Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AutoZone Inc.)
AZO latest price $615.4800 (2.16%) ($600.1200 - $616.1100) on Thu. Dec. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $615.4800(2.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZO advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(48%)    SPY(48%)    VYM(48%)    XLP(47%)    XLY(47%)
Factors Impacting AZO price   AZO will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-7%)    GDXJ(-6%)    TIP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $605.29(1.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $600.62(2.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $589.14(4.47%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.7%
Market Cap   $14.37b

AutoZone, Inc. engages in the provision of retail and distribution of automotive replacement parts and accessories. The firm offers ALLDATA, which produces, sells, and maintains diagnostic and repair information software used in the automotive repair industry. The company was founded by Joseph R. Hyde, III on July 4, 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, TN.

$. AZO price fluctuates within 2.52% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 36 Average positive next day return: 0.82%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.91%(50%) Sample size 36 Average positive next three day return: 1.39%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -1.2%(53%) Sample size 36 Average positive next weekly return: 1.62%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.95%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_18_2014	543.18	589.14	600.62	605.29	605.13	605.01	615.48(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	200	-0	207	178	0.34	59%	0.18	63.1	1.15%	0	1.8	71	INF
2	Dec_17_2014	542.23	586.74	597.82	602.67	603.39	601.46	602.46(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-126	-20	-178	31	0.32	55%	0.17	62.3	1.13%	0	1.1	71	INF
3	Dec_16_2014	541.3	585.04	596.63	601.85	603.85	605.26	597.93(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	30	-11	113	0.3	58%	0.16	60.7	1.14%	0	0.9	69	INF
4	Dec_15_2014	540.45	583.55	595.48	603.43	604.01	605.32	605.84(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	177	20	167	208	0.31	60%	0.17	65	1.14%	0	1.6	72	INF
5	Dec_12_2014	539.52	581.57	592.52	598.47	603.03	602.44	604.73(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	118	20	102	165	0.29	60%	0.17	59.6	1.14%	0	1.7	73	INF

6	Dec_11_2014	538.62	579.91	589.81	595.11	599.12	602.69	602.39(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	76	60	54	141	0.32	60%	0.18	61.1	1.14%	0	1.8	73	INF
7	Dec_10_2014	537.66	578.15	586.47	592.25	595.81	603.63	598.37(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	413	110	454	289	0.32	60%	0.16	63.9	1.14%	0	1.8	71	INF
8	Dec_9_2014	536.79	576.69	583.55	590.69	592.21	595.55	605.81(4.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	408	50	449	283	0.66	59%	0.17	74	1.13%	0	2.8	77	INF
9	Dec_8_2014	535.87	574.6	579.95	586.62	588.34	587.99	581.05(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	42	0	21	104	0.4	54%	0.11	91.2	1.03%	0	0.8	66	INF
10	Dec_5_2014	535.26	573.68	578.85	585.56	586.27	588.87	587.95(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	121	30	114	140	0.27	56%	0.12	90.1	1.02%	0	1.8	78	INF

11	Dec_4_2014	534.62	572.54	576.79	583.51	582.94	588.69	588.07(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	331	70	366	225	0.3	56%	0.11	99.2	1.02%	0	2.1	64	INF
12	Dec_3_2014	534.05	571.07	574.77	579.6	579.3	583.68	590.55(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	417	50	474	247	0.35	56%	0.11	97.6	1.02%	0	2.8	71	INF
13	Dec_2_2014	533.48	569.23	572.44	575.29	574.53	577.18	585.49(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	163	30	182	105	0.45	56%	0.1	93.7	1.01%	0	2.6	64	INF
14	Dec_1_2014	532.95	567.56	570.57	572.47	572.51	574.91	575.72(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	176	30	202	99	0.41	53%	0.08	93.5	1%	0	1.3	62	INF
15	Nov_28_2014	532.53	566.47	569.68	571.17	571.01	571.87	577.71(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	102	10	115	62	0.12	53%	0.07	95.7	0.99%	0	1.7	69	INF

16	Nov_26_2014	532.15	565.17	569.14	571.17	570.39	570.11	568.55(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	0	20	19	0.14	51%	0.06	92.2	0.97%	0	0.5	54	INF
17	Nov_25_2014	531.82	564.3	569.18	569.12	569.68	570.15	568.98(-0.42%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0	-10	10	-18	14	0.24	51%	0.06	102.9	0.98%	0	0.6	63	INF
18	Nov_24_2014	531.51	563.38	569.35	569.04	569.42	570.67	571.38(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	81	20	84	70	0.17	51%	0.08	100	0.98%	0	0.9	70	INF
19	Nov_21_2014	531.11	561.87	568.86	568.37	569.19	569.21	569.21(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	78	0	77	79	0.24	51%	0.06	97.3	0.98%	0	0.7	71	INF
20	Nov_20_2014	530.8	560.3	568.22	567.95	568.46	568.17	567.5(-0.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0	-48	-0	-72	26	0.18	51%	0.06	96.7	0.98%	0	0.6	67	INF

21	Nov_19_2014	530.48	558.6	568.11	569.2	569.01	569.17	568.51(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	0	1	79	0.14	51%	0.06	94.4	0.98%	0	0.7	70	INF
22	Nov_18_2014	530.16	556.4	567.25	569.26	569.66	568.75	568.59(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-10	-12	85	0.19	51%	0.06	94.1	0.98%	0	0.8	72	INF
23	Nov_17_2014	529.83	554.39	565.94	569.71	569.82	568.85	568.06(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-50	-10	-88	65	0.21	51%	0.06	92.6	0.98%	0	0.8	72	INF
24	Nov_14_2014	529.5	551.95	564.46	569.38	569.86	570.58	567.11(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	10	20	120	0.24	53%	0.07	86.9	0.99%	0	0.8	78	INF
25	Nov_13_2014	529.15	549.11	563.17	568.4	568.97	570.78	573.72(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	162	30	153	189	0.35	55%		78.7	0.98%	0	1.2	87	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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