Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AZO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AutoZone Inc.)
AZO latest price $381.2900 (1.19%) ($377.1600 - $382.1000) on Fri. Oct. 5, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $381.2900(1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZO advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZO advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(47%)    XLY(47%)    XLP(46%)    IWM(42%)    PEJ(40%)
Factors Impacting AZO price   AZO will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $373.84(1.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $372.28(2.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $369.26(3.26%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $8.902b

AutoZone, Inc. engages in the provision of retail and distribution of automotive replacement parts and accessories. The firm offers ALLDATA, which produces, sells, and maintains diagnostic and repair information software used in the automotive repair industry. The company was founded by Joseph R. Hyde, III on July 4, 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, TN.

$. AZO price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.63%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.89%(60%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 1.92%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -1.55%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 1.31%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.15%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2012	371.17	369.26	372.28	373.84	373.83	376.62	381.29(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	236	50	261	159	0.6	63%	0.04	39.2	1.2%	0	1.9	82	0
2	Oct_4_2012	371.01	368.61	371.22	371.52	370.54	372.57	376.79(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	92	30	90	99	0.56	63%	-0.03	40.3	1.2%	0	1.4	83	0
3	Oct_3_2012	371.13	368.15	370.63	370.45	369.68	371.04	372.14(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	93	20	92	95	0.54	61%	-0.03	41.6	1.2%	0	0.7	52	0
4	Oct_2_2012	371.24	367.7	370.39	370.6	370.19	368.52	369.91(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-30	7	59	0.47	61%	-0.02	39.7	1.2%	0	0.4	47	0
5	Oct_1_2012	371.31	367.16	369.32	370.33	370.29	368.33	369.07(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-129	-40	-164	-25	0.43	61%	-0.05	31.4	1.2%	0	0.3	49	0

6	Sep_28_2012	371.5	366.8	368.27	370.37	370.94	371.86	369.67(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-6	20	-16	24	0.46	65%	-0.05	29	1.24%	0	0.5	53	0
7	Sep_27_2012	371.67	366.33	366.64	370.8	370.85	372.26	371.47(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	88	30	100	53	0.61	54%	-0.03	28.3	1.24%	0	0.8	51	0
8	Sep_26_2012	371.78	365.89	366.39	370.83	370.45	370.02	372.89(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10	15	19	0.88	54%	-0.03	26.8	1.37%	0	1.2	53	0
9	Sep_25_2012	371.89	365.45	366.26	370.22	370.86	369.44	368.54(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-20	-11	16	0.63	51%	-0.05	25.9	1.36%	0	0.5	55	0
10	Sep_24_2012	372.08	365.32	366.33	368.08	369.37	370.87	369.3(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	40	31	31	0.83	51%	-0.06	17.2	1.38%	0	0.7	60	0

11	Sep_21_2012	372.29	365.08	365.99	365.7	366.06	372.27	371.8(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	230	120	268	115	2.28	48%	-0.06	7.1	1.38%	0	1.2	58	0
12	Sep_20_2012	372.51	364.63	365.68	361.74	361.83	367.86	371.63(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	297	120	352	133	1.39	48%	-0.07	-8.7	1.39%	0	1.3	59	0
13	Sep_19_2012	372.76	364.27	365.29	361.4	358.92	359.86	369.84(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	88	-0	104	38	2.19	48%	-0.07	-4.9	1.39%	0	1.1	55	0
14	Sep_18_2012	373.02	363.96	364.58	362.07	360.77	355.79	357.84(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-151	-110	-177	-72	0.71	42%	-0.11	5.1	1.33%	0	-1.2	45	0
15	Sep_17_2012	373.42	364.33	364.77	364.48	364.53	357.98	357.38(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-311	-130	-368	-141	0.72	42%	-0.11	27.8	1.33%	0	-1.4	43	0

16	Sep_14_2012	373.82	364.69	365.32	366.26	367.57	365.75	351.99(-4.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.1	-213	-20	-255	-86	1.41	39%	-0.11	45.6	1.31%	0	-2.8	40	0
17	Sep_13_2012	374.25	365.12	366.32	369.8	369.15	371.09	369.96(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	86	30	89	77	0.5	47%	-0.03	75.2	1.17%	0	1.3	58	0
18	Sep_12_2012	374.38	364.52	365.61	369.56	368.54	369.39	373.16(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	122	10	132	90	0.36	47%	-0.02	65.7	1.17%	0	2.2	58	0
19	Sep_11_2012	374.44	363.7	364.68	367.54	367.39	367.21	369.9(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-0	30	34	0.43	47%	-0.03	42.2	1.18%	0	1.7	57	0
20	Sep_10_2012	374.57	362.98	364.25	365.21	365.83	367.7	366.28(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	40	64	33	0.48	47%	-0.04	15.1	1.17%	0	0.9	52	0

21	Sep_7_2012	374.72	362.63	364.1	364.29	363.7	367.58	369.72(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	175	70	205	84	0.25	47%	-0.03	0	1.17%	0	1.9	59	0
22	Sep_6_2012	374.83	362.25	363.39	362.32	362.1	363.97	368.72(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	183	30	217	79	0.41	52%	-0.03	-14.7	1.18%	0	1.9	65	0
23	Sep_5_2012	374.94	361.96	362.98	361.17	360.67	359.83	363.07(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-33	-20	-37	-22	0.42	49%	-0.04	-25.6	1.2%	0	0.4	60	0
24	Sep_4_2012	375.1	362.15	363.08	361.5	361.39	360.24	358.28(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-88	-20	-105	-38	0.33	46%	-0.08	-31.2	1.19%	0	-1.2	56	0
25	Aug_31_2012	375.39	362.41	363.76	363.14	363.14	361.51	361.64(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-57	-30	-75	-2	0.45	43%		-35.6	1.2%	0	-0.2	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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