Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ BABA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 27, 2014

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $97.7900 (2.12%) ($96.3000 - $98.8500) on Mon. Oct. 27, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.14% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $97.7900(2.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(63%)    EEM(57%)    VWO(56%)    QQQ(47%)    VT(44%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -1.07% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)    UUP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.07% (StdDev 2.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $94.11(3.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.86(7.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.16(9.68%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.1%
Market Cap   $262.343b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 3.73% (three month std-dev: 2.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.27%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.78%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.02%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -3.2%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.66%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.3%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_27_2014	89.26	89.16	90.86	94.11	94.8	96.69	97.79(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	106	160	89	156	28.3	50%	0.37	43.4	2.14%	0	2.6	73	0
2	Oct_24_2014	88.93	88.66	89.56	92.2	92.99	94.81	95.76(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	94	160	87	114	32.13	50%	0.3	31.6	2.14%	0	2.6	68	0
3	Oct_23_2014	88.66	88.34	88.53	90.63	91.12	92.91	94.45(3.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	68	150	67	72	20.64	50%	0.28	12	2.17%	0	2.8	66	0
4	Oct_22_2014	88.41	88.02	87.89	89.51	89.99	91.17	91.63(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	72	110	75	62	20.36	44%	0.16	0	2.12%	0	2	64	0
5	Oct_21_2014	88.27	87.94	87.5	88.3	88.66	89.33	90.9(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	42	70	44	34	23.24	44%	0.14	0	2.16%	0	1.8	65	0

6	Oct_20_2014	88.15	87.74	87.14	87.11	87.28	88.81	88.26(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	130	39	7	9.89	36%	0	0	2.1%	0	0.3	47	0
7	Oct_17_2014	88.15	87.81	87.14	86.49	86.42	87.99	87.91(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	53	120	68	6	17.36	36%	-0.01	0	2.14%	0	0	47	0
8	Oct_16_2014	88.16	88.07	87.11	86.08	85.6	85.75	88.85(3.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	9	-0	20	-26	15.23	36%	0.03	0	2.19%	0	0.4	43	0
9	Oct_15_2014	88.13	88.07	86.92	86.07	85.67	84.85	85.6(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-80	-37	-15	16.82	22%	-0.16	0	2.03%	0	40	39	0
10	Oct_14_2014	88.27	88.07	86.99	86.61	86.71	85.46	84.95(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-100	-42	-17	15.57	22%	-0.21	0	2.06%	0	40.3	33	0

11	Oct_13_2014	88.46	88.07	87.39	87.15	87.46	86.49	85.12(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-42	-70	-49	-20	14.85	22%	-0.24	0	2.12%	0	42.3	47	0
12	Oct_10_2014	88.67	88.07	87.77	87.79	88	87.97	85.88(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	0	-21	-8	15.43	22%	-0.21	0	2.19%	0	45.7	42	0
13	Oct_9_2014	88.86	88.07	87.77	88.23	88.44	88.44	88.79(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	10	15	6	21.51	27%	0	0	2.14%	0	49.6	38	0
14	Oct_8_2014	88.86	88.07	88.22	87.89	88.33	88.03	88.3(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-10	-1	-0	10.26	27%	-0.04	0	2.2%	0	47.5	50	0
15	Oct_7_2014	88.9	88.07	88.42	87.45	88.03	88.44	87.67(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	50	-4	-2	12.79	27%	-0.12	0	2.27%	0	45.7	50	0

16	Oct_6_2014	89.01	88.07	88.4	87.68	87.87	88.62	88.31(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	70	19	8	9.28	27%	-0.07	0	2.37%	0	45.1	50	0
17	Oct_3_2014	89.07	88.07	88.54	87.77	87.99	87.62	88.1(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-20	4	2	18.49	27%	-0.11	0	2.47%	0	43.2	50	0
18	Oct_2_2014	89.17	88.07	89.07	88.24	88.14	87.12	87.06(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-80	-37	-15	21.47	27%	-0.26	0	2.53%	0	41.3	50	0
19	Oct_1_2014	89.4	88.07	89.07	88.62	88.9	88.37	86.1(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-30	-30	-12	24.03	27%	-0.46	0	2.58%	0	41	50	0
20	Sep_30_2014	89.81	88.07	89.07	89.51	89.54	89.16	88.85(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	-30	-2	-1	24.42	35%	-0.16	0	2.63%	0	48	50	0

21	Sep_29_2014	89.95	88.07	89.07	89.17	89.52	89.43	88.75(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	0	-9	-4	25.3	35%	-0.22	0	2.82%	0	45.7	50	0
22	Sep_26_2014	90.15	88.07	89.07	89.4	89.34	89.92	90.46(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-3	40	-3	-1	18.34	35%	0.07	0	3.05%	0	44.6	50	0
23	Sep_25_2014	90.09	88.07	89.07	90.09	89.69	89.61	88.92(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	137	-20	161	64	28.6	35%	-0.32	0	3.13%	0	40.1	50	0
24	Sep_24_2014	90.38	88.07	89.07	72.3	90.71	88.76	90.57(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	7.6	158	610	186	74	32.09	35%	0.07	0	3.59%	0	37.9	50	0
25	Sep_23_2014	90.32	88.07	89.07	54.19	90.71	88.76	87.17(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	11.9	1301	-10000	1530	612	39.01	0%		0	0.62%	0	31.6	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.