	64%	0.5	81	2.3%	0	1.1	76	0
19	Nov_13_2014	95.37	103.18	111.17	116.26	116.82	116.88	114.84(-2.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	85	20	32	245	62.16	64%	0.53	82.2	2.33%	0	1.2	78	0
20	Nov_12_2014	94.87	101.88	109.63	115.6	115.9	116.17	118.2(3.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	81	20	23	255	53.91	67%	0.66	80.1	2.29%	0	1.6	85	0

21	Nov_11_2014	94.25	100.24	107.64	113.7	114.24	116.76	114.54(-3.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	114	170	62	269	71.15	65%	0.59	75.8	2.28%	0	1.4	85	0
22	Nov_10_2014	93.7	98.75	106.14	112	112.41	115.64	119.15(4.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	209	210	169	327	75.97	71%	0.75	71.6	2.19%	0	2.1	95	0
23	Nov_7_2014	93	96.99	103.92	108.53	108.75	111.72	114.56(2.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	172	200	131	294	51.46	68%	0.67	66.1	2.15%	0	2	95	0
24	Nov_6_2014	92.38	95.51	101.98	105.34	105.58	109.19	111.57(2.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	174	250	140	274	33.61	66%	0.61	60.9	2.15%	0	2.1	94	0
25	Nov_5_2014	91.82	94.31	100.22	102.77	102.91	105.77	108.67(2.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	171	200	143	255	48.34	63%		59.2	2.15%	0	2.1	89	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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